1 overlooked FTSE 100 stock that’s due an imminent comeback

Jon Smith points to one FTSE 100 stock that’s down 17% over the past year but could see investors pile back in if the UK economy nosedives this year.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Young female analyst working at her desk in the office

Image source: Getty Images

The FTSE 100 contains the largest companies by market-cap listed in the UK. Even though they’re big firms, on occasion some of the stocks can get overlooked by investors. This can be especially true if they fall out of vogue, or simply aren’t the hot sector of the moment. Here’s one such case I’ve spotted that I think could be a smart purchase.

Overlooked for the wrong reasons

Severn Trent (LSE:SVT) provides water services to millions of households and businesses in the UK. The company’s a utility provider that’s essential to many in going about their daily lives.

Over the past year, the stock’s fallen by 17%. The poor performance is one reason why I think it’s been overlooked by some investors that are looking for growth. However, when I look at why the financial performance has dropped, it doesn’t concern me that much.

For example, the group’s PBIT (profit before interest and tax) for 2023 was £508.8m, up from the £506.2m the year before. Headline turnover also increased to £2.16bn from £1.94bn in 2022. Some concern was flagged up around higher operating costs. This was down to rising energy prices and pay alongside increased investment to stem flooding.

Higher energy prices are being felt across the board, not just at Severn Trent. Further, higher investment on flood prevention isn’t something I deem as a drag. If anything, it should help to save the business money in the very long term!

Damage to reputation

A concern for some investors will be the recent £2m fine incurred due to the raw sewage discharge into the river Trent. Even though this event happened several years ago, it’s obviously not a good look for the business and the whole sewage discharge issue is a spectre hanging over the entire water utility sector.

Why it could be due a comeback

I completely understand why investors could ignore a boring utility stock that has underperformed the FTSE 100 index over the past year. There are plenty of more exciting shares to consider that are related to buoyant themes such as artificial intelligence (AI) or electric vehicles (EVs).

However, I think it could do well in the coming year for a few reasons. To begin with, let’s not forget that the UK economy is in recession. If interest rates don’t fall this year and inflation starts to creep higher, I think investors could start to get worried.

In that case, many could flock to utility stocks to buy them as a safe haven. This often happens during periods of uncertainty, as investors pivot out of riskier growth stocks into perceived safer options.

Another point to consider is the dividend yield. At 4.56%, the current yield for Severn Trent is easily above the FTSE 100 average. Given the solid nature of operations and a decade’s worth of track record in paying out income, this should attract income investors.

Of course, I could be wrong here. If the UK economy starts to boom then Severn Trent could continue to be overlooked in favour of higher-growth alternatives. That’s a risk, but I’m considering adding the stock anyway as a good hedge for my portfolio in case things turn south later this year.

Jon Smith has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing For Beginners

Array of piggy banks in saturated colours on high colour contrast background
Investing Articles

£5k left in a Stocks and Shares ISA? 2 top ETFs to consider buying in April

Ben McPoland highlights a pair of very different ETFs that he thinks could help generate long-term wealth inside an ISA…

Read more »

Closeup of "interest rates" text in a newspaper
Investing Articles

2 UK shares that could surge in 2026 if the Bank of England cuts interest rates

More interest rate cuts could help UK shares across the board in 2026. But which companies stand to benefit the…

Read more »

A rear view of a female in a bright yellow coat walking along the historic street known as The Shambles in York, UK which is a popular tourist destination in this Yorkshire city.
Investing Articles

Everyone’s panicking about a stock market crash! Here’s what I’ll do if it happens

Predictions of a stock market crash are getting louder. Zaven Boyrazian isn't joining in, but he does share his plan…

Read more »

Business manager working at a pub doing the accountancy and some paperwork using a laptop computer
Investing Articles

£3k to invest? 2 UK shares to consider buying in a Stocks and Shares ISA in 2026

I’ve been looking for top-notch UK shares to add to my Stocks and Shares ISA, and here are two names…

Read more »

A rear view of a female in a bright yellow coat walking along the historic street known as The Shambles in York, UK which is a popular tourist destination in this Yorkshire city.
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in a SIPP on 7 April is now worth…

Our writer looks at how 10 grand invested in the FTSE 100 through a SIPP one year ago would have…

Read more »

Older Man Reading From Tablet
Investing Articles

How to shelter a SIPP from a nasty stock market crash

Edward Sheldon outlines some simple strategies that could help SIPP investors protect their wealth against an equity market meltdown.

Read more »

Happy retired couple on a yacht
Investing Articles

3 easy steps to target a £1,000,000 Stocks and Shares ISA!

Looking to get a seat on millionaire's row? Royston Wild reveals three top strategies that could supercharge your Stocks and…

Read more »

Hand flipping wooden cubes for change wording" Panic" to " Calm".
Investing Articles

Is it time to dump my shares ahead of an almighty stock market crash? Nah!

How should we cope with growing fears of a stock market crash? 'Keep Calm and Carry On' worked in 1939,…

Read more »