3 ‘nightmare’ FTSE 100 value traps I wouldn’t buy with free money

Some FTSE 100 firms look great buys in this tricky period for markets. Others look like basket cases. Paul Summers suggests these three are among the latter.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Middle-aged white man pulling an aggrieved face while looking at a screen

Image source: Getty Images

The spooky season is upon us. So what better time to remind myself that there are some FTSE 100 shares that continue to look like horror stories?

Here are three I’d refuse to buy if you paid me.

Blue sky stock

I’ve long been unable to see the appeal of Ocado (LSE: OCDO) shares. That’s despite the company multi-bagging in value between 2017 and 2021.

Unfortunately, these gains have now evaporated. In fact, I’d have a paper loss of over 80% if I’d invested when the share price hit a record high.

The problem here isn’t the company’s tech offer, as such. Ocado’s Customer Fulfilment Centres — warehouses built for companies it has partnered — are a sight to behold. The problem is that they take an awfully long time to build and roll out. In the meantime, the business fails to make a profit, giving it a ‘jam tomorrow’ whiff that you usually find in small-cap stocks.

This is not to say a recovery is impossible. Persistent rumours that Amazon is preparing a bid have sporadically boosted the share price.

But nothing has come to pass, so far. And with brokers growing increasingly worried about subdued growth in its retail arm, I wouldn’t be surprised if the firm falls out of the FTSE 100.

Tricky outlook

British Airways owner International Consolidated Airlines SA (LSE: IAG) is another horror story, as far as I’m concerned.

Granted, some of this is not the company’s fault. The pandemic ravaged the travel industry as planes were grounded and people were forced behind closed doors.

On a positive note, there’s clear evidence trading has returned to form. IAG beat forecasts in Q3, due to strong demand over the summer months. Operating profit before exceptional items jumped 39% to €1.75bn.

What’s interesting however, is that this news didn’t put a rocket under the share price. Clearly, some investors are still unnerved by the impact of political and economic uncertainties going forward.

In the meantime, a significant debt pile means the firm isn’t paying any dividends. Competition in this space remains intense too.

With so many great FTSE 100 companies trading on historically low valuations and paying out cash to their holders, I can’t be tempted here. That’s despite the shares changing hands for an exceptionally low price tag of four times forecast earnings.

Debt-heavy

Speaking of dividends, completing my trio of stocks I’m pushing away with a bargepole is perennial income investor favourite Vodafone (LSE: VOD).

This ongoing popularity isn’t hard to fathom. The shares currently yield 9.2%, based on analyst estimates — well over double what I’d get from a fund that simply tracked the FTSE 100.

The issue is that this is only expected to be just about covered by FY24 profit. Therefore, I wouldn’t be surprised if new(ish) CEO Margherita Della Valle opted to reduce the dividend to shore up cash.

Like IAG, the company is also loaded with debt. This looks likely to only get worse if the firm’s merger with Three (and plans to invest £11bn in building a 5G network) is given the green light.

And then there’s the performance of the share price. Vodafone’s have halved in value in five years. If that’s not the definition of a value trap, I’m not sure what is.

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Paul Summers has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Amazon, Ocado Group Plc, and Vodafone Group Public. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Person holding magnifying glass over important document, reading the small print
Investing Articles

Aviva’s share price is down 13% to under £7, despite outstanding 2025 results! Time for me to buy more?

I think Aviva’s share price reflects an outdated view of the business, and that gap between perception and reality is…

Read more »

Arrow symbol glowing amid black arrow symbols on black background.
Investing Articles

Shell’s £33+ share price is near an all-time high, so why am I going to buy more as soon as possible?

Shell's strong cash generation and improving growth drivers contrast with a share price well below my valuation, suggesting major long‑term…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Investing Articles

An 8.4% forecast yield but down 16%! Time for me to buy more of this FTSE 100 passive income star?

This FTSE 100 passive‑income machine is delivering rising payouts and strong forecasts, and its share price suggests the market hasn’t…

Read more »

CEO Mark Zuckerberg at F8 2019 event
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Meta Platforms Stock 5 years ago is now worth…

Meta Platforms has been throwing good money after bad at Reality Labs since 2021, but the stock has more than…

Read more »

Middle-aged white man pulling an aggrieved face while looking at a screen
Investing Articles

£7,500 invested in Diageo shares 5 weeks ago is now worth…

Our writer wonders if Diageo shares are worth a look at a 14-year low, or whether this FTSE 100 spirits…

Read more »

National Grid engineers at a substation
Investing Articles

Is Warren Buffett’s firm about to buy this FTSE 100 company?

There’s always speculation about what Warren Buffett’s company might be doing. But one UK idea has a bit more to…

Read more »

Female student sitting at the steps and using laptop
Growth Shares

Down 17% in a month, this household FTSE 250 stock looks cheap

Jon Smith acknowledges the recent market sell-off but points out a FTSE 250 stock that he believes offers a long-term…

Read more »

Hydrogen testing at DLR Cologne
Investing Articles

Rolls-Royce’s share price has plunged 16% from its highs! Time to buy?

Rolls-Royce's share price has tumbled in less than three weeks. Royston Wild asks: is the FTSE 100 engineering stock now…

Read more »