The Royal Mail share price jumps: is it too late to buy the stock?

The Royal Mail share price has jumped by nearly 200% over the past 12 months, and it could continue to rise as the company’s growth continues.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The Royal Mail (LSE: RMG) share price has really taken off over the past few months. Year-to-date, the stock is up 36%.

Over the past year, its performance is even more impressive. Indeed, since the beginning of March 2020, the stock is up 180% excluding dividends. At just above 462p on Friday, shares in the delivery company are edging closer to their all-time high of 631p reached in May 2018.

This time last year, investors were deserting the company as it looked as if the pandemic would have a devastating impact on the business. As a result, the Royal Mail share price plunged to an all-time low of around 124p.

However, exactly the opposite has happened. Rather than devastating the group’s business, the pandemic has provided windfall profits for the firm. 

Royal Mail has risen to this challenge. Management acted quickly to overhaul the group’s business, investing more in parcel delivery and operational efficiencies, which have allowed it to meet consumer demands.

Without these changes, I don’t think the organisation would be in the position it is today.

Royal Mail share price transformation 

For the past few years, Royal Mail has been losing market share to smaller, more nimble players in the delivery market. Unlike Royal Mail, which is obligated to provide a service to all properties in the UK, other firms can pick and choose their markets. For example, they can limit deliveries to London to maximise profitability. 

This is a challenge Royal Mail will likely always face. However, the group does have a big advantage over these firms. Its brand is recognised and trusted around the country, and most consumers know where their local Post Office is located.

While the government-owned Post Office is run independently of Royal Mail, many people see them as one and the same. It’s far easier for many consumers to visit their local Post Office to send a package via Royal Mail rather than try and figure out how to organise a collection from another firm.

Not that consumers need to visit a Post Office any more. Last year Royal Mail introduced a parcel pick-up service and parcel post boxes. These initiatives helped streamline the entire process for customers, at a time when the e-commerce market was booming.

The challenge 

The big challenge Royal Mail now faces is maintaining its growth. It’s difficult to say whether or not it can hit this goal. The group faces stiff competition from all sides, and last year’s e-commerce boom may not last.

What’s more, the group’s relationship with its workers has historically been quite unstable. These are all challenges the business will have to overcome as it advances. They also suggest there’s a chance the company could give up some of the progress it made last year with its new initiatives. 

Nevertheless, despite the challenges outlined above, I would buy the stock for my portfolio today. I think Royal Mail’s business changed substantially in 2020, and this deserves a higher share price in my opinion. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Bronze bull and bear figurines
Investing Articles

1 hidden dividend superstar I’d buy over Lloyds shares right now

My stock screener flagged that I should sell my Lloyds shares and buy more Phoenix Group Holdings for three key…

Read more »

Hand of person putting wood cube block with word VALUE on wooden table
Investing Articles

A solid track record and 5.4% yield, this is my top dividend stock pick for May

A great dividend stock is about more than its yield. When hunting for dividend heroes, I look at several metrics…

Read more »

A senior group of friends enjoying rowing on the River Derwent
Investing Articles

£8k in savings? Here’s how I’d aim to retire with an annual passive income of £30,000

Getting old needn't be a struggle. Even with a small pot of savings, it's possible to build up a decent…

Read more »

Man writing 'now' having crossed out 'later', 'tomorrow' and 'next week'
Investing Articles

Down 50% in a year! Are the FTSE’s 2 worst performers the best shares to buy today?

Harvey Jones is looking for the best shares to buy for his portfolio today and wonders whether these two FTSE…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

Is FTSE 8,000+ the turning point for UK shares?

On Tuesday 23 April, the FTSE 100 hit a new record high, in a St George's Day celebration. But I…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d aim for a ton of passive income from £20k in an ISA

To get the best passive income from an ISA, I think we need to balance risk with the potential rewards.…

Read more »

Abstract bull climbing indicators on stock chart
Investing Articles

2 FTSE 100 stocks I’d buy as the blue-chip index hits record highs

This Fool takes a look at a pair of quality FTSE 100 stocks that appear well-positioned for future gains, despite…

Read more »

Satellite on planet background
Small-Cap Shares

Here’s why AIM stock Filtronic is up 44% today

The share price of AIM stock Filtronic has surged on the back of some big news in relation to its…

Read more »