According to the dividend forecast, £5k in this income stock could eventually make £1k a year

Jon Smith explains the numbers behind a high-yield stock and flags up why the dividend forecast could point to further income potential.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Businessman hand stacking up arrow on wooden block cubes

Image source: Getty Images

Dividend forecasts are really useful pieces of information that I don’t think are appreciated enough. Of course, no one can perfectly predict what future income a company will pay out.

But based on opinions from analysts and brokers, the projected figures can be a good indicator whether a stock should be worthy of consideration. Here’s one investors might find interesting.

Solar flair

Foresight Solar Fund‘s (LSE:FSFL) a UK-based renewable energy investment that primarily targets solar assets (as the name suggests). The share price is down 16% over the past year, which is one factor that’s pushed up the dividend yield to 10.81%.

The FTSE 250 stock makes money by generating revenue from the portfolio of large solar farms. These assets generate electricity, which is then sold to the grid or through Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) with businesses. When buying new assets, the fund focuses on operational solar farms with a proven track record. This is a good thing, as it reduces the development risk associated with new or unproven sites.

Given the relatively stable nature of the cash flow from the contracts, it’s logical that dividend investors would find this stock appealing. Over the past few years, the business has been paying out quarterly dividends. These have been rising, with the latest dividend declared earlier this month of 2p, matching the past three quarters.

Forward-looking

Analysts expect the next dividend (declared in June) to rise to 2.1p per share. In June 2026, the expectation is for a further increase to 2.19p per share. So in theory, the 2026/2027 total dividend payable could be 8.76p (2.19p x 4). If I use the current share price of 75p, this would equate to a dividend yield of 11.68%.

If an investor puts £5k in Foresight stock today, this could mean that in the period in question (2026/2027), the dividends could equate to £584. But this doesn’t include the dividends that would be paid before then. If I were to assume that the dividend yield would average around 11% from now for the next five years and that an investor took the income and bought more of the stock, the passive income payments would compound even faster.

A £5k investment now with a yield of 11% would mean that in year six, an investor could receive just over £1k from dividends.

Keeping our feet grounded

Forecasting income in years to come isn’t an exact science. There are risks involved. For example, the share price could fall further, meaning that an investor would have a loss on the initial capital. This could happen if electricity prices fall. A significant portion of the firm’s revenue depends on electricity prices, which can fluctuate due to market conditions.

Even with the risks, I think it’s a high-yield opportunity that investors should consider to complement an existing income portfolio.

Jon Smith has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Foresight Solar Fund. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Dividend Shares

Man smiling and working on laptop
Investing Articles

Stock market correction? A passive income opportunity!

Looking to turbocharge your passive income? The stock market correction could be a once-in-a-decade chance to do just that, says…

Read more »

Portrait Of Senior Couple Climbing Hill On Hike Through Countryside In Lake District UK Together
Investing Articles

Should investors consider buying resilient Admiral Group and Tesco shares as markets wobble?

Harvey Jones is impressed by how Tesco shares have held up in the current market volatility, while Admiral has been…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Investing Articles

Down 15% in a month and yielding 7.5%! Should I buy even more of my favourite dividend stock?

Harvey Jones says this brilliant FTSE 100 dividend stock is suddenly cheaper due to recent market volatility. And the yield…

Read more »

Man riding the bus alone
Dividend Shares

How big does my ISA need to be to make £2.5k in monthly passive income?

Jon Smith points out the key factors that go into building a dividend portfolio for passive income, and reviews one…

Read more »

Stacks of coins
Investing Articles

I’m targeting £7,570 in yearly dividends from £20,000 in this FTSE income heavyweight

Analysts forecast this FTSE gem will keep raising dividends and generating solid earnings growth. So can it keep supercharging my…

Read more »

Young black colleagues high-fiving each other at work
Investing Articles

How much do you need in an ISA to earn a £20k passive income?

Royston Wild explains how you could target a huge passive income in a Stocks and Shares ISA -- and reveals…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

A new name — but this still-standout FTSE 100 dividend‑income star now has a superb forecast yield of 9.2%!

This FTSE 100 giant has reset its identity, but its dividend income potential looks stronger than ever. Both the present…

Read more »

Petrochemical engineer working at night with digital tablet inside oil and gas refinery plant
Investing Articles

Powerful passive income from the rising oil price

Since the end of February, the oil price has surged by 43%. With oil, gas, and electricity all set to…

Read more »