3 Ways Lloyds Banking Group PLC Will Continue To Lag Its Sector

How does Lloyds Banking Group PLC (LON: LLOY) compare to its sector peers?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Right now I’m comparing some of the most popular companies in the FTSE 100 with their sector peers in an attempt to establish which one is the more attractive investment.

Today I’m looking at Lloyds Banking Group (LSE: LLOY) (NYSE: LYG.US).

Valuation

Now, I believe that as Lloyds’ largest peers, Standard Chartered and HSBC generate the majority of their income outside of the UK, they are not a suitable comparison.  So, for the purpose of this article I will be comparing Lloyds to its closest high-street banking peers, Royal Bank of Scotland and Barclays.

Unfortunately, as both Lloyds and RBS reported a full-year loss for 2012 I am unable to calculate a historic valuation for both companies. However, City analysts expect Lloyds to earn 5.3p per share for 2013, indicating that the company currently trades at a forward P/E 14.2.

This means that Lloyds is trading at a slight discount to the wider banking sector, which is currently trading at a historic P/E of 16.4. Meanwhile, Barclays trades at a forward P/E of 10.5.

So overall, Lloyds looks relatively expensive compared to its closet profitable peer but cheap compared to the wider sector. 

Company’s performance

Nonetheless, Lloyds’ earnings are expected to grow rapidly during the next two years as the company finally recovers from the financial crisis.

Indeed, City analysts expect Lloyds to earn 6.8p per share during 2014, which implies earnings growth of 30% from the 5.3p per share profit the bank is set to report for full-year 2013. Actually, this rapid earnings growth puts Lloyds on a PEG ratio of around 0.5, indicating that the bank offers growth at a reasonable price.   

In comparison, peer RBS is not expected to report a profit for this year. Furthermore, Barclays’ earnings per share are expected to decline 25% this year, although this is mostly due to rights issue the company undertook earlier in the year. 

Dividends

Many City analysts expect Lloyds to introduce a token dividend of 0.6p per share at the end of 2013. That said, the City also expects this payout to expand 270% during 2014 to hit 2.2p per share, a dividend yield of 3% at current levels.

Unfortunately, close peer RBS is not expected to offer a dividend again until 2014, City analysts project this will only be a token payout of 1.3p per share, a yield of 0.4% at current prices.  However, Barclays is expected to offer a payout of 10.6p per share during 2014, indicating that the bank will offer investors a prospective dividend yield of 4.2% based on current prices.

Foolish summary

So overall, based on City estimates for Lloyds’ rapid earnings growth during the next two years and the prospective dividend yield of 3%, I feel that Lloyds is a much stronger share than its peers. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

> Rupert owns shares in Lloyds Banking Group. The Motley Fool owns shares in Standard Chartered. 

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

3 market-beating international investment funds for a Stocks and Shares ISA

It always pays to look for new ways to add extra diversity to a Stocks and Shares ISA. I think…

Read more »

Grey cat peeking out from inside a cardboard box in a house
Investing Articles

Just released: April’s latest small-cap stock recommendation [PREMIUM PICKS]

We believe the UK small-cap market offers a myriad of opportunities across a wide range of different businesses and industries.

Read more »

Fireworks display in the shape of willow at Newcastle, Co. Down , Northern Ireland at Halloween.
Investing Articles

The Anglo American share price soars to £25, but I’m not selling!

On Thursday, the Anglo American share price soared after mega-miner BHP Group made an unsolicited bid for it. But I…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Now 70p, is £1 the next stop for the Vodafone share price?

The Vodafone share price is back to 70p, but it's a long way short of the 97p it hit in…

Read more »

Concept of two young professional men looking at a screen in a technological data centre
Investing Articles

If I’d put £5,000 in Nvidia stock at the start of 2024, here’s what I’d have now

Nvidia stock was a massive winner in 2023 as the AI chipmaker’s profits surged across the year. How has it…

Read more »

Light bulb with growing tree.
Investing Articles

3 top investment trusts that ‘green’ up my Stocks and Shares ISA

I’ll be buying more of these investment trusts for my Stocks and Shares ISA given the sustainable and stable returns…

Read more »

Investing Articles

8.6% or 7.2%? Does the Legal & General or Aviva dividend look better?

The Aviva dividend tempts our writer. But so does the payout from Legal & General. Here he explains why he'd…

Read more »

a couple embrace in front of their new home
Investing Articles

Are Persimmon shares a bargain hiding in plain sight?

Persimmon shares have struggled in 2024, so far. But today's trading update suggests sentiment in the housing market's already improving.

Read more »