We have some exciting news to share! The Motley Fool UK has now become an independent, UK-owned company, led by our long-serving UK management team — Mark Rogers, Chris Nials and Heather Adlington. In practical terms, it’s the same team you know, now fully focused on serving our UK readers and members.

Just as importantly, our approach remains unchanged: long-term, jargon-free, and on your side. We’ll be introducing a new name and brand over the coming weeks — we're very excited to share it with you and embark on this new chapter together!

This UK penny stock could rocket 47%, says 1 broker

According to one analyst team in the City, this unique UK small-cap stock is undervalued today. Is it worth a punt at 38p a share?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Playful senior couple in aprons dancing and smiling while preparing healthy dinner at home

Image source: Getty Images

As the only standalone wine producer listed in London, Chapel Down (LSE:CDGP) is a rare UK stock. However, it’s also a small one with a £66m market cap, so doesn’t get much attention from institutional investors.

Indeed, Chapel Down has attracted just one share price target from its house broker. But it’s worth noting that this is 57p, an enticing 47% above the current price.

So, might this penny stock be worth a look?

Solid sales growth

Believe it or not, England is currently the world’s fastest-growing wine region. As the climate shifts, the South is starting to become similar to the Champagne region in France.

Based in Kent in the Garden of England, Chapel Down has over 1,018 acres of vineyards, approximately 9% of the UK’s total. It produces a range of sparkling and still wine and sells bottles via off-trade, on-trade (bars, restaurants, hotels, etc), e-commerce, and export. 

Yesterday (29 January), the winemaker reported a positive trading update for 2025. For the first time, it dispatched over 1m bottles of traditional method sparkling wines, and there was sales growth across all four channels.

ChannelRevenue Year-on-year change
Off-trade£9.37m+38%
On-trade£2.57m+5%
International£1.01m+49%
E-commerce£3.86m+3%

Chapel Down said export growth was strong due to its new distribution agreement with Jackson Family Wines in the US. Meanwhile, the brand now has 36% share of the off-trade English sparkling wine market. Growth here was driven by new listings, promotional campaigns, and the lapping of retailer destocking in 2024.

All this drove revenue 19% higher to £19.4m, slightly higher than market expectations. Adjusted EBITDA of £4m to £4.5m was likewise above what was expected (£3.5m).

Chapel Down also does vineyard tours and fine dining, and this brought in just over £2.2m last year. Actually, I’ve been wanting to tour the Kent vineyard for a while, so I’ll hopefully get round to that this year.

The company called its 2025 harvest “world-class” after the warm summer.

We are seeing a generational shift into English Sparkling Wine as Millennials, who prefer a lighter, fresher, crisper style of wines, are increasingly adopting the category. Consumers are now choosing Chapel Down throughout the year and for a broader range of celebration occasions than other high value sparkling wines, which gives us a significant opportunity for future sustained top-line growth.
CEO James Pennefather.

One to consider?

As for negatives, one is that the company isn’t yet profitable, as it still works towards delivering “sustained profitable growth in the medium term“. So this obviously increases the risk, especially with the UK hospitality sector struggling.

At the end of 2025, the company had net debt of £12.4m. That was up from £9.2m the year before, mainly due to the cultivation costs of 118 acres of new vines planted since 2023. But these vines should obviously underpin years of future growth, while the firm still has “significant headroom” on its £20m revolving credit facility, according to management.

Looking ahead, Chapel Down is aiming to capture 1% of the equivalent of the global Champagne market by 2035. That would equate to around 3m bottles, suggesting a significant growth opportunity ahead.

While intriguing, this penny stock is still a bit risky for me. But given Chapel Down’s strong brand, growing sales, and over £25m worth of wine stock sitting in cellars, more adventurous investors might want to consider taking a small stake.

Ben McPoland has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Rolls-Royce shares on 17 April is now worth…

While a winner in recent years, Rolls-Royce shares have endured a tough time since 17 April. Is this an opportunity…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

Up 30% in April but still at a 10-year low! Is this the best stock to buy in May?

Harvey Jones is looking for the best stock to buy over the month ahead. For a moment, he thought he'd…

Read more »

House models and one with REIT - standing for real estate investment trust - written on it.
Investing Articles

3 REITs to consider as buy-to-let gets tougher in 2026!

Looking to invest in property? Royston Wild explains why holding REITs could be a better option than buy-to-let -- and…

Read more »

Young Asian woman with head in hands at her desk
Investing Articles

Lost money on Diageo shares? Consider buying this £2.19 FTSE stock to try and make it up

Diageo shares have been an awful investment. But Edward Sheldon has an idea for those looking to make up their…

Read more »

Young Asian man drinking coffee at home and looking at his phone
Investing Articles

How much is needed in an ISA to target a £2,764 monthly passive income?

Dr James Fox is clear: investors need to focus on building wealth through undervalued growth opportunities before taking a passive…

Read more »

Google office headquarters
Investing Articles

Alphabet could rise to $427 say analysts, but is Microsoft the better Mag 7 stock to consider buying for an ISA?

Alphabet stock has all the momentum at the moment, but could Microsoft offer more potential in the long run given…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

At 27 years old, will a cash ISA or Stocks and Shares ISA help build wealth faster?

Muhammad Cheema looks at the prospects of investing in a cash ISA versus a stocks and shares ISA for someone…

Read more »

A mature adult sitting by a fireplace in a living room at home. She is wearing a yellow cardigan and spectacles.
Investing Articles

How these 2 dividend shares could help an ISA investor target a £1,639 income in 2026

Harvey Jones picks out two FTSE 100 dividend shares with stunning yields, and examines whether their shareholder payouts are sustainable.

Read more »