Can You Trust 5% Yields From Vodafone Group plc, Admiral Group plc & Telecom plus PLC?

Roland Head takes a look at the dividend outlook for Vodafone Group plc (LON:VOD), Admiral Group plc (LON:ADM) and Telecom plus PLC (LON:TEP).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Investing in high-yielding dividend stocks can be a good way to insulate yourself from the effects of short-term market corrections. However, it’s important to try and choose companies with affordable and reliable dividends.

Shares offering a yield of about 5% can be ideal. This level of yield is high enough to be worthwhile, but is often low enough to be safe.

In this article I’ll take a look three possible choices.

Above-average returns

Motor insurer Admiral Group (LSE: ADM) released a solid set of results last week. Pre-tax profits rose by 6%, while earnings per share were 4% higher at 107.3p. Most importantly for us, the full-year dividend was hiked by 16% to 114.4p per share.

This gives Admiral a trailing yield of 5.8%. However, you may have noticed that last year’s dividend was not covered by earnings per share. That’s because, in addition to a large share of post-tax profits, Admiral was also able to return some surplus capital to shareholders.

This aspect of Admiral’s dividend is common to many other insurance companies. It means that yields can be very high, but the payout will not always rise each year. Insurers also tend to be cyclical. Claims levels vary, and sometimes insurers are forced to cut prices or reduce their market share.

Despite these risks, Admiral has a track record of above-average shareholder returns. I believe the shares could be a good income buy.

Dividend pledge

Vodafone Group (LSE: VOD) currently offers a forecast dividend payout of 11.5p per share for the current financial year. This equates to an attractive yield of 5.3%. The only problem is that Vodafone is expected to report earnings per share of just 4.6p this year. The dividend won’t be covered by earnings.

Vodafone’s earnings are expected to rise to 5.7p per share next year, but the dividend will still be uncovered. When might this situation improve?

Vodafone has been spending heavily on network upgrades and acquisitions. However, this spending is nearly complete and Vodafone boss Vittorio Colao has promised that free cash flow and earnings should soon start to improve. He’s also pledged to maintain the dividend.

Vodafone can afford to do this, as the group’s debt levels are relatively low. The recent third-quarter results also suggest that earnings momentum is improving. I’m happy to continue holding my Vodafone shares for income.

Tough competition

Sales and profits have continued to rise at Telecom Plus (LSE: TEP), despite the 50% fall in its share price since January 2014.  The group makes money by re-selling utilities and telecoms through its Utility Warehouse business. Adjusted earnings are expected to rise to 56.6p per share this year, giving a forecast P/E of 16.1.

Current forecasts suggest that the dividend will rise by 15% to 46p per share. This would give dividend cover of 1.2, which seems low. However, the firm’s past results suggest that this payout should also be backed by free cash flow, making it relatively safe.

Analysts remain bullish on Telecoms Plus and are forecasting 9% growth for 2016/17.

Personally, I’m not sure how long growth can continue in the face of tougher competition from the utilities themselves. Any downturn in sales could trigger a longer-term decline in future cash flow, reducing the group’s ability to pay dividends.

I’m unsure about Telecoms Plus, but believe Admiral and Vodafone could both be good income buys.

Roland Head owns shares of Vodafone Group. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young Black woman using a debit card at an ATM to withdraw money
Investing Articles

Meet the FTSE 100’s newest bank stock

This FTSE 250 stock has skyrocketed nearly 900% over the past 60 months, earning it a place in the prestigious…

Read more »

Investing Articles

See what £10,000 invested in Shell shares 1 month ago is worth now

Harvey Jones looks at how Shell shares have fared over the past month and more importantly, what the long-term outlook…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Growth Shares

At its lowest level since July, here’s why I think the IAG share price is dead cheap

Jon Smith explains why the IAG share price has fallen over the past week but talks through the reasons why…

Read more »

Picture of an easyJet plane taking off.
Investing Articles

Will the easyJet share price rise 43% or 97% by this time next year?

City analysts believe easyJet's share price might almost double over the next year. Royston Wild considers the outlook for the…

Read more »

Female student sitting at the steps and using laptop
Investing Articles

More great news for Rolls-Royce shares!

Rolls-Royce shares got a boost this week after some intriguing developments in the process of creating Europe's new fighter aircraft.

Read more »

Arrow symbol glowing amid black arrow symbols on black background.
Investing Articles

Persimmon’s share price surges 7% on double boost! Can it keep rising?

Persimmon's share price is surging, up 11% at one point earlier on Tuesday. Could this be the start of a…

Read more »

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

What on earth’s happening to the Greggs share price?

Harvey Jones says Greggs’ share price has shown surprising resilience in the recent stock market turmoil, but the FTSE 250…

Read more »

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing Articles

Barclays shares are down 18%. Time to consider buying?

Barclays’ shares have plummeted in recent weeks. Edward Sheldon looks at what’s going on and provides his view on the…

Read more »