Is the Petrofac share price a FTSE 250 bargain or a value trap?

Does Petrofac Limited (LON: PFC) offer investment potential despite its uncertain outlook?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The performance of the Petrofac (LSE: PFC) share price in the last three months has been stunning. It has gained 37%, which is significantly higher than the FTSE 250’s rise of 7% during the same period.

The company appears to be performing relatively well, according to its recent update. New contract wins continue apace, and its financial performance has been in line with expectations. However, with an uncertain future, could it offer investment appeal alongside another lowly-valued FTSE 250 stock?

Solid performance

The company’s performance in the 2017 financial year was relatively robust. It was able to generate net profit growth of 7% as it sought to develop its strategy. It experienced high levels of activity, while good project execution allowed it to deliver on its strategic objectives.

The company has also been focusing on its core operations. It has restructured its asset base, with the recent sale of the JSD6000 installation vessel confirming its exit from the deep-water market. Alongside this, it has experienced a high level of tendering activity, and has been awarded over $1.7bn in new orders in the current year to date. As such, it seems to be performing in line with expectations at the present time.

Uncertain outlook

However, Petrofac is expected to report a fall in earnings of 18% in the current year, followed by an additional decline of 10% next year. This has the potential to hurt investor sentiment in the stock – especially at a time when the prospects for the energy sector are improving. And with regulatory risk being a continued concern, its share price performance may prove to be volatile.

Despite this, the stock trades on a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 12. This suggests that it may offer a wide margin of safety, while a dividend yield of 4.3% that is covered twice by profit indicates that its total return potential remains high. As a result, it could offer long-term investment potential, and there is scope for a further recovery following its strong recent share price performance.

Turnaround potential

Also offering the potential for a turnaround is fellow FTSE 250-listed company Babcock (LSE: BAB). The engineering support services company reported full-year results on Wednesday and they showed a rise in profit before tax of 8%. The company’s underlying revenue and profitability reached record levels at the same time as the business reduced net debt. It also ended the financial year with an order book and bid pipeline worth £31bn. This looks set to support future growth.

The changes made to the structure of the business over the last few years seem to be having a positive impact on its operational and financial performance. It remains on track to generate 30% of its underlying revenue from international markets by 2022. This will help to diversify its operations and may reduce risk.

With Babcock trading on a P/E ratio of 10, it appears to offer a wide margin of safety. With a growing top and bottom line forecast for the next two financial years, it could generate improving share price performance following its 18% decline over the last year.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Peter Stephens owns shares of Babcock International Group and Petrofac. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young Caucasian woman with pink her studying from her laptop screen
Investing Articles

These 3 growth stocks still look dirt cheap despite the FTSE hitting all-time highs

Harvey Jones is hunting for growth stocks that have missed out on the recent FTSE 100 rally and still look…

Read more »

Chalkboard representation of risk versus reward on a pair of scales
Investing Articles

Here’s how much I’d need to invest in UK income stocks to retire on £25k a year

Harvey Jones is building his retirement plans on a portfolio of top UK dividend income stocks. There are some great…

Read more »

Investing Articles

If I’d invested £5,000 in BT shares three months ago here’s what I’d have today

Harvey Jones keeps returning to BT shares, wondering whether he finally has the pluck to buy them. The cheaper they…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d aim for a million, by investing £150 a week

Our writer outlines how he’d aim for a million in the stock market through regular saving, disciplined investing, and careful…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how the NatWest dividend could earn me a £1,000 annual passive income!

The NatWest dividend yield is over 5%. So if our writer wanted to earn £1,000 in passive income each year,…

Read more »

Young female hand showing five fingers.
Investing Articles

I’d start buying shares with these 5 questions

Christopher Ruane shares a handful of selection criteria he would use to start buying shares -- or invest for the…

Read more »

Businessman use electronic pen writing rising colorful graph from 2023 to 2024 year of business planning and stock investment growth concept.
Investing Articles

Here’s how much income I’d get if I invested my entire £20k ISA in Tesco shares

Harvey Jones is wondering whether to take the plunge and buy Tesco shares, which offer solid growth prospects and a…

Read more »

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Investing Articles

1 big-cap stock I’d consider buying with the FTSE 100 around 8,000

With several contenders it’s been a tough choice. But here are my top FTSE 100 stock picks, despite the buoyant…

Read more »