Is the cheap Vodafone share price really as good as it seems?

After an uninspiring few years, the Vodafone share price looks like one of the biggest bargains on the Footsie. But is that really the case?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Emma Raducanu for Vodafone billboard animation at Piccadilly Circus, London

Image source: Vodafone Group plc

There’s no doubt about it, the Vodafone (LSE: VOD) share price looks cheap. As I write, I can pick up a share in the FTSE 100 telecommunications giant for just 70.9p. That seems too good to be true. 

In the early 2000s, during the height of the dotcom boom, Vodafone was the largest company on the FTSE 100. Since then however, it’s experienced a rather large demise. In the last five years, the stock’s seen 50.6% shaved off its price.

That makes it look like a steal. But is this really the case?

Takeover time?

Vodafone shares certainly look undervalued, trading on just seven times earnings. What’s more, recent rumours of a takeover have provided the stock with some momentum.

A 1 March report from Betaville claimed it had heard talk of interest from a European company. The rumoured bid price of 105p is around a 47% premium to its current price.

Of course, I wouldn’t buy Vodafone stock solely on the back of rumours. But there are reasons to believe it could be an attractive takeover target. For example, it has experienced solid growth in regions such as Africa, which has an expanding customer base.

Earlier this year, it announced a 10-year partnership with Microsoft that will see it offer generative AI, digital services, and cloud solutions to over 300m consumers in Africa and Europe. As part of this, Microsoft will help further scale M-Pesa, the largest financial technology platform in Africa.

Index-leading yield

There’s also its whopping 10.9% dividend yield to consider. That’s the highest on the Footsie. Yet while that looks attractive, I’m wary of a few things.

Firstly, one reason for its meaty yield is due to its dwindling share price. On top of that, I can’t help but question its sustainability. City analysts predict Vodafone’s dividend to fall in the years ahead. That’s a worrying sign.

A stumbling block

However, the major issue for me with Vodafone is its debt. As of 30 September 2023, this sat at €36.2bn. That’s a monumental pile. High interest rates won’t help reduce it either.

The firm plans to trim some fat by disposing of its operations in Spain for around €5bn. It’s also been reported that it plans to offload its Italian business for €8bn.

This will help raise some funds to shore up its balance sheet. Assuming the business uses the proceeds of these sales to reduce debt, this should place it somewhere closer to the €23bn-€24bn mark. That’s solid progress. However, it’s still huge.

A bargain in plain sight?

On paper, Vodafone may look like a steal. But it’s a stock I’ll be avoiding.

There are bright spots with the company. That said, there are too many sticking points. Its debt is a massive issue, in my eyes. And while its yield is tempting, I’m not sure it’s sustainable.

Looking at the FTSE 100, I see better options out there for me at the moment.

Charlie Keough has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Microsoft and Vodafone Group Public. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Santa Clara offices of NVIDIA
Investing Articles

Nvidia stock price forecast: could we see $300 in 2026?

Nvidia stock has paused for breath recently. However, Wall Street analysts seem to believe that it’s just a matter of…

Read more »

Older Man Reading From Tablet
Investing Articles

How to shelter a SIPP from a nasty stock market crash

Edward Sheldon outlines some simple strategies that could help SIPP investors protect their wealth against an equity market meltdown.

Read more »

ISA coins
Dividend Shares

4 UK shares that could provide a 10%+ annual ISA return

Jon Smith points out several stocks that could be included in a diversified ISA portfolio to help generate a yield…

Read more »

British pound data
Investing Articles

3 shares to consider buying as the FTSE 100 plummets

For those with cash on the sidelines and a long-term horizon, an equity market slump is less of a crisis…

Read more »

Calendar showing the date of 5th April on desk in a house
Investing Articles

2 FTSE 100 blue-chips to consider for a Stocks and Shares ISA before 5 April

Looking for ideas for a Stocks and Shares ISA before the forthcoming allowance deadline? Ben McPoland highlights two FTSE 100…

Read more »

Storytelling image of a multiethnic senior couple in love - Elderly married couple dating outdoors, love emotions and feelings
Investing Articles

How much will you need in a SIPP to earn a £3k monthly passive income in 2053?

A SIPP can be an exceptional wealth-building tool. Royston Wild explains how -- and reveals a top FTSE 100 dividend…

Read more »

Happy retired couple on a yacht
Investing Articles

3 easy steps to target a £1,000,000 Stocks and Shares ISA!

Looking to get a seat on millionaire's row? Royston Wild reveals three top strategies that could supercharge your Stocks and…

Read more »

Calendar showing the date of 5th April on desk in a house
Investing Articles

3 things to do right now as the annual ISA deadline looms!

With the ISA contribution deadline less than three weeks away, our writer runs through a trio of things he has…

Read more »