The Motley Fool

Should You Be Worried About Standard Chartered PLC & HSBC Holdings plc’s Exposure To China?

It’s fair to say that China’s equity market has become rather erratic during the past few weeks and months. A staggering $3trn has been wiped off the value of Chinese equities after a three-week slump. Despite the authorities’ best efforts, the market is struggling to regain its composure. 

Unfortunately, it’s not just Chinese investors that are feeling the effects of the country’s bear market. There are now some signs that declining stock prices are forcing investors to sell their houses to recoup losses. 

5G is here – and shares of this ‘sleeping giant’ could be a great way for you to potentially profit!

According to one leading industry firm, the 5G boom could create a global industry worth US$12.3 TRILLION out of thin air…

And if you click here we’ll show you something that could be key to unlocking 5G’s full potential...

Property problems

At the beginning of July, China’s securities regulator announced that property had become an acceptable form of collateral for margin traders. But five days later, a number of Chinese real estate agents reported that investors were rushing to sell their properties, at a 10% discount to the market price, in order to cover losses from equity investments.  

For Asia-focused lenders, Standard Chartered (LSE: STAN) and HSBC (LSE: HSBA) this could be rally bad news. If investors really are looking to dump property to meet margin calls, it could spark a wave of selling across China’s already weak property market. This could in turn, force highly leveraged property developers out of business. The knock-on effects throughout the regional and global economy could be disastrous. 

Difficult to tell

It’s difficult to tell how banks like HSBC and Standard would cope if a portfolio of China’s debt mountain suddenly turned bad. Although, it’s reasonable to assume that the two banks would face a hefty bill. 

China is heavily indebted. Between 2008 and 2014 non-financial corporate debt grew at a rate of 24% per annum and at the end of 2014 the country’s total debt pile amounted to 220% of gross domestic product. Around 15% of the country’s annual GDP is now funding interest payments. 

This could become a problem for HSBC. The bank’s new strategy, to withdraw from international market like Turkey, Brazil and possibly even the UK, redeploying assets in the Pearl River Delta and Southeast Asia, will leave the bank overexposed to China’s indebted economy. City analysts have already expressed their concern at the bank’s decision to go ‘overweight’ China, at a time when the country’s future is uncertain. 

Still, in the short term, cutting 25,000 jobs and realigning its operations to focus on China should boost HSBC’s growth. However, a lack of international diversification could hold back the group’s long-term growth. 

Regional control

Standard Chartered has enough problems on its plate without having to worry about China’s debt. 

Nevertheless, the group’s structural overhaul to shift capital and power to new regional hubs should ensure that the group has an experienced regional management in place if the economic situation within China deteriorates. By removing overlapping layers of management, Standard hopes to cut more costs beyond the $1.8bn in savings over three years it announced recently. HSBC already employees the regional hub model. 

Unfortunately, Standard is already facing mounting losses from its exposure to commodity markets within Asia. It’s estimated that the bank will need to raise between £5bn and £10bn to cover non-performing loan losses and recapitalise the balance sheet after. As the prices of key commodities have only fallen further since this estimate was produced, the bank’s losses could be even greater than initially expected. 

5G is here – and shares of this ‘sleeping giant’ could be a great way for you to potentially profit!

According to one leading industry firm, the 5G boom could create a global industry worth US $12.3 TRILLION out of thin air…

And if you click here, we’ll show you something that could be key to unlocking 5G’s full potential...

It’s just ONE innovation from a little-known US company that has quietly spent years preparing for this exact moment…

But you need to get in before the crowd catches onto this ‘sleeping giant’.

Click here to learn more.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended HSBC Holdings. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Our 6 'Best Buys Now' Shares

The renowned analyst team at The Motley Fool UK have named 6 shares that they believe UK investors should consider buying NOW.

So if you’re looking for more stock ideas to try and best position your portfolio today, then it might be a good day for you. Because we're offering a full 33% off your first year of membership to our flagship share-tipping service, backed by our 'no quibbles' 30-day subscription fee refund guarantee.

Simply enter your email address below to discover how you can take advantage of this.

I would like to receive emails from you about product information and offers from The Fool and its business partners. Each of these emails will provide a link to unsubscribe from future emails. More information about how The Fool collects, stores, and handles personal data is available in its Privacy Statement.