I think this FTSE 100 stock could surge in February

This FTSE 100 stock has massively outpaced the index over the past 12 months, but still looks discounted versus its international peers.

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There’s a handful of FTSE 100 stocks that appear undervalued. But these companies often need to provide investors with a catalyst. Something to make the market reconsider the stock’s valuation and attract investment.

Standard Chartered‘s (LSE:STAN) one such company. The stock’s surged over the past 12 months but still appears undervalued and discounted versus its banking sector peers. Adjusted for growth, it may be one of the cheapest banks out there.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Standard Chartered Plc PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALLwww.fool.co.uk

The value proposition

Standard Chartered stock’s forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.1 times represents a 36% discount compared to its global financial peers, suggesting potential for price appreciation. This valuation’s particularly attractive considering the bank’s projected earnings growth.

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Analysts forecast an average annual earnings growth of 12.1% over the next three-to-five years, resulting in a price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 0.66. A PEG ratio below 1’s generally considered to indicate an undervalued stock, making Standard Chartered’s 0.66 particularly compelling, given the 2.5% dividend yield.

Comparing it with its peers

Here’s a chart comparing the P/E ratios for Standard Chartered and several international peers. It and Lloyds show the lowest P/Es, potentially indicating they’re undervalued compared to their peers. Goldman Sachs has the highest, suggesting it may be trading at a premium.

Company NameP/E Non-GAAP (FY1)P/E Non-GAAP (FY2)
Standard Chartered8.117.17
DNB Bank9.079.93
Goldman Sachs15.613.6
National Bank of Canada11.9410.90
Fifth Third Bancorp12.3811.01
First Citizens BancShares13.0411.43
JPMorgan Chase14.5613.62
Lloyds Banking Group8.868.56

CEO agrees

Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, CEO Bill Winters reiterated his long-held thoughts that the company remains undervalued by the market. “We’re still trading below book value, which doesn’t make any sense to me given the returns that we’re generating”, he told Bloomberg TV.

His note on book value is even more illuminating when we consider that JP Morgan’s price-to-book ratio’s 2.3 (Standard Chartered sits at 0.75).

This view is supported by the bank’s strong performance, as evidenced by its stellar third-quarter results in 2024, where pretax profit nearly tripled to $1.72bn, beating analyst forecasts. Standard Chartered has also upgraded its income guidance for 2024, expecting growth towards 10%, and revised its outlook for 2025 and 2026.

Concerns are potentially overplayed

Standard Chartered’s emerging markets focus exposes investors to significant geopolitical and economic volatility. Developing countries face heightened risks of political instability, currency fluctuations, regulatory unpredictability, and economic turbulence.

Moreover, sudden policy changes, potential civil unrest, and macroeconomic challenges can dramatically impact the bank’s performance and investment returns in these complex markets.

Coupled with an appreciation of the dollar, these factors can hurt the bank’s earnings. However, investors have to take the rough with the smooth here. By operating in developing world economies, Standard Chartered also promises stronger growth than many of its peers.

What’s happening in February? Well, the bank’s set to unveil its full-year results on 21 February. It’s certainly on my radar and it may be a stock for investors to consider.

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JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. James Fox has positions in Lloyds Banking Group Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Lloyds Banking Group Plc and Standard Chartered Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

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