Why I think the HSBC share price is undervalued

The HSBC share price looks cheap compared to the company’s long-term potential as it concentrates on its most profitable markets.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

One English pound placed on a graph to represent an economic down turn

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The HSBC (LSE: HSBA) share price used to be one of the most popular stocks in the FTSE 100. Unfortunately, over the past few years, the company has made many missteps, which has hurt investor sentiment towards the business.

However, after the stock’s recent performance, I think there’s a great opportunity here for long-term investors, such as myself. At current prices, I believe shares in the lender are deeply undervalued. 

Therefore, I’ve been reviewing the business recently to see if it could be worth acquiring some shares in the bank to add to my portfolio. 

HSBC share price challenges

I think it’s fair to say that HSBC has been struggling for direction over the past decade.

Throughout the 2000s, the lender embarked on an ambitious expansion programme, aiming to become the world’s local bank. Then the financial crisis slammed into its dreams. In the years after, management started to streamline the business and move away from its aggressive global expansion policy.

As well as this change of direction, the group was also faced with new regulations, a string of fines, and legal actions. One example, in 2012, the bank was fined $1.9bn for failing to prevent Mexican drug cartels from laundering hundreds of millions of dollars.

Facing multiple headwinds, HSBC began slimming down. This process has accelerated over the past three years. The bank is exiting non-core markets such as France and the US and focusing its efforts on Hong Kong and China. These have always been profit centres for the group. Management is also culling 35,000 jobs. 

Going forward, the bank is going to be smaller and leaner. I think it will also be more profitable. HSBC’s global network was previously a competitive advantage. This hasn’t worked. In my opinion, it doesn’t make much sense to keep losing money just to maintain the brand’s global status.

Instead, I think the bank can be far more successful concentrating on its favourite markets while maintaining a few international outposts. 

Undervalued equity

Considering all of the above, I think the HSBC share price is undervalued. By removing loss-making businesses and focusing on its most profitable divisions, I think profits should increase in the years ahead.

On that basis, I don’t believe the stock deserves to trade at a discount to book value. Today, it’s trading as a price to book value of 0.7. That looks too cheap to me. 

Of course, the bank may face additional challenges in the future, which could cause further problems. Another coronavirus wave, for example, may incur significant losses. Further fines and penalties may also restrict the group’s ability to do business in certain markets.

Lower interest rates are also causing problems across the financial sector. If interest rates fall below 0%, HSBC’s income may drop significantly. 

Still, even after taking these risks into account, I think the HSBC share price is undervalued. As such, I’d buy shares in the bank for my portfolio as a long-term investment.

Rupert Hargreaves owns no share mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended HSBC Holdings. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

A rear view of a female in a bright yellow coat walking along the historic street known as The Shambles in York, UK which is a popular tourist destination in this Yorkshire city.
Investing Articles

8% yield! How to target a £1,600 second income with these 7 ISA stocks

Have £20,000 sitting in a Stocks and Shares ISA? Consider building a diversified portfolio of UK dividend shares for a…

Read more »

Young female business analyst looking at a graph chart while working from home
Investing Articles

A once-in-a-decade chance to buy FTSE 100 tech stocks like LSEG, Rightmove, and RELX?

The valuations on a lot of FTSE technology stocks have fallen to multi-year lows. Is there a major investment opportunity…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

Why a volatile stock market is a huge opportunity for investors

When share prices move violently it can be unnerving. But as this happens, investors have a real chance to find…

Read more »

Hand of person putting wood cube block with word VALUE on wooden table
Investing Articles

Down 52% with a P/E of 7. This value share might not be on offer for much longer

James Beard thinks this FTSE 100 share offers amazing value. That’s why he has it in his Stocks and Shares…

Read more »

Picturesque Cotswold village of Castle Combe, England
Investing Articles

£567 passive income from a £7,000 Stocks and Shares ISA? Here’s how

Here's one FTSE 100 business investors might add to a Stocks and Shares ISA to instantly unlock an 8.1% dividend…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

Why Amazon’s falling share price after strong Q4 earnings could be good news

Amazon’s share price is falling as the prospect of a $200bn spend in 2026 has investors nervous. But Stephen Wright…

Read more »

Older couple walking in park
Investing Articles

How much do I need in my ISA for a £1,000 monthly passive income?

Picking high-income stocks in an ISA can be a route to securing long-term passive income. And here's one with a…

Read more »

Smiling white woman holding iPhone with Airpods in ear
Investing Articles

Prediction: in 12 months the surging Aviva share price and dividend could turn £10,000 into…

Aviva's share price has beaten the broader FTSE 100 over the last year. But can the financial services giant keep…

Read more »