MENU

Just How Cheap Can Monitise Plc Get?

If I were a gambling man looking for an all-or-nothing bet I would be facing a toss up between troubled insurance outsourcer Quindell and mobile money specialist Monitise (LSE: MONI) (NASDAQOTH: MONIF.US).

Quindell has been all over the financial pages for its troubles, but Monitise hasn’t drawn so much publicity.

Yet its share price has plunged from its 52-week high of 80p to around 20p today.

That is quite an astonishing collapse for a company many rated as one of the most exciting growth prospects in the UK.

It remains insanely volatile, down 8% over the last week, despite rising almost 9% on Wednesday.

Exit Visa?

If you’re looking for a recovery play, Monitise looks temptingly cheap, but you’ll still lose money if it gets cheaper still. Could that happen?

Last year’s meltdown began after Monitise shocked investors with the news that sales were slowing, targets would be missed, and further cash was required to build the company.

Some investors felt duped. Then it suffered another blow when it emerged that key investor Visa was reviewing its stake.

Going Mobile

News that strategic partners Santander, Telefonica Group and MasterCard were buying £50 million of new shares to invest in the business did little to repair the damage, nor did Virgin Money’s seven-year deal to use Monitise’s Mobile Money digital banking network.

Even the IBM tie-up has failed to soothe investors, who evidently hate nasty surprises more than they value good news, because they can’t shake off the fear that more may be on the way.

Tech Tonic

Investors who thought Monitise was a fantastic buying opportunity at 50p, 40p and 30p may be even more tempted at 20p, but also more chastened.

Management talks of turning its first profit in 2016, but what if it burns through the latest cash injection before then?

The roll-call of tech companies with great prospects that lie unmourned on the wayside is notoriously long. Monitise could join it.

On the other hand, it is now operating in 170 countries, with some massive global names on board, and mobile payments offer dramatic growth possibilities if Monitise can pull through its current troubles.

On The MONI

If you have a bit of spare cash in your portfolio and want the excitement of gambling on a potential multi-bagger, Monitise could be the one.

Quindell is up 200% in the last month, so maybe that ship has sailed. Monitise could sink, but if it swims your gamble could prove highly rewarding. I’m tempted to give it a spin.

You should only ever gamble with a tiny part of your portfolio. The rest should be invested in stocks with far clearer prospects.

You don't have to bet the farm to join the growing number of UK millionaires who earned their wealth on the stock market.

To find out how investing in UK stocks can make you rich you need to read this Motley Fool report 7 Simple Steps For Seeking Serious Wealth.

This report, which is currently FREE, sets out how investing in stocks and shares can make you seriously rich. It won't cost you a penny to download, so click here now.

Harvey Jones has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of Monitise. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.