Can Lloyds shares climb higher in 2022?

Lloyds shares have had a successful year, delivering 33% year-to-date returns. Can the shares continue to climb throughout 2022? Dylan Hood investigates.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Lloyds (LSE: LLOY) shares have delivered some solid returns for investors this year. Having seen 33% year-to-date returns, the shares are currently trading at 46p. However, this is still over 25% lower than its pre-pandemic share price. With exciting growth plans in place for the next few years, I think Lloyds stock could see some great growth throughout 2022.

Expansive plans

In August, Charlie Nunn took over leadership of the firm and he’s since announced major growth plans. The new strategy looks to enhance the firm’s stake in property, wealth, and commercial and investment banking. This comes after encouraging third-quarter revenues that beat forecasts by over 50% and have led to the firm sitting on over £4bn in capital.

Nunn has suggested that a portion of this capital might be spent on expanding the budget for Citra Living, Lloyds’ private landlord company. Quadrupling the budget from £250m to £1bn will vastly speed up the process of Lloyds becoming the UK’s largest private landlord. This could be a great move for the firm moving forward.

Lloyds is already the UK’s largest mortgage lender and second-largest credit card provider. Therefore, I think expanding different parts of the business seems smart if the firm wants to expand its domestic market share. In addition to this, plans to expand overseas business have also been considered, with the firm exploring the possibility of opening a New York branch. Such a presence could allow the firm to compete against larger, more international firms such as HSBC.

In addition to this, as my fellow Fool Charlie Keough pointed out, the next Monetary Policy Committee meeting is being held on 16 December. To combat inflation — which has been steadily climbing over the past few months — a hike in interest rates is expected by many investors. If this is the case, Lloyds will be able to charge more on its mortgage loans. This will help build upon the firm’s already strong revenues.

Risks for Lloyds shares

One risk that could continue to plague Lloyds shares’ growth is the Omicron variant. The shares fell by over 7% on 25 November when news broke of the variant. This is because of the threat it poses to the UK economy. If more lockdowns occur, they could seriously hamper the growth of the shares.

In addition to this, although Lloyds is beginning to speed up growth in international business areas, it is still substantially behind some of its competition. Such a heavy domestic focus led the firm to be very closely tied to the UK economy. If the UK economy underperforms, so might Lloyds shares.

And of course, its growth plans come with risk too. Entering the rental sector and possibly opening a New York branch aren’t guaranteed to succeed.

The Verdict

Although Lloyds shares are subject to Omicron threats, for me, the positives outweigh the risks. New leadership and expansive plans seem very encouraging. If these plans come to fruition in 2022, I expect Lloyds shares to climb higher. As such, I would consider adding them to my portfolio going into 2022.

Dylan Hood has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended HSBC Holdings and Lloyds Banking Group. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

A mature adult sitting by a fireplace in a living room at home. She is wearing a yellow cardigan and spectacles.
Dividend Shares

Cash ISA vs dividend shares: which builds wealth faster?

Jon Smith considers the growing interest in Cash ISA's and notes the pros and cons when thinking about allocating cash…

Read more »

National Grid engineers at a substation
Investing Articles

What on earth’s going on with the National Grid share price?

The National Grid share price has been on fire, but is there still more room for growth? Zaven Boyrazian explores…

Read more »

Person holding magnifying glass over important document, reading the small print
Investing Articles

1 ‘radioactive’ FTSE share that’s worth a second look

This former high-flying FTSE 100 stock has now crashed 63% inside five years. Why on earth would anyone consider buying…

Read more »

UK supporters with flag
Investing Articles

Investing £7,000 in dividend shares unlocks a passive income of…

Thinking about investing in dividend shares? Zaven Boyrazian calculates how much passive income investors can potentially start earning today.

Read more »

Front view of a young couple walking down terraced Street in Whitley Bay in the north-east of England they are heading into the town centre and deciding which shops to go to they are also holding hands and carrying bags over their shoulders.
Dividend Shares

Anyone can claim a share of this £98bn of passive income!

Anyone with a few pounds to spare each week can grab a share of this near-£100bn of passive income. Cliff…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

Here’s how long-term investors can benefit from a stock market crash

Does the Bank of England really think there's a stock market crash coming? Even if they do, they still have…

Read more »

Portrait of a boy with the map of the world painted on his face.
Investing Articles

Why is everyone selling ITM Power shares?

ITM Power shares were the 'number one most sold' last week. What on earth is going on with this green…

Read more »

Stack of one pound coins falling over
Investing Articles

Want to build a high-yield share portfolio for dividend income? 3 things to watch

A high yield can be very tempting -- and sometimes it can turn out to be very lucrative too. But…

Read more »