Is Petrofac Limited’s Upbeat Trading Statement A False Dawn?

Petrofac Limited (LON: PFC) has issued an upbeat trading update but can the company be trusted?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Shares of oil services company Petrofac (LSE: PFC) have jumped by nearly 10% in early trading today after the company issued what seems to be an upbeat trading update. 

The company said this morning that the end of costly problems at its flagship gas project in the North Sea was in sight. However, the company is still booking an additional £30m on its North Sea Laggan-Tormore project, which is owned by French oil major Total

So far, losses stemming from the Laggan-Tormore project have hit $425m and severely damaged Petrofac’s reputation. The market seems to be relieved that an end to Petrofac’s troubles is in sight or is it?

Blame game

Petrofac’s management has blamed harsh operating conditions and strike threats by workers for the delays at Laggan-Tormore. But workers have laid the blame squarely with Petrofac’s management.

And it seems as if Petrofac’s management should shoulder the responsibility. The Laggan-Tormore project has been an enormous red herring for the company.

Initial cost estimates grossly underestimated the vast numbers of skilled workers needed to construct such a large complex, high level of specification gas plant in such testing weather conditions.  

Petrofac only hired 850 workers for the Laggan-Tormore project but since, this number has more than doubled to 2,000. The company has been forced to hire barges, hotels, and cruise ships to accommodate additional workers. 

Losses stemming from the Laggan-Tormore project have hit Petrofac’s shares hard over the past 12 months. Even after this morning’s gains, the company’s shares have fallen 23% year to date — excluding dividends.

At one point earlier this year, Petrofac’s shares had slumped by 50% over a 12-month period. 

Poor performance

Unfortunately, it’s not just the Laggan-Tormore project that has held Petrofac back.

The company has been struggling with its Integrated Energy Services division, which produces oil and gas, for some time.

The IES division was part of Petrofac’s plan to diversify. Putting capital into the oil & gas projects Petrofac was working on provided the potential for bigger gains, and higher risks.

However, the IES division has turned out to be nothing but a thorn in Petrofac’s side. Along with the Laggan-Tormore troubles, the group has also booked losses on its Greater Stella Area oil project in the North Sea. 

According to plan

Nevertheless, while IES struggles, the rest of Petrofac’s business appears to be performing according to plan. 

The group has booked $4.7bn worth of new business so far this year. And at the end of May, Petrofac’s order backlog stood at a record $20.5bn.

What’s more, Petrofac is now in the process of winding down its IES division. The company is focused on generating value from the existing IES project portfolio and reducing the capital intensity of this business. This should help minimize the number of mistakes in the future. 

Trust issues

Troubles at Petrofac’s IES division have torn the company’s reputation with shareholders to shreds over the past 12 months.

During the 12 months to April this year, Petrofac issued no fewer than three profit warnings. Management’s primary task will now be to prove that the company can be trusted once again and meet analysts’ forecasts. 

At present Petrofac is trading at a forward P/E of 15.2 and supports a trailing dividend yield of 4.4%. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of Petrofac. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

2024 year number handwritten on a sandy beach at sunrise
Investing Articles

A Q1 trading update pushes the Beazley share price up a bit more. Is it still cheap?

The Beazley share price has been motoring up in what might turn out to be the start of a 2024…

Read more »

Midnight is celebrated along the River Thames in London with a spectacular and colourful firework display.
Investing Articles

Prediction: this will be the FTSE 100’s next great stock!

This FTSE 250 stock has more than doubled in value during the past five years. Our writer thinks it could…

Read more »

Yellow number one sitting on blue background
Investing Articles

Billionaire Bill Ackman has just 1 magnificent AI stock in his FTSE 100-listed fund

Our writer takes a look at the only AI stock held in the portfolio of FTSE 100-listed Pershing Square Holdings.

Read more »

Stack of British pound coins falling on list of share prices
Investing Articles

2 penny stocks this Fool thinks could deliver phenomenal returns!

Penny stocks are a risky but exciting asset class to invest in, prone to wild volatility. Our writer thinks he's…

Read more »

Buffett at the BRK AGM
Investing Articles

I’ve just met Warren Buffett’s first rule of investing. Here are 3 ways I did it

Harvey Jones has surprised himself by living up to Warren Buffett's most important investment rule. But is his success down…

Read more »

Engineer Project Manager Talks With Scientist working on Computer
Investing Articles

Down 51% in 2024, is this UK growth stock a buy for my Stocks and Shares ISA?

Ben McPoland considers Oxford Nanopore Technologies (LSE:ONT), a UK growth stock that has plunged over 80% since going public in…

Read more »

Young Caucasian woman with pink her studying from her laptop screen
Investing Articles

These 3 growth stocks still look dirt cheap despite the FTSE hitting all-time highs

Harvey Jones is hunting for growth stocks that have missed out on the recent FTSE 100 rally and still look…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing Articles

Here’s how much I’d need to invest in UK income stocks to retire on £25k a year

Harvey Jones is building his retirement plans on a portfolio of top UK dividend income stocks. There are some great…

Read more »