Here’s why Scottish Mortgage (SMT) stock could soar in value

Scottish Mortgage stock is struggling for positive momentum. This Fool thinks it’s only a matter of time.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Piggy bank rocketing skywards

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

sdf

Scottish Mortgage (LSE: SMT) stock is now down over 30% since the beginning of 2022. As difficult as it has been to watch the value of my holding fall (and fall some more), there are several reasons why I’ve stayed invested.

Bullish on Scottish Mortgage stock

First, there’s the track record of managers Tom Slater and (very-soon-to-depart) James Anderson. In the last five years, the Scottish Mortgage share price has climbed just under 140%. That’s despite a global pandemic and, more recently, the awful conflict in Eastern Europe.

By comparison, the FTSE 100 is up a paltry 3% in value. Even with dividends added, the difference in returns is stark. Put simply, Slater and Anderson have proved themselves to be canny stock-pickers. A slump in the wider market doesn’t alter this fact.

The 0.34% management charge is also very reasonable, especially as the trust has an active share of 93%. The higher the latter, the more the fund deviates from its underlying benchmark. That’s exactly what I’m looking for if I’m paying someone to invest on my behalf in the hope of beating the market.

The early bird

One reason for the high active share is that Scottish Mortgage gets to invest in unlisted companies which could go on to become the mega-caps of tomorrow. Some will struggle, or fail, of course — that comes with the territory. But it only needs one or two to succeed to make a big difference.

Private or public, Scottish Mortgage has form when it comes to backing winners early. It first started buying Tesla in 2013. That bet worked out sensationally well, even if the shares remain volatile to this day.

Temporary pain

Perhaps most importantly, I’m struggling to see how any of the current headwinds impacting the Scottish Mortgage share price are anything but temporary.

Seen from the perspective of a patient Fool, short-term issues can actually be wonderful opportunities to load up. It’s a topsy-turvy way of thinking that many even experienced investors struggle with. And that’s why it works.

Not ‘if’ but ‘when’?

Taking the above into account, I reckon Scottish Mortgage stock will eventually recapture its form and eclipse previous highs. When? Ah, that’s an entirely different matter!

I don’t know when things will turn around. I don’t know when growth stocks will be back in fashion, when inflation will cool, or supply chains will normalise. On a more comforting note, neither does anyone else. But all the above will happen.

There’s still downside risk, of course. This is why it’s vital to never put all my eggs in one basket, even if that basket has performed seriously well over time. Some diversification is essential. SMT could have further to fall.

Solid buy-and-hold

I get it. Saying the Scottish Mortgage share price will soar sounds like hyperbole. It’s not helped by my inability to set a date for popping the Champagne cork.

But when market sentiment does change, I think it’s far better for me — someone investing for the next few decades — to be holding disruptive stocks with strong outlooks rather than low-quality companies having their time in the sun.

I hope to add to my holding while there’s still time.


Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Paul Summers owns shares in Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Tesla. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

High flying easyJet women bring daughters to work to inspire next generation of women in STEM
Investing Articles

In 12 months, a £10,000 investment in easyJet shares could become…

easyJet shares have plunged in value following a profit warning on Thursday (17 July). Can the FTSE 100 travel share…

Read more »

The flag of the United States of America flying in front of the Capitol building
Investing Articles

This S&P 500 blue chip looks far too cheap to me at $183!

Our writer picks out one high-quality S&P 500 stock that is currently the cheapest among the 'Magnificent 7' group of…

Read more »

Middle-aged white man wearing glasses, staring into space over the top of his laptop in a coffee shop
Investing Articles

Down 23% today! This one’s stinking out my Stocks and Shares ISA

Our writer's wondering what to do with a problem named Ashtead Technology (LON:AT.) in his Stocks and Shares ISA portfolio.

Read more »

Two male friends are out in Tynemouth, North East UK. They are walking on a sidewalk and pushing their baby sons in strollers. They are wearing warm clothing.
Investing Articles

Down over 20%, should I dump this FTSE 100 dividend stock?

Our writer has been loving the passive income this dividend stock has been throwing off. But does the big share…

Read more »

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office
Investing Articles

I’ve just bought this FTSE share…

Our writer explains the thought process that led to him buying this FTSE share. One that’s likely to do well…

Read more »

Aerial shot showing an aircraft shadow flying over an idyllic beach
Investing Articles

Just over £5 now, easyJet’s share price looks cheap to me anywhere under £13.84

easyJet’s share price has dropped recently, which could mean the business is worth less than before. Conversely, it could mean…

Read more »

Trader on video call from his home office
Investing Articles

36% under ‘fair value’ and forecast annual earnings growth of 6%, should investors consider this FTSE 250 stock?  

This FTSE 250 firm is a leader in a growing sector and has secured several new sites to drive its…

Read more »

Portrait of a boy with the map of the world painted on his face.
Investing Articles

3 UK shares that have recently become takeover targets

Mark Hartley examines why these three UK shares have become takeover targets and could be bought out by rivals in…

Read more »