Why the RBS share price looks set to surge higher than the Footsie this year

Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc (LON: RBS) could offer a surprisingly strong outlook relative to the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

While RBS (LSE: RBS) may have risen by the same 3% over the last year as the FTSE 100, the prospects for the bank appear to be bright. It may continue to face legacy challenges, but its overall performance seems to be sound and could lead to strong earnings growth.

As a result, the company could deliver better total returns than the wider index. Of course, it’s not the only stock that could do so, with one small-cap stock reporting positive results on Thursday.

Financial outlook

While the UK banking sector continues to face challenges such as a slowing rate of economic growth and continued regulatory issues such as PPI, its prospects appear to be improving. For example, the decade-long period of loose monetary policy now seems to be at an end, with interest rate rises expected to increase in frequency over the next few years. This could create more profitable trading conditions for the industry, and may lead to improving financial performance.

With RBS putting in place what seems to be an improving business model that focuses on efficiency and its core operations, its financial outlook is due to improve. Next year it’s forecast to post a rise in earnings of 11%, which suggests that its strategy is starting to pay off. And with it trading on a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 1, it could be viewed as undervalued on a relative and absolute basis.

Income potential

One measure of the value appeal and financial strength of a business is its dividend prospects. A fast-rising dividend can indicate that a company’s management is positive about its long-term prospects, while a high yield suggests a margin of safety may be on offer.

In both of these areas, RBS seems to have appeal. It’s due to raise dividends per share by 82% next year, which puts it on a forward yield of 4.7%. And with shareholder payouts expected to be covered 2.1 times in 2019, there seems to be scope for an even higher dividend over the medium term. As such, the company appears to offer a mix of value and income appeal, and could therefore deliver outperformance of the FTSE 100 over the medium term.

Growth potential

Also offering scope to beat the Footsie at the present time is OnTheMarket (LSE: OTMP). It operates the online property portal of the same name and released generally positive results on Thursday. They’re its first set of full year results following its listing in February.

Encouragingly, traffic to its website increased from 21.9m in the 2017 financial year to 42.2m visits in 2018. As at 25 May, the company had signed listing agreements with UK estate and letting agents that together have more than 8,500 offices, which is a rise of 54% since its admission to the stock market.

Clearly, OnTheMarket faces a significant amount of competition. The industry is dominated by a very small number of companies, and breaking their grip on it could prove challenging. As a result, its risks appear to be high.

But with what seems to be a sound strategy and positive growth in listings and traffic numbers, its long-term potential seems to be positive. Therefore, now could be a good time to buy it.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens owns shares of Royal Bank of Scotland Group. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Growth Shares

This forgotten FTSE 100 stock is up 25% in a year

Jon Smith outlines one FTSE 100 stock that doubled in value back in 2020 but that has since fallen out…

Read more »

Middle-aged white man pulling an aggrieved face while looking at a screen
Investing Articles

2 dividend shares I wouldn’t touch with a bargepole in today’s stock market

The stock market is full of fantastic dividend shares that can deliver rising passive income over time. But I don't…

Read more »

Frustrated young white male looking disconsolate while sat on his sofa holding a beer
Investing Articles

Use £20K to earn a £2K annual second income within 2 years? Here’s how!

Christopher Ruane outlines how he'd target a second income of several thousand pounds annually by investing in a Stocks and…

Read more »

The flag of the United States of America flying in front of the Capitol building
Investing Articles

Here’s what a FTSE 100 exit could mean for the Shell share price

As the oil major suggests quitting London for New York, Charlie Carman considers what impact such a move could have…

Read more »

Two white male workmen working on site at an oil rig
Investing Articles

Shell hints at UK exit: will the BP share price take a hit?

I’m checking the pulse of the BP share price after UK markets reeled recently at the mere thought of FTSE…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Why I’m confident Tesco shares can provide a reliable income for investors

This FTSE 100 stalwart generated £2bn of surplus cash last year. Roland Head thinks Tesco shares look like a solid…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 shares set to be booted from the FTSE 100!

Each quarter, some shares get promoted to the FTSE 100, while others get relegated to the FTSE 250. These three…

Read more »

Smart young brown businesswoman working from home on a laptop
Investing Articles

£20,000 in savings? I’d buy 532 shares of this FTSE 100 stock to aim for a £10,100 second income

Stephen Wright thinks an unusually high dividend yield means Unilever shares could be a great opportunity for investors looking to…

Read more »