As huge earnings send the Diploma share price up 15%, what should investors do?

As Diploma’s latest results blow expectations out of the water, the share price is surging. But what should investors make of the latest news?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Diverse group of friends cheering sport at bar together

Image source: Getty Images

The Diploma (LSE:DPLM) share price is surging this morning (20 May) and investors don’t have to look hard to see why. The FTSE 100 firm’s latest update is very impressive – for a number of reasons.

Some of these are more obvious than others. But there’s no way around the fact the latest results show a welcome return to form for one of the UK’s strongest growth stocks.

The results

In the six months leading up to the end of March, Diploma’s sales grew 14%, which is a lot. And around half of this came from the firm’s existing businesses, rather than through acquisitions.

This was well ahead of the company’s expectations after the first quarter. And management has increased guidance for the full year to 8% (from 6%) as a result.

There were also very positive signs further down the income statement. Diploma’s earnings per share came in at 80.2p on an adjusted basis, constituting 23% growth.

Management also reported a strong pipeline of opportunities in terms of future acquisitions. Given all this, it’s not a big surprise to see the stock surging higher as a result. 

Analysis

Diploma’s latest results are impressive in isolation. But in the context of the company’s recent performance, I think they’re even more outstanding. 

The company’s organic revenue growth in the first half of 2025 is almost double the 5% per year assumed in the company’s model. And there’s another reason this is important.

A lot of Diploma’s growth strategy is driven by acquisitions. Investors, though, can view this as risky, given the inherent danger of overpaying for a business that ultimately doesn’t pan out as expected.

Strong organic revenue growth helps offset this. And the news that the firm’s two biggest recent acquisitions – Windy City Wire and Peerless Fasteners – are performing well is also very encouraging.

Risks

Diploma’s latest results are extremely strong and I think the company as a whole is very impressive. But it’s not like the business is entirely risk-free. 

One of the things worth keeping an eye on is the firm’s leadership. Jonny Thomson took over as CEO in 2019 and has taken the FTSE 100 firm to new heights. 

While some of this might be attributable to Diploma’s entrepreneurial culture, it’s worth noting the previous CEO’s tenure wasn’t so successful. That indicates to me there’s an element of key-man risk. 

This is something to keep an eye on for investors. At a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of above 30, the current share price reflects unusually strong performance for a long time to come.

Should I buy the stock?

Diploma’s share price is – understandably – responding positively to management’s increased guidance for the year. But that makes it hard to think there’s an obvious opportunity right now.

Warren Buffett says that the stock market is a device for transferring wealth from the impatient to the patient. And I think that’s the key thing to remember at the moment. 

Diploma shares rarely trade at a low P/E ratio, but expectations are especially high at the moment. As a result, I’m going to keep watching and look for a better opportunity.

Stephen Wright has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Diploma Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Long-term vs short-term investing concept on a staircase
Investing Articles

Is now a good time to start investing in the wealth-building stock market?

The stock market is a battle-hardened builder of wealth long term. But with risks mounting, is now a good time…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in red-hot Tesco shares just 1 week ago is now worth…

Harvey Jones is impressed by how well Tesco shares have defied recent stock market volatility. So can this FTSE 100…

Read more »

Road 2025 to 2032 new year direction concept
Investing Articles

See the income from investing a £20k ISA in this UK stock before it goes ex-dividend on 9 April

Harvey Jones says this UK stock offers one of the highest yields on the FTSE 100. Investors need to act…

Read more »

Middle-aged Caucasian woman deep in thought while looking out of the window
Investing Articles

What’s going on with the AstraZeneca share price now?

Dr James Fox explores the recent movements in the AstraZeneca share price and evaluates whether it's still a good long-term…

Read more »

Young female business analyst looking at a graph chart while working from home
Investing Articles

This S&P 500 stock is down 30% and the CEO just bought $10m worth of shares

Insiders only buy a stock for one reason – they expect its price to go up. So, this S&P 500…

Read more »

Black woman using smartphone at home, watching stock charts.
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in BAE Systems shares a month ago is now worth…

BAE Systems shares have been among the FTSE 100's best performers in recent years. The question is, can the defence…

Read more »

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

Here’s how a £20k ISA could generate £7,875 in monthly passive income

Have £20,000 ready to invest? Royston Wild explains how you could put this in a Stocks and Shares ISA to…

Read more »

Middle-aged white man wearing glasses, staring into space over the top of his laptop in a coffee shop
Investing Articles

By April 2027, £2,630 invested in Barclays shares could be worth…

Barclays shares have been flying. But what might happen to a chunk of money invested in the bank's stock over…

Read more »