If I had to pick one top UK stock in October and hold it for life, this is what I’d buy

Jonathan Smith writes how he’d pick British American Tobacco as a top UK stock to hold for decades to come, by looking at the pedigree of the business.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

In recent times, there’s been a change in focus from investing to trading for younger share buyers. The rise of retail trading platforms, making option trading and cheap leverage available freely, has contributed to this. Yet trading profitably over a long period is hard, almost impossible. Instead, investing in a top UK stock for life can be a less stressful way to try to make money. 

The general premise of investing is that you hold a stock for the long term. A company can take years to grow, with the share price following suit. By having the mindset of investing for life, you reduce the pressure to see quick, large profits. With that in mind, if I had to buy just one stock right now and hold it for life, what would I pick?

My top UK stock to hold for life

After thinking hard about this, I’d pick British American Tobacco (LSE: BATS). It won’t be suitable for everyone as it definitely comes into the ‘sin stock’ category. But the firm is a well-known constituent of the FTSE 100, and has been in business for over a century. It’s a truly global business, operating in over 180 countries. Sales mostly come from cigarette brands such as Dunhill and Pall Mall. More recently, vaping and e-cigarette names such as Vype have also contributed to profits.

It has various qualities that appeal to me as a top UK stock to hold forever. Firstly, I have confidence it will still be around in the decades to come. If I want to hold a stock for the long term, having a history of good performance helps massively. BATS knows the business model works, and that it can operate a profitable business. Even though we’ve seen a market shift towards vaping and away from cigarettes in recent years, the core product offering is still in demand. In the earnings report through to Q2 2020, it noted that “consumption trends in developed markets remain robust”.

Secondly, the market it operates in is at a mature stage of the business cycle. This, along with the high economies of scale for new entrants, gives BATS a strong hold on the market. There are five major tobacco firms, each of which has been in the market for a long time. Although such a concentration of market share over just a few companies may be seen by some as inefficient, there are few signs of this changing short term.

Long-term stock performance

Another reason like this share is its previous share price performance. I want to see good returns in coming decades, and so can see what return I would currently be sitting on if I’d invested a couple of decades ago. Twenty years back, the share price was around 450p. There’s been a downward trend over the past few years, but in January this year it traded above 3,500p. The stock currently trades around 2,750p. This is a return of around 615% from the 450p figure, and the January price also suggests potential to grow when the current crisis is over. After you factor-in inflation, that 615% return is still very strong too. This doesn’t include the dividend income either.

If I could buy just one UK stock right now for the rest of my investing career, BATS gets my vote!

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

jonathansmith1 owns shares in British American Tobacco. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young Caucasian woman with pink her studying from her laptop screen
Investing Articles

Near 513p, is the BP share price presenting investors with a buying opportunity?

With the BP share price down, is now a good opportunity to load up on the oil and gas giant’s…

Read more »

Investing For Beginners

Here’s where I see the BT share price ending 2024

Jon Smith explains why he believes the BT share price will fall below 100p by the end of the year,…

Read more »

Aerial shot showing an aircraft shadow flying over an idyllic beach
Investing Articles

A mixed Q1, but I’m now ready to buy InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) shares

InterContinental Hotels Group shares are down today after the FTSE 100 firm reported Q1 earnings. This looks like the dip…

Read more »

Close up view of Electric Car charging and field background
Investing Articles

Why fine margins matter for the Tesla stock price

In my opinion, a fundamental problem needs to be addressed before the price of Tesla stock recaptures former glories. But…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 charts that suggest now could be the time to consider FTSE housebuilders!

Our writer’s been looking at recent data that suggests shares in the FTSE’s housebuilders could soon be on their way…

Read more »

Investing Articles

I’m backing the Amazon share price to continue climbing in 2024

Edward Sheldon believes the Amazon share price will continue to rise as a key valuation metric suggests the stock's still…

Read more »

Middle-aged black male working at home desk
Investing Articles

Can Diageo’s new chief financial officer help to reverse the falling share price?

Despite Diageo’s weaker share price, a revitalised management and a focus on strategy execution look set to keep the dividend…

Read more »

Light trails from traffic moving down The Mound in central Edinburgh, Scotland during December
Investing Articles

Has the Trainline share price just turned the corner?

The Trainline share price jumped in early trading today after a strong set of annual results from the ticketing provider.…

Read more »