Are Vodafone Group plc, Investec plc and G4S plc about to halve their dividends?

Should you avoid these 3 stocks due to their uncertain dividend outlooks? Vodafone Group plc (LON: VOD), Investec plc (LON: INVP) and G4S plc (LON: GFS).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

In recent years, the financial performance of Vodafone (LSE: VOD) has been hugely disappointing. That’s largely because the growth rate of the European economy has been relatively low, with it arguably never having fully recovered from the credit crunch. And while Vodafone’s large exposure to Europe is due to its own strategy, thus far it has proven to be the wrong one since its bottom line has fallen heavily in the last few years.

However, Vodafone’s fortunes could be about to change and this is great news for its dividend. For example, in the next two financial years Vodafone’s bottom line is forecast to rise by around 57% and this could cause its dividends to begin rising at a much faster pace than they’ve done in the last few years. Furthermore, it means that the chances of a dividend cut are far less likely since Vodafone may be able to afford to be more generous when it comes to shareholder payouts. And with its shares trading on a price-to-earnings-growth (PEG) ratio of just 1, they seem to offer excellent capital growth potential, too.

Under pressure

While Vodafone has endured a tough period, investors have become concerned about the outlook for South Africa-focused Investec (LSE: INVP). While the financial services company has a bright long-term future, the South African economy is enduring a challenging period, at least partly due to the weakness in the global resources sector. As such, there are concerns that Investec’s profitability and dividends could come under a degree of pressure.

However, with Investec forecast to increase its bottom line by 10% in the current year and by a further 11% next year, its performance looks set to remain strong following three consecutive years of bottom-line growth. And with its dividends being covered 1.9 times by profit, there seems to be more scope for a rise in dividends rather than a cut. Moreover, with Investec trading on a PEG ratio of just 0.9, capital gains could lie ahead over the medium term.

Sound income play

Meanwhile, G4S (LSE: GFS) continues to make an impressive recovery after a hugely challenging period. After having posted four consecutive years of falling profitability, the support services company last year recorded a rise in its bottom line of 14%. And looking ahead to the next two years, earnings growth of 3% and 8%, respectively, is being pencilled-in by the market.

Despite its falling profitability, G4S continued to raise dividends in recent years. This has caused its dividend coverage ratio to narrow somewhat, but with it now standing at 1.6 it seems to be very healthy. This means that there’s scope for further rises in dividends over the medium term and with G4S currently yielding 5.2%, it appears to be a sound income play for the long term.

Peter Stephens owns shares of Vodafone. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

What size ISA do you need for £250-a-week retirement income?

Harvey Jones outlines the advantages of investing in a Stocks and Shares ISA rather than leaving money in cash, and…

Read more »

Mature Caucasian woman sat at a table with coffee and laptop while making notes on paper
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Legal & General shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Harvey Jones crunches the numbers to show how much an investor would have earned from Legal & General shares lately,…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Just check out the latest bumper forecasts for Lloyds, NatWest and Barclays shares

Harvey Jones says Barclays shares have had a terrific year and there could be more action to come. So what's…

Read more »

Senior Adult Black Female Tourist Admiring London
Investing Articles

Meet the skyrocketing FTSE 250 stocks up by more than 300% in five years!

These FTSE 250 stocks have delivered market-thrashing returns for shareholders in recent years. But are any still worth considering today?

Read more »

Middle-aged white man pulling an aggrieved face while looking at a screen
Market Movers

Down 7%! Why on earth are Imperial Brands shares plummeting today?

Imperial Brands shares are in freefall after a negative reception to fresh trading news. Is the party finally over for…

Read more »

Rear View Of Woman Holding Man Hand during travel in cappadocia
Investing Articles

With a P/E under 7, this value stock looks far too cheap at 101p

This writer reckons value stock Hostelworld (LSE:HSW) looks dirt-cheap as it gets dividends flowing again and builds a social travel…

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing For Beginners

Down 30% in 6 months, I think there’s a big catch to this insanely cheap stock

Jon Smith talks through why careful research is needed when trying to assess if a cheap stock is worth buying…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in National Grid shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Andrew Mackie takes a closer look at National Grid shares and why short-term market weakness could be missing a powerful…

Read more »