Why the RBS share price looks set to surge higher than the Footsie this year

Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc (LON: RBS) could offer a surprisingly strong outlook relative to the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

While RBS (LSE: RBS) may have risen by the same 3% over the last year as the FTSE 100, the prospects for the bank appear to be bright. It may continue to face legacy challenges, but its overall performance seems to be sound and could lead to strong earnings growth.

As a result, the company could deliver better total returns than the wider index. Of course, it’s not the only stock that could do so, with one small-cap stock reporting positive results on Thursday.

Financial outlook

While the UK banking sector continues to face challenges such as a slowing rate of economic growth and continued regulatory issues such as PPI, its prospects appear to be improving. For example, the decade-long period of loose monetary policy now seems to be at an end, with interest rate rises expected to increase in frequency over the next few years. This could create more profitable trading conditions for the industry, and may lead to improving financial performance.

With RBS putting in place what seems to be an improving business model that focuses on efficiency and its core operations, its financial outlook is due to improve. Next year it’s forecast to post a rise in earnings of 11%, which suggests that its strategy is starting to pay off. And with it trading on a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 1, it could be viewed as undervalued on a relative and absolute basis.

Income potential

One measure of the value appeal and financial strength of a business is its dividend prospects. A fast-rising dividend can indicate that a company’s management is positive about its long-term prospects, while a high yield suggests a margin of safety may be on offer.

In both of these areas, RBS seems to have appeal. It’s due to raise dividends per share by 82% next year, which puts it on a forward yield of 4.7%. And with shareholder payouts expected to be covered 2.1 times in 2019, there seems to be scope for an even higher dividend over the medium term. As such, the company appears to offer a mix of value and income appeal, and could therefore deliver outperformance of the FTSE 100 over the medium term.

Growth potential

Also offering scope to beat the Footsie at the present time is OnTheMarket (LSE: OTMP). It operates the online property portal of the same name and released generally positive results on Thursday. They’re its first set of full year results following its listing in February.

Encouragingly, traffic to its website increased from 21.9m in the 2017 financial year to 42.2m visits in 2018. As at 25 May, the company had signed listing agreements with UK estate and letting agents that together have more than 8,500 offices, which is a rise of 54% since its admission to the stock market.

Clearly, OnTheMarket faces a significant amount of competition. The industry is dominated by a very small number of companies, and breaking their grip on it could prove challenging. As a result, its risks appear to be high.

But with what seems to be a sound strategy and positive growth in listings and traffic numbers, its long-term potential seems to be positive. Therefore, now could be a good time to buy it.

Peter Stephens owns shares of Royal Bank of Scotland Group. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Black woman using loudspeaker to be heard
Investing Articles

A SIPP opened at birth could be worth £10m in 55 years

The SIPP is an incredible vehicle for building wealth and saving for retirement. Many Britons just don't realise how early…

Read more »

Young Caucasian woman at the street withdrawing money at the ATM
Investing Articles

2 passive income ideas for a Stocks and Shares ISA

Looking for passive income stocks in April? Here are two high-quality FTSE 250 dividend shares to consider buying for an…

Read more »

Front view of aircraft in flight.
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Wizz Air shares 2 days ago is now worth…

This week has been a rather good one for beaten-down Wizz Air shares. What would have happened to a £5,000…

Read more »

Road trip. Father and son travelling together by car
Investing Articles

How much do you need in an ISA for £1,000 a week in passive income?

Ben McPoland highlights a FTSE 250 stock down by more than 25% that offers good value and an attractive 5.5%…

Read more »

A row of satellite radars at night
Investing Articles

Is Elon Musk about to send this FTSE 100 stock into orbit?

This year is shaping up to be a big one for this FTSE 100 stock and part of the reason…

Read more »

Petrochemical engineer working at night with digital tablet inside oil and gas refinery plant
Investing Articles

Up 50% in a month! Meet Quadrise, the soaring UK penny stock that offers an alternative to oil

Mark Hartley takes a closer look at a British penny stock that envisions a future less dependent on crude oil.…

Read more »

Senior couple crossing the road on a city street. They are walking with shopping bags while Christmas shopping.
Investing Articles

How much do I need in a SIPP for a £500 monthly passive income?

Looking to earn a reliable passive income from your SIPP? Royston Wild explains how this could be possible with some…

Read more »

Hand of person putting wood cube block with word VALUE on wooden table
Investing Articles

A P/E ratio of less than 7. Is this a red-hot value share to consider now?

James Beard uses a popular tool to identify a UK share that’s potentially undervalued. But he reckons judgement is also…

Read more »