Down 23% in a year, are Vodafone shares a busted flush?

Vodafone shares have lost almost a quarter of their value in 12 months, while more than halving over five years. But I’m a firm holder of this stock.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Frustrated young white male looking disconsolate while sat on his sofa holding a beer

Image source: Getty Images

The past five years and more have been a rough ride for owners of Vodafone Group (LSE: VOD) shares. Since early 2018, the Vodafone share price has plunged by roughly two-thirds, wiping out tens of billions of pounds of shareholder wealth.

Shares’ long slide

At the end of 2018, the stock closed at 235p, with the shares nowhere near that level ever since. Here’s how the telecom giant’s share price has performed each year since 2018:

Year-endShare priceYearly change
2018152.90-34.9%
2019146.76-4.0%
2020120.94-17.6%
2021112.26-7.2%
202284.24-25.0%

For the last five years in a row, this FTSE 100 stock has lost value for its owners. Falls nearing 35% in 2018, 18% in 2020 and 25% in 2022 have battered the share price from triple to double digits.

Over one year, the widely held stock has lost 23.3% of its value, while it has crashed by more than half over five years. At the current share price of 78.14p, the group is valued at just £21.2bn. That’s a far cry from 2000, when Vodafone was Europe’s most valuable listed company.

What went wrong?

On occasion, I’ve heard the European telecoms market described as ‘a graveyard for yield investors’. And this certainly seems to be the case for Vodafone.

Don’t get me wrong — the group is still a huge global enterprise today. Vodafone is Europe’s largest operator of mobile and fixed networks. It also has the continent’s biggest and fastest-growing 5G network. In total, it has 300m mobile customers, 27m fixed broadband customers and 22m TV customers.

Despite this huge size and scale, it has found it very difficult to consistently grow its revenues, earnings and cash flow. In addition, its balance sheet is weighed down by €33.4bn of net debt, though this has fallen by almost a fifth (-19.7%) from €41.6bn a year prior.

I own this stock

For my sins, I am a part-owner of Vodafone. My wife bought the stock for our family portfolio in December 2022, paying 89.4p per share.

Today, we’re nursing a paper loss of 12.6%, which is hardly ideal. Then again, the shares have bounced back by 12.1% from their 52-week low of 69.73p, hit on 11 July.

Furthermore, I’m hopeful that there may be light at the end of the tunnel for long-suffering shareholders. CEO Margherita Della Valle could become a new broom that sweeps away some of the group’s legacy problems. She’s already brokering new strategic partnerships with other big players.

Also, all the above returns exclude cash dividends, which are the primary reason why we invested in Vodafone. The stock’s cash yield of 10% a year is one of the highest in the London market. It’s also 2.5 times the yearly cash yield of the wider FTSE 100 (4%).

In other words, Vodafone is — for me, at least — a dividend play with recovery upside. So while I wait for the new CEO to turn things around, I will happily collect my 10% a year in cash. Unless future dividend payouts are cut, of course!

Cliff D’Arcy has an economic interest in Vodafone Group shares. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Vodafone Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services, such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool, we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

Will Lloyds shares rise 25% or 39% by this time next year?

Lloyds shares are expected to rebound after sinking to fresh multi-month peaks. Royston Wild considers the outlook for the FTSE…

Read more »

Modern suburban family houses with car on driveway
Investing Articles

£7,500 invested in Taylor Wimpey shares 18 months ago is now worth…

A raft of issues have been plaguing the housebuilding sector in the last year-and-a-half. How bad was the damage for…

Read more »

A rear view of a female in a bright yellow coat walking along the historic street known as The Shambles in York, UK which is a popular tourist destination in this Yorkshire city.
Investing Articles

£210 drip-fed into this 6.8%-yielding UK stock could lead to a £1,000 second income 

This FTSE 100 dividend stock has slumped nearly 11% inside two weeks, making it a worthy candidate to consider for…

Read more »

ISA Individual Savings Account
Investing Articles

ISA or SIPP? 2 factors to consider

As next month's ISA contribution deadline creeps up, our writer considers a couple of key differences between using a SIPP,…

Read more »

Portrait of pensive bearded senior looking on screen of laptop sitting at table with coffee cup.
Investing Articles

Is this 5.6% yielding dividend share a brilliant defensive bolthole as war rages?

Harvey Jones looks at a FTSE 100 dividend share with a brilliant record of delivering income and growth, and wonders…

Read more »

Hand of person putting wood cube block with word VALUE on wooden table
Investing Articles

2 quality UK stocks trading below intrinsic value?

UK stocks have a reputation for being cheap, but could value investors be in dreamland with the opportunities being presented…

Read more »

Businessman with tablet, waiting at the train station platform
Investing Articles

£15,000 put into Greggs shares a year ago is worth this much now…

Greggs' sausage rolls may be tasty enough -- but its shares have left a bad taste in some investors' mouths…

Read more »

Investing Articles

FTSE 100 drops sharply — are serious bargains emerging in UK stocks?

Andrew Mackie looks at the FTSE 100 and explores how sharp falls, market volatility, and structural opportunities are reshaping the…

Read more »