Why tax matters for the Harbour Energy share price

Tax is often ignored when analysing results. But our writer explains why he thinks it will determine the future direction of the Harbour Energy share price.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

One English pound placed on a graph to represent an economic down turn

Image source: Getty Images

The Harbour Energy (LSE:HBR) share price barely moved last week after the company released its 2022 results. Like most investors, I usually focus on profit before tax (PBT). But for this FTSE 250 oil and gas producer, tax has a huge impact on its earnings.

PBT is generally believed to be a better indicator of performance than post-tax earnings.

Tax rates vary across the world and most listed companies have operations in multiple jurisdictions. And the level of taxation can be very different. For example, the rate of corporation tax in Ireland is 12.5%, whereas it’s 35% in Argentina. The amount of tax paid by a company therefore reflects where its profits are generated, rather than the success of its operations.

Harbour Energy derives over 90% of its revenue from extracting and selling North Sea oil and gas. This means it pays UK tax on the majority of its earnings. However, in response to rising commodity prices, and the huge profits that energy producers were making, the government introduced a windfall tax — or the Energy (Oil and Gas) Profits Levy (EPL) as it’s officially known.

Oil and gas producers in this country already pay a higher rate of tax than other companies. The Ring Fence Corporation Tax Rate — and supplementary charge — means energy companies pay 40% tax on their UK profits. The EPL adds another 35% on top. Harbour Energy therefore faces an astronomical tax rate of 75% through to 2028.

2022 results

As to be expected, the EPL has had a significant impact on the results of the company.

Due to an accounting technicality, the company had an effective rate of tax in 2022 of nearly 100%! Profit after tax fell by over 90%.

Measure2021 ($m)2022 ($m)Change ($m)
Revenue3,6185,431+1,813
Profit before tax3152,462+2,147
Tax2142,454+2,240
Profit after tax1018-93

Most of the benefits from increased production, a higher oil price and a reduction in operating costs went to the UK taxpayer, rather than to shareholders of the company. Even so, the directors increased the dividend by 9%. And they announced a share buyback programme worth $200m.

Due to the EPL, the company will now be reducing its investment in this country. Instead, it will be looking to grow and diversify internationally. The company sees great potential from its interests in Indonesia and Mexico. The governments of these countries haven’t introduced a windfall tax.

Government policy

The UK government is due to announce it latest Budget on Wednesday. But for political reasons, I can’t see it cutting the EPL. Nor is it likely to reduce the scope of the tax.

As a shareholder of Harbour Energy, I’m not happy about that. I believe it will take the company several years to significantly expand its overseas operations.

In the absence of a change in government fiscal policy, I believe Harbour’s share price will come under continued pressure. Over the past year its fallen by nearly 30%, and it’s down 13% over the past month.

But I’m going to wait until after the Budget before deciding whether to sell my shares.

Conscious of the need for the country to become more energy-self-sufficient, I’m hopeful that the government will announce additional incentives to encourage investment in the North Sea. These might offset some of the impact of the EPL, and help improve the profitability of Harbour Energy along the way.

James Beard has positions in Harbour Energy Plc. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Man writing 'now' having crossed out 'later', 'tomorrow' and 'next week'
Investing Articles

The best time to buy stocks? It might be right now

Short-term issues that delay long-term trends create opportunities to buy stocks. And that could be happening right now with a…

Read more »

Queen Street, one of Cardiff's main shopping streets, busy with Saturday shoppers.
Investing Articles

Here’s why Next stock rose 5% and topped the FTSE 100 today

Next was the leading FTSE 100 stock today, rising 5%. Our writer takes a look at why and asks if…

Read more »

Renewable energies concept collage
Investing Articles

Up 458% in a year, could the Ceres Power share price go even higher?

Christopher Ruane reviews some highs and lows of the Ceres Power share price over the years and wonders whether the…

Read more »

Rolls-Royce's Pearl 10X engine series
Investing Articles

Are the glory days over for Rolls-Royce shares?

Rolls-Royce shares have soared in recent years. Lately, though, they have taken a tumble. Could there be worse still to…

Read more »

Group of friends meet up in a pub
Investing Articles

Are ‘66% off’ Diageo shares a once-in-a-decade opportunity?

Diageo shares have taken another hit in the early weeks of 2026. Are we looking at a massive bargain or…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Meet the UK stock under £1.50 smashing Rolls-Royce shares over the past year

While Rolls-Royce shares get all the attention, this under-the-radar trust has quietly made investors a fortune. But is it still…

Read more »

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

Down 19%, the red lights are flashing for Barclays shares!

Barclays shares have fallen almost a fifth in value as the Middle East war has intensified. Royston Wild argues that…

Read more »

Aviva logo on glass meeting room door
Investing Articles

After falling another 5%, are Aviva shares too cheap to ignore?

£10,000 invested in Aviva shares five years ago would have grown 50% by now. But what might the future hold,…

Read more »