Is EMIS plc a falling knife to catch after today’s 20% slump?

Could EMIS plc (LON: EMIS) deliver a strong recovery?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Connected healthcare and services provider EMIS (LSE: EMIS) has fallen by as much as 20% today after it announced the results of a review of customer and product support processes.

The review has identified a failure to meet certain service levels and reporting levels with NHS Digital. It relates to the company’s web product for GPs in England, with the findings having been fully disclosed to NHS Digital.

The financial impact of the issue is still unclear, as it has only just come to light. However, the company estimates that it could be in the upper single-digits of millions of pounds. With the firm having made a pre-tax profit of £25m in 2016, this is a sizeable amount for the business.

Improving trading

As well as the results of its review, EMIS also released a trading update for the 2017 financial year on Thursday. The company’s performance has been in line with expectations, excluding the potential losses from the aforementioned review. Full-year revenue was slightly ahead of the comparative period as it benefitted from growing recurring revenue, strong market shares and good momentum in its order books and pipelines.

Furthermore, the internal reorganisation programme has been completed, with a renewed focus on improving day to day operational management. With the company having a balance sheet which includes £14m of net cash, it appears to be in sound financial shape for the long run.

Recovery potential

With EMIS trading on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.3 even after today’s share price fall, its valuation appears to be high. Certainly, the business has growth potential, but this may be scaled back over the near term by the outcome of the review. As such, it may not be able to sustain its current valuation over the coming months, since investors may reduce their growth expectations for the business. This means that now may not be the right time to buy it for the long term.

Improving outlook

Also operating in the software and computer services industry is Iomart (LSE: IOM). The cloud specialist has a solid track record of earnings growth, with its bottom line rising at an annualised rate of 15% during the last five years. More growth is set to be delivered over the next couple of years, with the company’s bottom line due to rise by 13% next year, and by 9% in the following year.

With Iomart trading on a price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 1.4, it seems to offer excellent value for money. The company appears to be making encouraging progress with its strategy and when its consistent growth prospects are factored in, there could be scope for a higher rating over the medium term.

With dividends per share forecast to grow by 28% during the next two years, the stock has a forward yield of around 2.2%. This is from a dividend which is expected to be covered 2.6 times by profit. As such, more growth in shareholder payouts could be ahead.

Peter Stephens has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Emis Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

Are Barclays shares trading at a 50% discount?

On some metrics, Barclays shares could be looked at as half price. Is this a fair way to look at…

Read more »

Landlady greets regular at real ale pub
Investing Articles

After toppling 11%, are Wetherspoons shares too cheap to miss?

Wetherspoons shares are sinking after a disappointing trading update on Friday (20 March). Is the FTSE 250 firm now a…

Read more »

The flag of the United States of America flying in front of the Capitol building
Investing Articles

2 S&P 500 tech titans to consider for a Stocks and Shares ISA 

Our writer sees a few blue chips from the S&P 500 that are worth considering for a Stocks and Shares…

Read more »

Group of young friends toasting each other with beers in a pub
Investing Articles

JD Wetherspoon’s share price takes a sobering 10% dip!

JD Wetherspoon's share price tanked today (20 March), after the pub chain published its latest results. James Beard reckons it’s…

Read more »

Portrait of elderly man wearing white denim shirt and glasses looking up with hand on chin. Thoughtful senior entrepreneur, studio shot against grey background.
Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT when the Taylor Wimpey shares turnaround is coming and it said…

Taylor Wimpey shares have fallen a long way from all-time highs. Might a stunning recovery be on the cards for…

Read more »

Long-term vs short-term investing concept on a staircase
Investing Articles

My JD Wetherspoon shares just fell 12% in a day! Here’s what I’m doing

JD Wetherspoon shares just fell sharply on news of lower profits. But are these short-term challenges or is there a…

Read more »

Santa Clara offices of NVIDIA
Investing Articles

Nvidia stock price forecast: could we see $300 in 2026?

Nvidia stock has paused for breath recently. However, Wall Street analysts seem to believe that it’s just a matter of…

Read more »

Older Man Reading From Tablet
Investing Articles

How to shelter a SIPP from a nasty stock market crash

Edward Sheldon outlines some simple strategies that could help SIPP investors protect their wealth against an equity market meltdown.

Read more »