Why RPC Group Plc Could Surge 40%+ Annually For The Next 5 Years!

RPC Group Plc (LON:RPC) should outperform the market quite dramatically in the next few years, argues Alessandro Pasetti.

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

RPC Group (LSE: RPC) is a plastic packaging supplier. It targets the consumer, industrial, food and non-food markets. Maybe you have never heard of it, but it has a market cap of about £1bn. Guess why I am interested?

The stock of this FTSE 250-listed company has risen by about 200% in the last five years, and it could record a similar performance to 2019 if management continue to deliver. As the company continues to grow, its equity will likely appreciate, but will also attract interest from trade buyers and private equity firms. 

In the meantime, RPC is wasting no time in deal-making. It announced on Thursday that it would acquire Iceland’s Promens Group for €386m, valuing the target at 6.8 times trailing Ebitda. That is a fair take-out multiple for the packaging industry.

The Promens Deal

There’s a lot to like in the deal’s structure. 

RPC has proposed to finance the acquisition partly via a £200m rights issue, while the reminder will be funded by an existing revolver, essentially an undrawn credit line, which has been increased from £350m to £490m. This signals a willingness by lenders to support a combined entity that is expected to carry a manageable net leverage ratio of about 2x at the end of March 2015. 

Management is ready to take swift action, and that’s important.

RPC stock has been under pressure since June, having lost about 17% of value over the period, but has bounced back with the market since mid-October and is up more than 5% on Thursday. Results released today showed that RPC’s net profit for the six months to the end of September rose by 10% to £22m, while acquisitions and organic growth pushed revenue up by more than 10% to £588.9m over the period. 

Plenty Of Growth & A Takeover Target 

Based on trading multiples, RPC shares aren’t particularly expensive and, equally important, do not price in a takeover premium, in my view.

A merger with Rexam would certainly make sense, and if leverage goes down quickly, there’s little doubt that RPC may attract interest from private equity firms seeking for capital arbitrage opportunities.

It’s too early for a takeover, perhaps, so if you buy RPC you may just end up owning a fast-growing company, with a sound balance sheet, a free cash flow yield at 2.5% and a forward dividend yield in line with that of the market. If you have never heard of it, well, you know what you should do right now. 

Alessandro Pasetti has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended RPC Group. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Is this the best time to invest in a Stocks and Shares ISA – or the worst?

Investors looking to use this year's Stocks and Shares ISA may be deterred by current market volatility but this could…

Read more »

Fireworks display in the shape of willow at Newcastle, Co. Down , Northern Ireland at Halloween.
Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT if the FTSE 100 would hit 12,000 before 2027

Is the 12,000 mark possible for the FTSE 100 in 2026? Let's take a quick look at what ChatGPT has…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Investing Articles

With an 8.8% yield are Legal & General shares a once-in-a-decade opportunity?

Legal & General shares are back to where they were a whole 10 years ago. Harvey Jones is tempted by…

Read more »

Young female hand showing five fingers.
Investing Articles

5 shares close to 52-week lows. Could they rise in value by 44% over the next year?

Identifying value shares is the key to investment success. These five UK stocks are trading close to their 52-week lows.…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Growth Shares

Up 25% in a month, this growth share is flying despite the market falling!

Jon Smith points out a growth share that's bucking the broader market trend in recent weeks, with momentum potentially continuing…

Read more »

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

£20,000 invested in a Stocks and Shares ISA on 7 April is now worth…

The Stocks and Shares ISA is a proven wealth-building machine. But was one year ago a great time to be…

Read more »

Man hanging in the balance over a log at seaside in Scotland
Investing Articles

The stock market hasn’t crashed yet. Make these 3 moves before it does

If an investor is prepared for a stock market crash they can soften the blow, and more importantly, capitalise on…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£1,000 buys 300 shares in this red-hot UK gold stock with a P/E ratio of 3

This UK-listed gold stock is on fire at the moment amid the historic rally in precious metals. But it still…

Read more »