The TSMC share price is volatile. Is this tech stock a buy?

The global semiconductor shortage is causing widespread disruption so is TSMC, the world’s biggest chip manufacturer, worth investing in?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE: TSM), also known as TSMC, has been in the news a lot lately due to global shortages in semiconductors. These are the computer chips used in mobile devices, electric vehicles, cash registers, fighter jets and kitchen appliances. In fact, anything that runs online contains a semiconductor. The shortage has been caused by supply chain problems due to the pandemic and production problems at manufacturing facilities.

TSMC financial update

This week TSMC released an update reporting that its revenue for January through April rose 16% year-on-year.

This hasn’t had much impact on the share price overall. Last year, the TSMC share price soared, but it has only risen 1% year-to date. It’s also now down 20% from its 52-week-high. It has a price-to-earnings ratio of 30 and dividend yield of 1.5%.

TSMC is a serious heavyweight in the semiconductor market, with a market cap of $551bn. Its main competitors are Samsung, with a $480bn market cap, Intel which is worth around $222bn, and Qualcomm at $144bn.

TSMC counts Apple as a partner and is helping to create its micro-OLED displays for use in wearable augmented reality devices.

The company expects its capital expenditure (capex) for the next three years to come in around $100bn. It will spend this on land, factories, and equipment. Its capex cost for 2020 was $17.4bn, so this projection is a considerable jump. I find this reassuring as it tells me the company is ploughing money into solidifying its position and growing.

TSMC ended Q1 with cash and marketable securities of $28bn, while its debt level is under $10bn. This gives it a considerable free cash flow balance.

Risks to shareholders

Chip shortages are expected to continue for some time, possibly up to 18 months. This could put pressure on the TSMC share price, so volatility is to be expected.

There’s also mounting pain in the global tech sector as financial markets pull back. The Taiwan stock exchange was down 6% last night compounded by virus worries. TSMC has a dual-listing in Taiwan and New York.

Then there’s also geopolitical pressure coming from the US and China. The US is looking to bring semiconductor manufacturing home, as are China and Europe. Meanwhile, additional political tensions rage on between Taiwan and China.

There’s no doubt this rising domestic pressure will raise the likelihood of increased competition. Soaring demand is already encouraging other companies to up their chip manufacturing efforts. Samsung has said it’s spending $116bn on its next-generation chip business, and Intel is investing $20bn.

Nevertheless, while Taiwan would prefer to keep its chip manufacturing domestic, TSMC is beginning to venture further afield. It has plans to build a state-of-the-art wafer fabrication plant in Arizona and intends to install new production lines at its existing facility in Nanjing, China, to produce chips for car makers.

I think the global chip shortage has shown us how vital a component chips are in so much of our tech. The arrival of 5G will further compound that. For that reason, I’d happily add shares of TSMC to my Stocks and Shares ISA because it’s a clear leader in the space and I think it’s got a long growth opportunity ahead.

I do currently have access to this stock through my holding in the Fidelity Asian Special Situations fund, of which TSMC has an 8.9% weighting.

Kirsteen owns shares in the Fidelity Asian Special Situations fund. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended Apple, Qualcomm, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Intel and recommends the following options: short March 2023 $130 calls on Apple, long January 2023 $57 calls on Intel, short January 2023 $57 puts on Intel, and long March 2023 $120 calls on Apple. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
US Stock

Up 59% this year, this S&P 500 stock is smashing the index!

Jon Smith points out a stock from the S&P 500 that's flying right now as part of a transformation plan,…

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking money coins with virtual percentage icons
Investing Articles

Stock market correction: a rare second income opportunity?

Falling share prices are pushing dividend yields higher. That makes it a good time for investors looking for chances to…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Dividend Shares

I just discovered this REIT with a juicy 9% dividend yield

Jon Smith points out a REIT that just came on his radar due to the high yield, but comes with…

Read more »

Aviva logo on glass meeting room door
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Aviva shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Aviva shares have vastly outperformed the FTSE 100 over the last 5 years. Zaven Boyrazian explores just how much money…

Read more »

Photo of a man going through financial problems
Investing Articles

The stock market hasn’t crashed… yet. Don’t wait too long to prepare

Mark Hartley outlines what defines a stock market crash and provides a few tips and tricks to help UK investors…

Read more »

Two white male workmen working on site at an oil rig
Investing Articles

After a 30% rally, are BP shares too expensive — or should I consider more?

Mark Hartley breaks down the investment case for BP shares and whether the new project in Egypt is enough to…

Read more »

Two elderly people relaxing in the summer sunshine Box Hill near Dorking Surrey England
Investing Articles

Forget the FTSE 100 and come back after summer? Here’s my plan!

With the FTSE 100 moving around in a volatile way, should our writer just forget all about it for a…

Read more »

Young female hand showing five fingers.
Investing Articles

£20,000 invested in a Stocks and Shares ISA 5 years ago could now be worth…

The last five years have been something of a roller coaster for the markets. How would £20k in a Stocks…

Read more »