An unbelievable value stock to buy before it’s too late?

This value stock could generate a massive 169% return over the next 12 months, according to one expert analyst! Is now the time to buy?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Silhouette of a bull standing on top of a landscape with the sun setting behind it

Image source: Getty Images

The FTSE 100‘s filled with phenomenal value stocks that can go on to unlock enormous wealth for shareholders in the long run. The challenge for investors is figuring out which of these companies are actually bargains and which ones are traps?

In April 2026, expert analysts have quite a few names on their lists. But there’s one stock in particular that the team at Peel Hunt has described as “chronically undervalued”. So much so, it’s predicting the stock could skyrocket 169%!

So what’s this business? And should I rush to buy?

A contrarian value play

Peel Hunt’s high conviction value stock pick in 2026 is JD Sports Fashion (LSE:JD.). And the investment idea’s fairly straightforward.

JD Sports has been navigating turbulent market conditions of late, with weaker discretionary consumer spending that’s subsequently led to lacklustre earnings. And this negative impact was amplified by the group’s strong reliance on Nike-branded goods, which have fallen out of fashion of late, particularly its footwear.

However, despite these challenges, the business remained highly cash generative. As such, management’s guiding for £400m of free cash flow generation in its 2026 fiscal year, which ended in February.

Despite this, the share price has continued to trend downward to the point where Peel Hunt analysts believe the market’s pricing the business as if it’s in a structural decline rather than a cyclical one.

That’s why, with JD remaining the partner-of-choice for global mega-brands as well as showing early signs of organic growth recovery, a fantastic buying opportunity may have emerged. And it seems JD leadership agrees, following the launch of a new £200m share buyback programme.

So with a share price target of 200p versus the stock’s current 74p price, is this a no-brainer? Or has Peel Hunt missed something?

What to watch

Peel Hunt’s currently the most bullish institutional investor following this business. And while there are a few other analyst teams who are optimistic, the overall consensus is that JD Sport shares are a Hold, not a Buy. Why is that?

There are three core concerns:

  1. Despite being cash generative, JD Sports carries just over £3bn of lease liabilities that behave similarly to debt.
  2. Rising labour costs are compressing operating profit margins.
  3. The fashion trend cycle may be shifting away from athleisure.

Combined, these factors obscure the company’s near-term earnings visibility. And it’s this uncertainty that’s keeping JD Sport shares down in value stock territory. So what’s the verdict?

The bottom line

In my opinion, Peel Hunt might be onto something. While I think 200p is a very ambitious share price target, there’s no denying that at its current valuation, the market’s pricing this business very pessimistically on what appears most likely to be temporary headwinds rather than permanent ones.

That opens the door to a potentially rapid and powerful upward re-rating if and when JD makes it through the storm. However, the timing of this cycle shift remains a mystery.

For my personal portfolio, I’m not looking for exposure to the sports/fashion sector. But for those seeking to diversify, JD Sport does appear to offer an interesting value proposition for investors willing to be patient. So it might be worth a closer look.

Zaven Boyrazian has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

Lloyds shares just dipped below the £1 mark!

Lloyds shares are trading for pennies again! But is this a golden opportunity to pick up shares in the FTSE…

Read more »

ISA coins
Investing Articles

£10,000 put in a Cash ISA a decade ago is now worth…

What would have made someone the most money over the past 10 years -- a Cash ISA or Stocks and…

Read more »

A man with Down's syndrome serves a customer a pint of beer in a pub.
Investing Articles

Are Diageo shares about to pull a Rolls-Royce?

On many metrics, Diageo shares are looking somewhat similar to Rolls-Royce shares a few years back. Could history repeat itself?

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

1 big question to ask when thinking about what Nvidia stock could be worth

Christopher Ruane likes the look of the Nvidia business. But when it comes to its stock price, he's taking a…

Read more »

Night Takeoff Of The American Space Shuttle
Investing Articles

How has the Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust share price risen 57% in a year?

The Scottish Mortgage share price has soared over the last 12 months. After this kind of gain, investors might be…

Read more »

A young black man makes the symbol of a peace sign with two fingers
Investing Articles

I just bought this magnificent £2 UK growth stock for my Stocks and Shares ISA

Edward Sheldon just bought shares in this fast-growing British company for his Stocks and Shares ISA and he’s excited about…

Read more »

British pound data
Investing Articles

The stock market could plummet says the Bank of England

The Bank of England sees a number of risks on the horizon that could derail the stock market’s recent rally.…

Read more »

Young mixed-race couple sat on the beach looking out over the sea
Investing Articles

Here’s how a £20,000 Stocks and Shares ISA could one day generate £14,947 of passive income a year

Can a five-figure Stocks and Shares ISA end up producing a five-figure annual passive income? This writer shows how it…

Read more »