Is now the time to buy Kier shares?

With its shares taking yet another hit, could now be the time to invest in ultra-cheap Kier Group plc (LON: KIE)?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Struggling construction firm Kier Group (LSE: KIE) saw its share price take yet another beating on Monday after it announced a further raft of negative news, including a suspension of its dividend for at least the next two years. What’s more, Kier once again seemed to be using the kitchen sink tactic – throwing out all the bad news in one go – in an attempt to limit future damage to its shares.

In addition to the dividend suspension, the company also said it would be cutting 1,200 jobs and selling off/divesting a number of assets to focus on core activities. Add to this the fact that with Neil Woodford as its second largest shareholder, the company has been under increased scrutiny of late, we could be forgiven for struggling to see any upside for the firm.

Batten down the hatches

But these latest moves, though perhaps coming later than they should have, can be taken to some extent as a positive. The company is making efforts to cut its costs, and is going to focus on the more promising business areas (particularly given its government contracts) of construction, highways and infrastructure. It is planning to divest itself from the weakening housing and property development sectors, as well as environmental consultancy and facilities management.

This type of consolidation is often a sensible move when a company has over-extended itself. By its own admittance, Kier’s substantial growth efforts and acquisitions (which led to its need to raise capital in what became a failed attempt last year) was done with “insufficient focus to cash generation” – a nice way of saying not making any money!

Too little, too late

Though in themselves vaguely positive moves, this recent news does paradoxically offer some negatives to consider, the main one being: why now and not earlier? If the company was struggling so much with debt, why did it maintain its dividend until this point? Bad management perhaps?

We should always beware of companies offering a dividend that looks too good to be true, of course. Chances are the firm is trying to entice investors, which can leave fundamental weaknesses unaddressed. Sometimes the best move is to reinvest profits rather than distributing them. I suspect in the case of Kier, maintaining its share price in the face of spiralling debt was what management had in mind.

Likewise, it is not as though its large debt problems came from nowhere. The company steadily dug itself into the red, but a number of technical accounting manoeuvres in its financial reports (all entirely legal it should be said) obscured its true debt levels. Similar issues were seen at failed contractor Carillion in the run up to its liquidation – not a comparison Kier would want to see.

So, is now the time to buy Kier shares? Personally I don’t think so. The company said its intended restructuring should save it approximately £55m a year from 2021, but in the meantime will cost it about £56m over the next two years to implement. Meanwhile, its high reliance on its government contract, which makes up about 60% of revenues, leaves it in a vulnerable position. Personally I would like to see how effective its new strategy is and what the true costs of restructuring turn out to be, before putting my money in.

Karl has no positions in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing For Beginners

2 FTSE shares that have been oversold in this stock market correction

Jon Smith reviews the recent market slump and points out a couple of FTSE shares he believes have been oversold…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

As the stock market moves down, I’m taking the Warren Buffett approach!

Rather than getting nervous as markets move around, our writer is looking to the career of Warren Buffett to see…

Read more »

Fans of Warren Buffett taking his photo
Investing Articles

Here’s how a stock market crash could be brilliant news for your retirement!

This writer isn't peering into a crystal ball trying to time the next stock market crash. Instead, he's making an…

Read more »

Burst your bubble thumbtack and balloon background
Investing Articles

Down 93%, should I load up on this penny stock while it’s under 1p?

The small-cap company behind this penny stock is eyeing up a substantial global market opportunity. So why did it crash…

Read more »

Portrait of pensive bearded senior looking on screen of laptop sitting at table with coffee cup.
Investing Articles

Is Fundsmith Equity still worth holding in a Stocks and Shares ISA or SIPP in 2026?

The performance of the Fundsmith Equity fund has been shocking over the last two years. Is it still smart to…

Read more »

Young female hand showing five fingers.
Investing Articles

5 smart moves to make before the 2025/2026 ISA deadline

Taking advantage of the annual allowance isn’t the only smart move to make before the upcoming ISA deadline, says Edward…

Read more »

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office
Investing Articles

Here’s the dividend forecast for Lloyds shares through to 2028

Can dividend forecasts tell investors much about the outlook for banking shares? Stephen Wright sets out what investors really need…

Read more »

The flag of the United States of America flying in front of the Capitol building
Investing Articles

Meet the S&P 500 stock analysts think could be set to surge 85%!

Analysts have a hugely positive view of an S&P 500 near-monopoly business that’s fallen 58% from its highs. But does…

Read more »