Have £1,000 to invest? Why I’d buy FTSE 100-member Whitbread despite stock market crash fears

Whitbread plc (LON: WTB) could offer long-term outperformance of the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The recent performance of the FTSE 100 has been relatively disappointing. While it may not have been a stock market ‘crash’, it appears to have experienced a ‘correction’, which meant that it was trading as much as 11% below its all-time high.

During such situations, it can be difficult to know whether to buy or sell shares. The reality, though, is that the stock market has always recovered from challenging periods, and so market corrections could be a good time to buy shares, such as Whitbread (LSE: WTB).

The hospitality giant appears to have strong growth potential, having the opportunity to outperform a sector peer that released a trading update on Friday.

Difficult period

The company in question is Millennium & Copthorne (LSE: MLC). The hotel operator’s third quarter showed that it has experienced mixed trading conditions, although like-for-like (LFL) revenue per available room (RevPAR) increased by 1.5% in the first nine months of the year. At constant currency, hotel revenue for the first three quarters of the year was flat.

The company faced challenging trading conditions, with them impacting on the wider hospitality industry. There have been pressures such as rising minimum wage requirements, technological disruption and industry consolidation. Alongside geopolitical risks, they are having a negative impact on the company’s performance. Furthermore, the business is still without a permanent CEO, although it did reappoint its interim CEO on Friday.

Looking ahead, Millennium & Copthorne is expected to post a fall in earnings of 17% this year. This suggests that its share price performance could deteriorate – especially since it trades on a relatively generous price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 16.

Growth potential

In contrast, Whitbread has the potential to deliver improving financial performance. Its position in the UK budget hospitality sector remains strong, and it could benefit from weak consumer confidence. As was the case following the financial crisis, consumers may become increasingly price-conscious as the Brexit process continues. This may lead to them trading down to cheaper options such as the company’s Premier Inn brand.

The sale of Costa means that the business will be focused on its hotel chain. Alongside the potential for expansion in the UK, the company may also be able to offer international growth. It already has a foothold in Germany, where it believes it has the opportunity to become a major player in what is a relatively fragmented industry. And with its business model seemingly sound, the stock may be able to diversify its geographic exposure yet further in future years.

While Whitbread trades on a P/E ratio of 17.2, the company is expected to post positive earnings growth in each of the next two years. It also has a sound long-term growth outlook which could mean that it’s able to deliver share price increases over the long term. As such, now could be the right time to buy it, despite fears surrounding the near-term outlook for the FTSE 100.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens owns shares of Whitbread. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Businesswoman analyses profitability of working company with digital virtual screen
Investing Articles

The Darktrace share price jumped 20% today. Here’s why!

After the Darktrace share price leapt by a fifth in early trading, our writer explains why -- and what it…

Read more »

Dividend Shares

850 shares in this dividend giant could make me £1.1k in passive income

Jon Smith flags up one dividend stock for passive income that has outperformed its sector over the course of the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Unilever shares are flying! Time to buy at a 21% ‘discount’?

Unilever shares have been racing higher this week after a one-two punch of news from the company. Here’s whether I…

Read more »

artificial intelligence investing algorithms
Market Movers

The Microsoft share price surges after results. Is this the best AI stock to buy?

Jon Smith flags up the jump in the Microsoft share price after the latest results showed strong demand for AI…

Read more »

Google office headquarters
Investing Articles

A dividend announcement sends the Alphabet share price soaring. Here’s what investors need to know

As the Alphabet share price surges on the announcement of a dividend, Stephen Wright outlines what investors should really be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Turning a £20k ISA into an annual second income of £30k? It’s possible!

This Fool UK writer is exploring how to harness the power of dividend shares and compound returns to build a…

Read more »

Midnight is celebrated along the River Thames in London with a spectacular and colourful firework display.
Investing Articles

Can I turn £10k into a £1k passive income stream with UK shares?

Everyone talks about the magical 10% mark when it comes to passive income investing, but how realistic is it to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 market-beating international investment funds for a Stocks and Shares ISA

It always pays to look for new ways to add extra diversity to a Stocks and Shares ISA. I think…

Read more »