Could these small-cap ‘special situations’ help you retire early?

Do these two small-caps have the potential to deliver stellar returns?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Shares of Molins (LSE: MLIN) jumped 28% last Thursday after it announced a conditional agreement to sell its Instrumentation & Tobacco Machinery division for £30m, with cash proceeds of £27.3m, net of taxes and fees. In the company’s last financial year, the division contributed £38.6m to group revenue, almost as much as its other division (Packaging Machinery), which contributed £41.5m. So, this is a significant disposal and will require shareholder approval.

Big discount?

The sale of the division will considerably strengthen Molins’ balance sheet and cash-positive position (net cash at the last year-end was £0.8m). It will also enable the company to accelerate investment in its Packaging Machinery division and acquire complementary businesses.

The company had net assets of £35.4m at the last year-end and says that the £27.3m from the sale of the Instrumentation & Tobacco Machinery division is similar to the book value of the division’s net assets. Even after the rise in the shares to 101.5p, Molins’ market cap is just £20.5m — a 42% discount to net assets. Put another way, if the shares traded in line with net asset value, the price would be 175p.

Meanwhile, the company says it’s “confident that the Continuing Group’s sales in 2017 are likely to be significantly ahead of last year” and has implicitly guided on £51m. If we apply the 0.78 times sales multiple at which the Instrumentation & Tobacco Machinery division is being sold to the remaining Packaging Machinery division, we get a share price of 197p.

There are execution risks with Molins’ strategy to acquire complementary businesses and the company also has a significant pension deficit. The current deficit recovery plan involves payments of £1.8m a year (increasing by 2.1% a year) through to 2029. Nevertheless, the size of the discount of the share price to my fair-value calculations of 175p-197p persuades me that there is potential for significant gains for buyers of the stock today.

Stamps licked?

Shares of Stanley Gibbons (LSE: SGI) shot up 18% to 13.13p on Friday after it announced an unsolicited approach from private equity group Disruptive Capital regarding a possible offer. However, the shares have retreated to 11p today after a further announcement from the stamps and coins company and an announcement from Disruptive Capital.

Stanley Gibbons had a peak market cap of £179m just a few years ago but is currently valued by the market at just £19.7m after accounting shenanigans, difficult trading conditions, debt problems and an emergency fundraising. On the face of it, there could be value here, because the shares are trading at a discount of 56% to net asset value at the last balance sheet date (30 September) and at just 0.39 times trailing 12-month sales.

However, 30 September is a long time ago and sales were in decline at that time. More recently, the company reported little headroom on its borrowing facilities at 31 March, saying it was “utilising £17.2m out of its total facilities of £18.3m”.

In today’s announcement, Stanley Gibbons formally put itself up for sale, saying further investment is required. At the same time, Disruptive Capital announced it didn’t have key information “to evaluate whether or not to make an offer” and is not making one. Similarly, I think there’s currently insufficient information to evaluate whether the shares are good or poor value at their current level.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

G A Chester has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

1 FTSE dividend stock I’d put 100% of my money into for passive income!

If I could invest in just one stock to generate a regular passive income stream, I'd choose this FTSE 100…

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman jumping for joy in a park with confetti falling around her
Investing Articles

Forecasts are down, but I see a bright future for FTSE 100 dividend stocks

Cash forecasts for UK dividend stocks are falling... time to panic! Actually, no. I reckon the future has never looked…

Read more »

Young female analyst working at her desk in the office
Investing Articles

Down 13% in April, AIM stock YouGov now looks like a top-notch bargain

YouGov is an AIM stock that has fallen into potential bargain territory. Its vast quantity of data sets it up…

Read more »

Young Asian man drinking coffee at home and looking at his phone
Investing Articles

Beating the S&P 500? I’d buy this FTSE 250 stock for my Stocks and Shares ISA

Beating the S&P 500's tricky, but Paul Summers is optimistic on this FTSE 250 stock's ability to deliver based on…

Read more »

Passive and Active: text from letters of the wooden alphabet on a green chalk board
Investing Articles

2 spectacular passive income stocks I’d feel confident going all in on

While it's true that diversification is key when it comes to safe and reliable investing, these two passive income stocks…

Read more »

Investing Articles

The easyJet share price is taking off. I think it could soar!

The easyJet share price is having a very good day. Paul Summers takes a look at the latest trading update…

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman jumping for joy in a park with confetti falling around her
Investing Articles

9 stocks that Fools have been buying!

Our Foolish freelancers are putting their money where their mouths are and buying these stocks in recent weeks.

Read more »

Three signposts pointing in different directions, with 'Buy' 'Sell' and 'Hold' on
Investing Articles

As the Rentokil share price dips on Q1 news, I ask if it’s time to buy

The Rentokil Initial share price has disappointed investors in the past 12 months. Could this be the year we get…

Read more »