This FTSE 100 retailer is up 50% in six months – but is it now overvalued?

Conor Coyle considers whether this FTSE 100 (LON:INDEXFTSE: UKX) high street retailer can continue its impressive performance.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The demise of the high street has long been forecast. According to some, in a matter of a few years we will all be making most of our purchases from the comfort of our sofa or on the train home from work.

But while the naysayers have been right about many traditional UK retailers, some have impressively bucked the trend, none more so than sportswear provider JD Sports Fashion (LSE:JD.)

In the last six months alone, its shares have risen just under 50%, outperforming the FTSE 100, which has gained little more than 1% during the same time.

JD’s performance has earned its a place within the the UK’s primary stock index, after it was promoted to the FTSE 100 in June. But the question now is, following growth of more than 800% in five years, how much higher can the share price go?

Diversification

One reason why, I believe, JD shares have performed so strongly in recent years is its ability to diversify its product range, moving away from simply selling sports clothes towards more casual fashion and offering a variety of well-known brands and exclusives in its shops.

In a brand-focused world, retailers that can attract the most in-demand labels have an in-built advantage. The development of strong relationships with key brands such as Nike and Adidas has been a core part of the firm’s growth.

While shares of rival Sports Direct have come under severe pressure for many reasons, JD’s success has been in stark contrast to Mike Ashley’s business, which is considered a lower quality alternative in terms of both product and customer experience.

Recent earnings reports have served only to back up the faith of long-term investors in the chain and they will now be reaping the rewards following the meteoric rise. In the most recent quarter, like-for-like sales grew 10%, with a staggering 80% of sales coming from bricks-and-mortar stores.

The average growth in annual profits for the last five years has been 31%, although some are asking at this point just how much room there is for further growth.

International expansion

While another 800% jump in the JD share price over the next five years seems unrealistic, there is still much to suggest that it can continue on a more incremental basis.

Key to that is the potential to expand internationally, with the company now counting on 31 more stores across mainland Europe, Asia and the US than it had six months ago.

In terms of dividends, JD’s yield based on a current share price of 710p is 0.3%, hardly one to get the pulses racing for income investors. Trading on a P/E ratio of more than 25, it may not appear to represent the best value for some investors either.

That high P/E ratio is based on its impressive outperformance though, and as an investor looking for growth prospects I’d certainly look to add it to my portfolio.

With the rest of the UK retail sector struggling to cope with the weight of a massive consumer shift, as well as the difficulties associated with Brexit, JD is clearly doing something right amid testing times.

conorcoyle has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Calendar showing the date of 5th April on desk in a house
Investing Articles

This £20k ISA could deliver almost £1,500 passive income per year

Edward Sheldon shows how building a simple dividend stock portfolio could generate a substantial amount of passive income each year.

Read more »

Light bulb with growing tree.
Investing Articles

A year ago, this was a penny stock. Now it’s worth £650m

James Beard reflects on the remarkable rise of this ex-penny stock. Could there be more to come, or might the…

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing Articles

Down 20% in 5 weeks: what’s going on with the IAG share price?

The IAG share price has bounced around over the past five weeks. Dr James Fox explains why the stock is…

Read more »

Friends and sisters exploring the outdoors together in Cornwall. They are standing with their arms around each other at the coast.
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in UK shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Some UK shares have massively outperformed over the last five years with some investors earning over 350% returns! Zaven Boyrazian…

Read more »

Female Tesco employee holding produce crate
Investing Articles

How much would someone need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to target an annual income of £20,855?

Want to earn a five-figure second income? James Beard looks at how someone could aim to realise this dream by…

Read more »

Young Asian woman holding a cup of takeaway coffee and folders containing paperwork, on her way into the office
Investing Articles

Could this penny stock be a millionaire-maker at 0.64p?

This under-the-radar penny stock could be sitting on top of a £125bn growth opportunity that could make early investors millionaires…

Read more »

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

£3,000 in savings? Here’s how that could be used to start investing in an ISA and earn monthly passive income

Could an ISA make sense for an investor with several thousands pounds to spare and the hope of earning some…

Read more »

Two female adult friends walking through the city streets at Christmas. They are talking and smiling as they do some Christmas shopping.
Investing Articles

How much does an investor need in an ISA to target a £1,000 monthly passive income?

Harvey Jones says recent stock market volatility could be a good time for ISA investors to purchase cut-price FTSE 100…

Read more »