Why I think the FTSE 250 could outperform the FTSE 100 this decade

Our writer takes a lesson from history and outlines why he thinks the FTSE 250 could beat the FTSE 100 over the next decade.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack

Image source: Getty Images

Many investors naturally look to the FTSE 100 when seeking UK shares. After all, it’s packed with global giants like Shell and HSBC. But for those seeking real long-term growth, the FTSE 250 may prove far more rewarding.

Since the turn of the century, our midcap index has soared by around 250%, more than five times the modest gains of the main index over the same period. 

FTSE 250 vs FTSE 100
Created on TradingView.com

That’s largely because the FTSE 250, which holds many medium-sized companies, tends to have a bigger bias toward domestic UK businesses and higher-growth sectors.

As the UK economy slowly steadies after years of uncertainty, I reckon this index could shine again in the decade ahead. 

Here are two compelling examples of mid-cap stocks that illustrate the hidden potential on offer.

An investment firm with income potential

Pollen Street (LSE: POLN) is an independent alternative investment manager. It specialises in private equity and credit, with a proven strategy that’s delivered solid growth.

For income investors, it’s especially attractive. The shares currently offer a chunky 6.8% dividend yield, with a comfortable payout ratio of 68%. Better still, Pollen Street has paid dividends for nine straight years.

The valuation also looks compelling. The shares trade on a low price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just 10 and a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.84 – suggesting its intrinsic value outshines the price.

My only concern would be its heavy reliance on private credit and equity markets — any sharp downturn in these areas could squeeze performance fees. There’s also the threat that tighter regulation of alternative asset managers could pressure margins in future.

But financially, the company looks to be in a healthy position. Revenue stands at nearly £100m, with earnings up 25% year on year. Plus, it boasts a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33, alongside £157m in operating cash flow.

The trading platform that’s taking off!

Next is Plus500 (LSE: PLUS), a global online trading platform that’s enjoyed a strong rebound. Its shares are up 47% over the past year, helped by an impressive second quarter in 2025 when revenue climbed 15%. Management is confident about its full-year targets.

It’s another attractive pick for passive income. Plus500 yields 5.2%, with a sustainable payout ratio of 61.8%. Impressively, dividends have grown 30% year on year, and the company has lifted its payout for 12 consecutive years.

Valuation-wise, the shares aren’t overly stretched at 12.2 times earnings, although the P/B ratio of 4.8 is on the high side. However, that premium comes alongside stunning profitability: an operating margin of nearly 44%, a net margin above 35%, and a sky-high return on equity of 40%.

Risks? The biggest is its dependence on retail trading volumes, which can dry up quickly if market volatility subsides. Plus, regulatory crackdowns on leveraged trading could hurt future revenues.

Fortunately, it has a rock-solid balance sheet, with negligible debt of £12.6m versus £514m in equity and almost £800m in assets.

For me, these two stocks underline why investors might want to look beyond Footsie blue chips. The FTSE 250 has long outperformed its bigger sibling, and with under-the-radar opportunities like these, I suspect it could do so again in the decade ahead. 

For those seeking growth, value and reliable income, there’s still plenty of untapped potential on offer.

HSBC Holdings is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Mark Hartley has positions in HSBC Holdings. The Motley Fool UK has recommended HSBC Holdings. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Rolls-Royce's Pearl 10X engine series
Investing Articles

Are the glory days over for Rolls-Royce shares?

Rolls-Royce shares have soared in recent years. Lately, though, they have taken a tumble. Could there be worse still to…

Read more »

Group of friends meet up in a pub
Investing Articles

Are ‘66% off’ Diageo shares a once-in-a-decade opportunity?

Diageo shares have taken another hit in the early weeks of 2026. Are we looking at a massive bargain or…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Meet the UK stock under £1.50 smashing Rolls-Royce shares over the past year

While Rolls-Royce shares get all the attention, this under-the-radar trust has quietly made investors a fortune. But is it still…

Read more »

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

Down 19%, the red lights are flashing for Barclays shares!

Barclays shares have fallen almost a fifth in value as the Middle East war has intensified. Royston Wild argues that…

Read more »

Aviva logo on glass meeting room door
Investing Articles

After falling another 5%, are Aviva shares too cheap to ignore?

£10,000 invested in Aviva shares five years ago would have grown 50% by now. But what might the future hold,…

Read more »

Two female adult friends walking through the city streets at Christmas. They are talking and smiling as they do some Christmas shopping.
Investing Articles

Next impresses again, but could its shares be about to crash?

Next shares have leapt after the retailer raised its full-year profits guidance. But could the FTSE 100 retailer be running…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Time to buy, after Next shares are lifted by storming FY results?

Retail sector weakness is holding back Next shares, is it? Tell that to the fashion shoppers who've driven up full-year…

Read more »

Three signposts pointing in different directions, with 'Buy' 'Sell' and 'Hold' on
Growth Shares

Why the Barclays share price is currently its most undervalued in months

Jon Smith talks through why the Barclays share price has struggled in recent weeks, and flags up reasons why it…

Read more »