Is Boohoo.Com plc a better retail pick than Topps Tiles plc?

Royston Wild considers the investment case for Boohoo.Com plc (LON: BOO) and Topps Tiles plc (LSE: TPT).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Online fashion giant Boohoo.Com (LSE: BOO) continued to stride higher in Tuesday trade after furnishing the market with a fresh set of bubbly financials.

The stock was last dealing 2% higher from Monday’s close just shy of 150p per share, a fresh record high.  Boohoo has risen an eye-watering 300% during the past year, and I reckon the retailer’s exceptional sales momentum leaves room for further share price strength.

It advised that total revenues leapt 55% during the four months to December 31, to £114.3m. And this suggests a recent pick-up in shopper appetite — by comparison sales during the 10 months to New Year’s Eve rose by a still-impressive 47%.

This strong performance prompted Boohoo to upgrade its sales targets in the year to February 2017. Growth of between 43% and 45% is now expected (excluding the December acquisition of smaller peer PrettyLittleThing), up from a prior target of 38% to 42%.

Shopper demand in its core UK market — responsible for around 56% of group revenues — shot 33% higher during the period to December 31.

But the strong performance reported at home was overshadowed by Boohoo’s excellent progress in foreign climes. A storming 230% rise in the US grabbed the headlines, while growth of 63% in Europe and 66% in the rest of the world were none-too-shoddy, either.

The exceptional progress the business is making across the globe makes it a hot growth pick, irrespective of rising pressures on British shoppers’ wallets in the months ahead as the Brexit saga continues.

City brokers certainly expect earnings to keep chugging higher, and the bottom line is anticipated to soar 69% and 25% in fiscal 2017 and 2018 respectively.

While these forecasts produce large P/E ratios of 77.8 times and 62.2 times, I expect Boohoo’s earnings multiples to keep toppling further out as sales keep lifting off.

On the floor

Flooring giant Topps Tiles (LSE: TPT), by contrast, hasn’t commanded the same kind of reverence following its latest trading update on Tuesday. The stock was last 1% lower on the day and perching precariously above recent three-year lows.

The Cheadle-based business advised that it had witnessed “softer trading conditions” during the 13 weeks to December 31, with like-for-like sales edging just 0.3% higher in the period. This represents a marked slowdown from the 1.4% advance enjoyed during the prior three months.

The City expects Topps Tiles to record a 4% earnings advance in the year to September 2017, resulting in a conventionally-cheap P/E ratio of 9.3 times. At face value this would suggest the risks facing the stock are more than priced-in at current share levels.

I’m not so convinced however, and believe current earnings estimates could be in line for crushing downgrades as retail conditions in the UK remain broadly under pressure this year and possibly beyond.

I therefore believe that shrewd stock pickers should give Topps Tiles short shrift at the present time.

Royston Wild has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended boohoo.com. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young Black woman using a debit card at an ATM to withdraw money
Investing Articles

Meet the FTSE 100’s newest bank stock

This FTSE 250 stock has skyrocketed nearly 900% over the past 60 months, earning it a place in the prestigious…

Read more »

Investing Articles

See what £10,000 invested in Shell shares 1 month ago is worth now

Harvey Jones looks at how Shell shares have fared over the past month and more importantly, what the long-term outlook…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Growth Shares

At its lowest level since July, here’s why I think the IAG share price is dead cheap

Jon Smith explains why the IAG share price has fallen over the past week but talks through the reasons why…

Read more »

Picture of an easyJet plane taking off.
Investing Articles

Will the easyJet share price rise 43% or 97% by this time next year?

City analysts believe easyJet's share price might almost double over the next year. Royston Wild considers the outlook for the…

Read more »

Female student sitting at the steps and using laptop
Investing Articles

More great news for Rolls-Royce shares!

Rolls-Royce shares got a boost this week after some intriguing developments in the process of creating Europe's new fighter aircraft.

Read more »

Arrow symbol glowing amid black arrow symbols on black background.
Investing Articles

Persimmon’s share price surges 7% on double boost! Can it keep rising?

Persimmon's share price is surging, up 11% at one point earlier on Tuesday. Could this be the start of a…

Read more »

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

What on earth’s happening to the Greggs share price?

Harvey Jones says Greggs’ share price has shown surprising resilience in the recent stock market turmoil, but the FTSE 250…

Read more »

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing Articles

Barclays shares are down 18%. Time to consider buying?

Barclays’ shares have plummeted in recent weeks. Edward Sheldon looks at what’s going on and provides his view on the…

Read more »