This growing threat could cause the Tullow Oil share price to beat the FTSE 100

Tullow Oil plc (LON: TLW) could benefit from a changing oil price outlook, which may boost its performance versus the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Oil price prospects continue to be highly uncertain. Geopolitical risks facing major oil producers, such as Iran and Venezuela, could cause a disruption to supply that means increased prices for consumers across the world. While production from other nations may be able to pick-up the slack in the long run, it may take time for that to be achieved.

Of course, a higher oil price would be good news for oil producers such as Tullow Oil (LSE: TLW). The company has increased production in recent years, and this could help it to outperform the FTSE 100. However, it’s not the only oil stock that could be worth buying at the present time.

Improving outlook

Releasing news of a contract win on Monday was energy services company Wood Group (LSE: WG). It has agreed a six-year contract with Shell to provide asset management services to the Malampaya deepwater gas-to-power project in the Philippines. The company will provide maintenance services, modifications and shutdown support. It highlights the synergies that are being delivered since the combination of Amec Foster Wheeler and Wood Group, with the enlarged entity enjoying improved operational performance.

Looking ahead, a rising oil price could create additional activity in the oil and gas services sector. This is expected to push Wood Group’s bottom line 22% higher in the next financial year. Despite its upbeat financial prospects, the company trades on a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of just 0.6, which suggests that it offers good value for money. As such, now could be the right time to buy it for the long term.

Growth potential

With Tullow Oil having increased production in recent quarters, a rising oil price could make a major impact on its bottom line. In fact, it’s forecast to post a rise in earnings of 10% in the next financial year. This puts it on a PEG ratio of 1, which indicates that investors may not yet have factored in its rising profitability.

Of course, one area where Tullow Oil has been relatively weak in the past is its balance sheet. It has a significant amount of debt, which has made its financial standing arguably less resilient than many of its sector peers. A lower oil price could therefore be of greater risk to its prospects than some of its sector peers.

However, with the company focused on reducing net debt as its cash flow improves, it could be in a stronger position versus rivals. This may allow it to command a higher valuation over the medium term – especially if the oil price remains at a high level. As such, and while still a relatively risky share given the uncertain outlook for the oil price, its financial prospects appear to be impressive. This could mean it is a sound buy for the long term.

Peter Stephens has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young woman working at modern office. Technical price graph and indicator, red and green candlestick chart and stock trading computer screen background.
Investing Articles

2 world-class S&P 500 stocks down 11% and 32% to consider buying

Searching for stocks to buy for an ISA in April? Our writher thinks these excellent growth shares are worth a…

Read more »

View over Old Man Of Storr, Isle Of Skye, Scotland
Investing Articles

How much do you need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to aim for an annual income of £39,477?

Harvey Jones shows how ordinary investors can use their Stocks and Shares ISA allowance to build a generous passive income…

Read more »

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

Wise: a hidden gem in the UK stock market

You won’t find Wise on the list of most popular shares in the British stock market. But Edward Sheldon believes…

Read more »

Rear view image depicting a senior man in his 70s sitting on a bench leading down to the iconic Seven Sisters cliffs on the coastline of East Sussex, UK. The man is wearing casual clothing - blue denim jeans, a red checked shirt, navy blue gilet. The man is having a rest from hiking and his hiking pole is leaning up against the bench.
Investing Articles

Is a £100,000 SIPP big enough to retire on?

Harvey Jones looks at how much money investors need in a SIPP to fund a decent standard of living after…

Read more »

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

As the FTSE 100 dips again, here’s what I think smart investors do next

FTSE 100 swings are creating short-term noise — but Andrew Mackie argues this may be where long-term opportunities are quietly…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This 67p growth stock’s smashing the FTSE 100 in 2026

This under-the-radar UK growth stock's absolutely flying right now. But it still sports a very reasonable valuation, says Edward Sheldon.

Read more »

Night Takeoff Of The American Space Shuttle
Investing Articles

Forget SpaceX? Amazon stock offers exposure to space cheaply

Amazon is the best performing Mag 7 stock in 2026. That's because investors are realising that there's huge potential in…

Read more »

Portrait Of Senior Couple Climbing Hill On Hike Through Countryside In Lake District UK Together
Investing Articles

How much does an investor need in an ISA to target £1,500 in monthly passive income?

Paul Summers reckons a bit of commitment and discipline can help generate a wonderful passive income stream for retirement.

Read more »