We have some exciting news to share! The Motley Fool UK has now become an independent, UK-owned company, led by our long-serving UK management team — Mark Rogers, Chris Nials and Heather Adlington. In practical terms, it’s the same team you know, now fully focused on serving our UK readers and members.

Just as importantly, our approach remains unchanged: long-term, jargon-free, and on your side. We’ll be introducing a new name and brand over the coming weeks — we're very excited to share it with you and embark on this new chapter together!

Building a second income portfolio? Here’s why it pays to factor in forex

Exchange rates are often the last thing that investors look at when building a second income portfolio. Dr James Fox explains why it’s so important.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Close-up image depicting a woman in her 70s taking British bank notes from her colourful leather wallet.

Image source: Getty Images

Millions of us invest for a second income. It’s something that offers the promise of greater financial freedom, a buffer against uncertainty, and the potential to build long-term wealth without relying solely on a salary.

Many investors will look to achieve this by investing in stocks that pay a dividend. For example, £100,000 invested in a host of stocks with an average dividend yield of 5% would pay £5,000 per year.

And while UK-listed stocks provide some excellent dividend-paying options, a diversified portfolio of stocks will include companies listed overseas. There are several reasons for this including exposure to different economies. But also the FTSE 350 doesn’t offer broad exposure to dividend stocks in all sectors. That’s my opinion anyway.

Of course, the issue here is that overseas stocks are not denominated in pounds, and that means an investment is directly impacted by foreign exchange fluctuations.

A closer look

Here’s an example. Let’s say an investor bought £10,000 worth of ExxonMobil shares on 14 October 2022. This was a period of pound weakness I remember very well because I was on my honeymoon.

Sadly, for Exxon, the shares are pretty much flat in dollar terms over the period, but the pound surged around 22%. In turn, this means the Exxon shares would be worth less than £8,000 today.

The same applies to dividends. If our investor was expecting a 4% annualised dividend yield they’d be sadly disappointed. That’s simply because the initial investment would be generating around $440 a year. In 2022, that would have meant £400. But today that’s just £325.

And it’s important to remember that this fluctuation has happened over a relatively short period of time. The lesson is that exchange rate fluctuations can have a profound impact on our investments and second income objectives.

What to do?

Predicting currency fluctuations can be challenging. Morgan Stanley recently forecasted that the pound will rise to $1.45 by the second quarter of 2026. In a more optimistic scenario, the rate could climb as high as $1.51.

In such a scenario, it would be prudent to make limited investments in US-listed stocks for the time being. It’s something I’m having to think about very carefully.

And this is why I’m increasingly looking at overlooked or undervalued UK stocks at this time. Yü Group (LSE:YU) is one that stands out, notably for its impressive dividend growth.

The company’s board increased the full-year dividend by 50% to 60p per share in 2024, and further hikes are expected. Analysts forecast payouts of 84p in 2025, 90p in 2026, and 95p in 2027.

This translates to a yield of 3.3% today, rising to a projected 5.1% by 2027, a rare combination of a strong yield and rapid dividend growth.

The dividend is well-supported by strong financials: net cash rose to £80.2m in 2024 and is forecast to reach £168m by 2027.

Moreover, with shares trading at just 7.5 times 2025 earnings, Yü Group remains attractively valued. While risks remain — including energy price volatility and execution challenges — the company’s robust cash generation and disciplined growth are very attractive. It’s a stock I’m considering very closely.

James Fox has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

US Tariffs street sign
Investing Articles

Did Donald Trump just kickstart Diageo shares?

Big news from across the pond for Diageo shares! Has the American president just lit the afterburners for the drinks…

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking money coins with virtual percentage icons
Investing Articles

Could Greggs shares bounce back and pull a Rolls-Royce?

It may seem odd to compare a major aerospace engineer to a bakery chain, but Greggs shares currently exhibit a…

Read more »

A handsome mature bald bearded black man in a sunglasses and a fashionable blue or teal costume with a tie is standing in front of a wall made of striped wooden timbers and fastening a suit button
Investing Articles

Should investors consider buying Palantir stock after its stellar earnings?

Palantir stock fell today after yesterday’s impressive quarterly earnings results. Muhammad Cheema looks at whether investors should consider buying some.

Read more »

Engineer Project Manager Talks With Scientist working on Computer
Investing Articles

A huge opportunity for growth investors looking for stocks to buy in May?

A quality company showing signs of coming out of a cyclical downturn is at the top of Stephen Wright’s list…

Read more »

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

£8,580 invested in Rolls-Royce shares shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Rolls-Royce shares have been suffering from Middle East strife fallout, but analysts aren't being dissuaded from their rosy outlook.

Read more »

Portrait Of Senior Couple Climbing Hill On Hike Through Countryside In Lake District UK Together
Investing Articles

£7,500 invested in Santander shares 3 years ago is now worth…

Ben McPoland asks whether Santander shares are still worth considering after a blistering hot run over the past three years.

Read more »

Affectionate Asian senior mother and daughter using smartphone together at home, smiling joyfully
Investing Articles

1 of the best dividend shares to consider as UK dividend forecasts surge!

Dividends from UK shares surged 21.1% in Q1. The question is, can London stocks keep paying impressive dividends as earnings…

Read more »

A rear view of a female in a bright yellow coat walking along the historic street known as The Shambles in York, UK which is a popular tourist destination in this Yorkshire city.
Investing Articles

National Grid shares: a classic sleep-well stock for uncertain markets?

Andrew Mackie analyses National Grid shares and explains why he sees more than just income in a world driven by…

Read more »