2022 dividend forecasts: are these 3 FTSE 100 stocks a buy?

I’m looking to see which stocks have the greatest dividend forecasts for the year ahead. Here are three I’m considering with double-digit yields.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Close-up of British bank notes

Image source: Getty Images

I’m looking ahead to 2022 to see which FTSE 100 stocks have the highest dividend forecasts. These three shares have the highest forecasted yields out of the whole FTSE 100 index.

Let’s take a look to see if I should buy them for my income portfolio.

A FTSE 100 dividend stock

The company with the highest forecast dividend yield is Evraz (LSE: EVR) with an eye-popping forward-looking yield of 20% as I write. Now, with a dividend yield this high, I question just how sustainable it will be. It’s perhaps too high at this level.

Evraz operates in the mining sector, specifically as a miner of iron ore and coal, while also manufacturing steel. In the half-year report to 30 June, net profit surged to $1.2bn, which increased from $513m in the same period one year ago. Management said higher steel, vanadium and coal sales prices were factors leading to the outstanding performance.

However, Evraz hasn’t always paid a dividend in recent times. The company depends on one area of the commodity market, namely steel. If steel prices do fall then Evraz’s profits will decline, which will likely lead to a reduction in the dividend. Indeed, management noted some caution over “a possible correction in steel prices” in the half-year report.

I’m going to sit this one out for now as I think there are less risky dividend stocks to consider.

A ‘safer’ FTSE 100 mining stock

I’m also looking at Rio Tinto (LSE: RIO), another FTSE 100 mining stock. Only here, the company is diversified across the commodity markets in both industrial and precious metal mining. 

Rio Tinto has benefited from a boom in economic growth since the pandemic last year. This has boosted company profits, and then its ability to pay above-average dividends. But with the dividend forecast being for a huge 17% yield, so again, I don’t expect this to be maintained. 

Rio Tinto has consistently paid a dividend though. In fact, the last dividend payment it missed was in 2009, just after the financial crisis. Nevertheless, the company is still cyclical, and demand can fall quite drastically if economic growth begins to slow. It’s a key risk to consider before I invest.

On balance, I think Rio Tinto is the safer mining stock with a double-digit forecasted yield. I’d buy the shares for my portfolio.

Savings and investment

The last company is M&G (LSE: MNG). It’s a savings and investment company, and in 2019 it completed a demerger from Prudential.

The current dividend yield forecast is almost 11%, which makes it the third-largest dividend forecast in the FTSE 100. It’s paid a dividend every year since the demerger completed, albeit this is only since 2019. The company is also able to generate double-digit returns on its equity, which can be a sign of a quality business.

The risk with M&G is that business performance is tied to its assets under management (AUM). Performance can decline when financial markets fall, or even worse, crash. This will lower the fees the company can generate on its AUM, and therefore its dividend would likely be cut. 

M&G’s management is committed to its dividend policy though, so I still see this as a strong dividend stock to consider for my portfolio.

Dan Appleby owns shares of Rio Tinto. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young Black woman using a debit card at an ATM to withdraw money
Investing Articles

Meet the FTSE 100’s newest bank stock

This FTSE 250 stock has skyrocketed nearly 900% over the past 60 months, earning it a place in the prestigious…

Read more »

Investing Articles

See what £10,000 invested in Shell shares 1 month ago is worth now

Harvey Jones looks at how Shell shares have fared over the past month and more importantly, what the long-term outlook…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Growth Shares

At its lowest level since July, here’s why I think the IAG share price is dead cheap

Jon Smith explains why the IAG share price has fallen over the past week but talks through the reasons why…

Read more »

Picture of an easyJet plane taking off.
Investing Articles

Will the easyJet share price rise 43% or 97% by this time next year?

City analysts believe easyJet's share price might almost double over the next year. Royston Wild considers the outlook for the…

Read more »

Female student sitting at the steps and using laptop
Investing Articles

More great news for Rolls-Royce shares!

Rolls-Royce shares got a boost this week after some intriguing developments in the process of creating Europe's new fighter aircraft.

Read more »

Arrow symbol glowing amid black arrow symbols on black background.
Investing Articles

Persimmon’s share price surges 7% on double boost! Can it keep rising?

Persimmon's share price is surging, up 11% at one point earlier on Tuesday. Could this be the start of a…

Read more »

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

What on earth’s happening to the Greggs share price?

Harvey Jones says Greggs’ share price has shown surprising resilience in the recent stock market turmoil, but the FTSE 250…

Read more »

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing Articles

Barclays shares are down 18%. Time to consider buying?

Barclays’ shares have plummeted in recent weeks. Edward Sheldon looks at what’s going on and provides his view on the…

Read more »