Down 22% with a P/E of 9, is Hikma one of the best passive income picks right now?

Mark Hartley digs deeper to uncover the real story behind Hikma Pharmaceuticals’ big price drop, and whether it presents a passive income opportunity.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Photo of a man going through financial problems

Image source: Getty Images

Hikma Pharmaceuticals (LSE: HIK) looks like a potentially a strong passive income stock. Its price is down 22% over the past year, as operational challenges forced management to revise earnings expectations. Several factors drove the drop, most notably the delayed launch of a recently-acquired facility in Bedford, Ohio.

As a result, full operational efficiency has been pushed back to late 2027, with commercial revenue benefits now only arriving in 2028. So the question is, does today’s depressed price present an opportunity — or a value trap?

Valuation assessment

The falling price means Hikma now looks attractively undervalued, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of only 9.3. Add to this an above-average dividend yield of 4.1%, and the stock exhibits both income and value potential.

But the Bedford delay is just the tip of an iceberg, adding to a swathe of other issues. From guidance cuts and currency headwinds to higher costs amid US pricing pressure, Hikma has its work cut out if it hopes to recover.

Management’s therefore pursuing a multi-year turnaround strategy but results may take some time to materialise. 

My verdict?

Hikma may look cheap but I think it could still get cheaper. Investors buying now may find themselves underwater for another year or more. So when it comes to passive income, I think there are better options on the FTSE 100.

One I think is worth considering right now is Admiral Group (LSE: ADM). It’s down 17% from its 2025 high, leaving it with a relatively attractive forward P/E ratio of 12.7. What’s more, it’s estimated to be trading at 49% below fair value, using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model.

But its income potential is the real story. With a yield of 7.7% and over two decades of uninterrupted payments, it’s a dividend star. Earnings have compounded at an annualised rate of 30% over the past three years and its return on equity (ROE) is an eye-watering 65.4%.

Admittedly, its average 12-month price target growth of 14% is much lower than Hikma’s 40%, but the income reliability makes it the preferable choice, in my book.

It’s not a guaranteed payday though. As with any stock, there are risks. Recent earnings were temporarily inflated due to prior period reserve releases, essentially the result of cautious estimates from past years proving less costly than expected.

These are one-time accounting gains, not recurring profits. When these reserve releases dry up (as they inevitably do when markets normalise), reported earnings could drop sharply.

The bottom line

When looking closer, Hikma’s discount price may not be the best value opportunity today. While it’s still got strong recovery potential, it could be a while before investors see the benefit.

Admiral, on the other hand, while still carrying some valuation risk, has far stronger income potential. For long-term investors eyeing passive income, I think it’s a better stock to consider today.

But it’s not the only one. If you’re worried about the impact of global rate changes, stocks such as Unilever and National Grid have both defensive and income qualities.

As always, a highly-diversified portfolio offers the best chance to ride out volatility while still targeting reliable returns.

Mark Hartley has positions in Admiral Group Plc, National Grid Plc, and Unilever. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Admiral Group Plc, Hikma Pharmaceuticals Plc, National Grid Plc, and Unilever. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Night Takeoff Of The American Space Shuttle
Growth Shares

How UK investors can get access to the $2trn SpaceX stock IPO TODAY

Investors in the UK can get exposure to space powerhouse SpaceX today via several investment trusts that trade on the…

Read more »

Young black colleagues high-fiving each other at work
Investing Articles

Down 23% from its highs, I’ve just bagged myself a FTSE 100 bargain!

Stephen Wright has seized the opportunity to buy shares in a FTSE 100 company with outstanding growth prospects at an…

Read more »

Close-up image depicting a woman in her 70s taking British bank notes from her colourful leather wallet.
Investing Articles

How to turn an empty ISA into £100 a month in passive income

Stephen Wright outlines how real estate investment trusts can help UK investors aim for £100 a month in passive income…

Read more »

Man riding the bus alone
Investing Articles

Down 23%! Should I buy Meta Platforms for my ISA or SIPP?

Meta stock looks undervalued after sliding steadily lower since last summer. But should I buy the social media giant for…

Read more »

A rear view of a female in a bright yellow coat walking along the historic street known as The Shambles in York, UK which is a popular tourist destination in this Yorkshire city.
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Greggs shares 2 years ago is now worth…

Anyone who bought Greggs' shares two years ago will now be sitting on heavy losses. Is there potential for a…

Read more »

Investing Articles

10 days to the next stock market crash?

What happens to the stock market when the current ceasefire in the Middle East expires? And what should investors do…

Read more »

Middle-aged Caucasian woman deep in thought while looking out of the window
Investing Articles

How to try and double the State Pension with just £30 a week

By saving money each week and investing regularly, even someone without a lot of cash to spare can aim to…

Read more »

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

2 badly beaten-down small caps to consider for a £20,000 Stocks and Shares ISA

Ben McPoland highlights a pair of UK small caps that have sold off heavily, making them worth considering for a…

Read more »