AstraZeneca plc: Why $4.20 Is The Magic Number

AstraZeneca plc’s (LON: AZN) management will be keeping a keen eye on the company’s earnings.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Executive compensation plans have always drawn shareholders criticism but AstraZeneca’s (LSE: AZN) (NYSE: AZN.US) ‘Azip’ plan has been designed with shareholders in mind. 

Azip was put together in order to safeguard Astra’s dividend payout to investors, as well as encouraging the company’s management to grow the payout at a sustainable rate and grow earnings per share.  

The criteria are simple. In order for the Azip plan to remain in effect, the dividend must not be cut and earnings per share must not fall below 1.5 times the dividend. If either of these targets are not met, then benefits are forfeited. Astra’s CEO, Pascal Soriot, stands to lose a bonus of 89,960 shares, roughly £4.1m worth of stock if the company fails to maintain these standards. 

 So, there’s a lot at stake but why is $4.20 such an important number?

The magic number 

The Azip plan states that Astra’s dividend must be covered one-and-a-half times by earnings per share. For the last three years Astra has paid out a dividend per share of $2.80. Multiply $2.80 by 1.5 and you get $4.20. 

What’s more, as part of the Azip plan, Astra cannot cut the dividend. With this being the case, the payout cannot be lowered in order to maintain cover of one-and-a-half times.

So overall, Astra’s earnings per share must stay above the key $4.20 level. At this level the payout is covered one-and-a-half times and rewards promised under the Azip plan are safe. However, if Astra cuts its dividend to save cash, or the company’s earnings per share fall below $4.20, then awards promised under the Azip plan are forfeit. 

Full steam ahead

Unfortunately, Astra’s management are running out of time to ensure that they meet the Azip criteria. Indeed, as Astra struggles with falling sales of its key products, earnings have been falling over the past five years. Full-year 2013 earnings per share were $5.05, down from $7.28 as reported for full-year 2011.

Moreover, within the group’s recently published third-quarter earnings announcement, management revealed that full-year 2014 earnings would be 15% lower than those reported for 2013, in part because of the stronger dollar. According to my figures, these forecasts suggest that Astra is set to report earnings per share of $4.29 for 2014, only just above the key $4.20 threshold. 

And with that key $4.20 threshold looming, Astra’s management have picked up the pace driving multiple deals through over the past month alone.

For example, since the beginning of October the company has revived the go-ahead from regulators for the development of several new, key drugs. An asset swap with peer Almirall has also been completed and Astra’s global biologics research and development arm, MedImmune, has entered into an agreement to acquire Definiens, a world-leading medical data analysis technology firm. 

Astra’s management knows that they stand to lose a lot if the dividend payout comes under pressure, so they’re working hard to ensure that the company returns to growth.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Here are my top US stocks to consider buying in 2026

The US remains the most popular market for investors looking for stocks to buy. In a crowded market, where does…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£20,000 in excess savings? Here’s how to try and turn that into a second income in 2026

Stephen Wright outlines an opportunity for investors with £20,000 in excess cash to target a £1,450 a year second income…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Investing Articles

Is a 9% yield from one of the UK’s most reliable dividend shares too good to be true?

Taylor Wimpey’s recent dividend record has been outstanding, but investors thinking of buying shares need to take a careful look…

Read more »

Snowing on Jubilee Gardens in London at dusk
Value Shares

Is it time to consider buying this FTSE 250 Christmas turkey?

With its share price falling by more than half since December 2024, James Beard considers the prospects for the worst-performing…

Read more »

A young black man makes the symbol of a peace sign with two fingers
Investing Articles

2 FTSE shares experts think will smash the market in 2026!

Discover some of the best-performing FTSE shares of 2025, and which ones expert analysts think will outperform in 2026 and…

Read more »

Close-up image depicting a woman in her 70s taking British bank notes from her colourful leather wallet.
Investing Articles

Every pound I invested in this FTSE 100 growth stock last year is now worth £3

Mark Hartley is astounded by the growth of one under-the-radar FTSE stock that’s up 200%. But looking ahead, he has…

Read more »

Tabletop model of a bear sat on desk in front of monitors showing stock charts
Investing Articles

Is the S&P 500 heading for a stock market crash?

The S&P 500's surged by double digits yet again in 2025, but can this momentum continue in 2026, or are…

Read more »

Rolls-Royce's Pearl 10X engine series
Investing Articles

£2,000 invested in Rolls-Royce shares 3 years ago is now worth…

Anyone who had the courage to buy Rolls-Royce shares three years ago, and has held on to them, has made…

Read more »