Could these small-cap ‘special situations’ help you retire early?

Do these two small-caps have the potential to deliver stellar returns?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Shares of Molins (LSE: MLIN) jumped 28% last Thursday after it announced a conditional agreement to sell its Instrumentation & Tobacco Machinery division for £30m, with cash proceeds of £27.3m, net of taxes and fees. In the company’s last financial year, the division contributed £38.6m to group revenue, almost as much as its other division (Packaging Machinery), which contributed £41.5m. So, this is a significant disposal and will require shareholder approval.

Big discount?

The sale of the division will considerably strengthen Molins’ balance sheet and cash-positive position (net cash at the last year-end was £0.8m). It will also enable the company to accelerate investment in its Packaging Machinery division and acquire complementary businesses.

The company had net assets of £35.4m at the last year-end and says that the £27.3m from the sale of the Instrumentation & Tobacco Machinery division is similar to the book value of the division’s net assets. Even after the rise in the shares to 101.5p, Molins’ market cap is just £20.5m — a 42% discount to net assets. Put another way, if the shares traded in line with net asset value, the price would be 175p.

Meanwhile, the company says it’s “confident that the Continuing Group’s sales in 2017 are likely to be significantly ahead of last year” and has implicitly guided on £51m. If we apply the 0.78 times sales multiple at which the Instrumentation & Tobacco Machinery division is being sold to the remaining Packaging Machinery division, we get a share price of 197p.

There are execution risks with Molins’ strategy to acquire complementary businesses and the company also has a significant pension deficit. The current deficit recovery plan involves payments of £1.8m a year (increasing by 2.1% a year) through to 2029. Nevertheless, the size of the discount of the share price to my fair-value calculations of 175p-197p persuades me that there is potential for significant gains for buyers of the stock today.

Stamps licked?

Shares of Stanley Gibbons (LSE: SGI) shot up 18% to 13.13p on Friday after it announced an unsolicited approach from private equity group Disruptive Capital regarding a possible offer. However, the shares have retreated to 11p today after a further announcement from the stamps and coins company and an announcement from Disruptive Capital.

Stanley Gibbons had a peak market cap of £179m just a few years ago but is currently valued by the market at just £19.7m after accounting shenanigans, difficult trading conditions, debt problems and an emergency fundraising. On the face of it, there could be value here, because the shares are trading at a discount of 56% to net asset value at the last balance sheet date (30 September) and at just 0.39 times trailing 12-month sales.

However, 30 September is a long time ago and sales were in decline at that time. More recently, the company reported little headroom on its borrowing facilities at 31 March, saying it was “utilising £17.2m out of its total facilities of £18.3m”.

In today’s announcement, Stanley Gibbons formally put itself up for sale, saying further investment is required. At the same time, Disruptive Capital announced it didn’t have key information “to evaluate whether or not to make an offer” and is not making one. Similarly, I think there’s currently insufficient information to evaluate whether the shares are good or poor value at their current level.

G A Chester has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Senior woman potting plant in garden at home
Investing Articles

Think you might be too old to start investing? Think again!

Is there an age at which someone is too old to start investing? Our writer doesn't think so. Here's why…

Read more »

Aston Martin DBX - rear pic of trunk
Investing Articles

Could Aston Martin end up as a penny stock?

Aston Martin shares sell for pennies, but its market capitalisation means it's a long way from being a penny stock.…

Read more »

Young Caucasian woman with pink her studying from her laptop screen
Investing Articles

Dear Greggs shareholders, mark your calendar for 3 March

Greggs shares have served up a nasty surprise over the past couple of years. But might the worst be over…

Read more »

Workers at Whiting refinery, US
Investing Articles

£500 buys 109 shares in this 5.3%-yielding passive income stock!

Want to earn some passive income? Have a small lump sum to invest? Here’s a potentially overlooked FTSE 100 stock…

Read more »

Young Asian woman holding a cup of takeaway coffee and folders containing paperwork, on her way into the office
Investing Articles

Here’s how to invest £20,000 in an ISA for a £1,240 second income

James Beard explores a potential opportunity for those with a Stocks and Shares ISA wanting to target a healthy four-figure…

Read more »

Man thinking about artificial intelligence investing algorithms
Investing Articles

Want to invest in SpaceX and Anthropic? Consider this top FTSE 100 stock

Claude AI bot maker Anthropic and rocket pioneer SpaceX are two of the most disruptive firms on Earth. This FTSE…

Read more »

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office
Investing Articles

The Warren Buffett indicator says the stock market looks expensive. Here’s what to do

The Warren Buffett indicator is at all-time highs. But is that a warning for investors to stay away from the…

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman jumping for joy in a park with confetti falling around her
Investing Articles

The surprising way to aim for a million: buying just a handful of shares

Ever wondered whether you could really aim for a million in the stock market? This writer thinks it's possible -…

Read more »