Is this small-cap growth stock the next GlaxoSmithKline plc?

Could this hidden small-cap stock rise 90% over the next three years?

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Small-caps are an excellent way to improve your wealth. Due to the smaller, generally higher-growth nature of small-caps, they tend to produce better returns than bigger blue-chip peers. Indeed, some of the world’s most famous investors made their fortunes investing in small-caps. However, even though smaller firms may come with the potential for higher returns, this additional profit potential also comes with added risk, and this may not be suitable for all investors.

The best way to mitigate the extra risk is to combine small-caps with slow and steady blue-chips in your portfolio, and two companies that look to be perfect for such a combination are GlaxoSmithKline and Sinclair Pharma (LSE: SPH).

Hidden growth stock

Sinclair Pharma is a relatively complicated business to understand, that seems to be why it falls under the radar of most investors.

The company sold its healthcare products business to fellow UK-listed firm Alliance Pharma in December 2015. This left Sinclair focused on its aesthetics products business, which is still in its early stages but is growing rapidly. For the year to the end of December 2016, revenue for the aesthetics business rose 51% to £37.8m thanks to a boost from its Silouhette Soft skin lifting and repositioning product which launched in the US during August and saw overall sales for the year grow by 51%. Ellanse, the firm’s collagen stimulator product, saw revenue rise 42% thanks to growth in South Korea and Spain.

Nonetheless, despite this rapid revenue growth, Sinclair is still lossmaking. The firm reported a pre-tax loss of £11.6m. For 2015 the company reported a loss of nearly £30m, so the figures are heading in the right direction. City analysts believe the company’s loss will contract further this year, with a pre-tax loss of £3.8m projected. Analysts currently expect the group to break into profit next year with a pre-tax profit of £4.6m expected on revenue of £62m.

Undervalued

If Sinclair’s growth continues at its current rate, there is a very real chance that the company could become one of the UK’s largest pharmaceutical groups. A buyout is also likely, and Glaxo could be the firm’s perfect suitor. It already has a large consumer pharmaceutical business and bolting on Sinclair’s aesthetics products wouldn’t be difficult for management.

This may not be the best case for shareholders. As a standalone business, based on historic growth rates, shares in Sinclair could rise by more than 50% over the next few years as growth comes through. Based on the performance during the past three years, £10m of additional revenue has translated into around £10m of additional pre-tax profit. If revenue hits £70m during 2019, pre-tax profit of £14m could be on the cards, which works out at around 2p in earnings per share. A multiple of 20 times earnings on this target indicates a share price of 40p, 25% above current levels. But considering the firm’s growth and multiple of 30 times, it may be more appropriate giving a share price of 60p, up 90% from current levels.

Rupert Hargreaves owns shares of GlaxoSmithKline. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended GlaxoSmithKline. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young female hand showing five fingers.
Investing Articles

5 shares close to 52-week lows. Could they rise in value by 44% over the next year?

Identifying value shares is the key to investment success. These five UK stocks are trading close to their 52-week lows.…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Growth Shares

Up 25% in a month, this growth share is flying despite the market falling!

Jon Smith points out a growth share that's bucking the broader market trend in recent weeks, with momentum potentially continuing…

Read more »

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

£20,000 invested in a Stocks and Shares ISA on 7 April is now worth…

The Stocks and Shares ISA is a proven wealth-building machine. But was one year ago a great time to be…

Read more »

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

The stock market hasn’t crashed yet. Make these 3 moves before it does

If an investor is prepared for a stock market crash they can soften the blow, and more importantly, capitalise on…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£1,000 buys 300 shares in this red-hot UK gold stock with a P/E ratio of 3

This UK-listed gold stock is on fire at the moment amid the historic rally in precious metals. But it still…

Read more »

Warhammer World gathering
Investing Articles

Forget Pokémon cards! Dividend stocks are my top way to earn a second income

Earning a second income by buying and selling Pokémon cards looks like it could be a lot of fun. But…

Read more »

A young Asian woman holding up her index finger
Investing Articles

UK investors could soon get a once-in-a-decade opportunity to buy cheap FTSE shares

As global markets look increasingly wobbly, value investors are starting to identify exactly which FTSE shares they’ll scoop up in…

Read more »

Young Black man sat in front of laptop while wearing headphones
Investing Articles

Down 31%, here’s a FTSE 100 horror stock I’m avoiding on Friday 13th!

Rightmove's share price has collapsed during the last 12 months. Why doesn't this make the FTSE 100 stock a top…

Read more »