My Rolls-Royce share price prediction for 2025

The Rolls-Royce share price climbed an incredible 96% in 2024. Muhammad Cheema looks at whether it can mount a similar run in 2025.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The Rolls-Royce (LSE:RR.) share price enjoyed a splendid 2024, climbing 96%. With the FTSE 100 rising by only 6% in the same period, the company has yet again become the standout performer in the index.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Rolls-Royce Plc PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALLwww.fool.co.uk

What’s more impressive is that from the start of 2023, its shares have returned 529% to investors. The Footsie has only returned a tame 10% in comparison.

Now, the company’s market-cap is £50bn on the back of trailing 12-month revenue of £17.8bn and profit of £2.3bn. It’s therefore difficult to imagine its shares continuing such a monstrous run going forward.

Should you invest £1,000 in Rolls-Royce right now?

When investing expert Mark Rogers has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for nearly a decade has provided thousands of paying members with top stock recommendations from the UK and US markets. And right now, Mark thinks there are 6 standout stocks that investors should consider buying. Want to see if Rolls-Royce made the list?

See the 6 stocks

However, Rolls-Royce shares have consistently defied expectations over the last couple of years, so let’s look at what they might do over the next 12 months.

The bull case

The great thing about Rolls-Royce is that it’s a company with solid fundamentals. Over the last couple of years, its performance has been trending in the right direction.

Firstly, its half-year results for 2024 continued the business’s strong growth with revenue rising from £7bn to £8.2bn. The company’s operating profit also increased from £670m to £1.15bn. This represents operating margins expanding from 9.7% to 14%, which shows that management’s running the company well.

Secondly, Rolls-Royce is continuing to improve its balance sheet. At the end of 2022, the company’s net debt was £3.3bn. As of its latest results, it was only £820m. Free cash flow is also expected to be an impressive £2.1bn-£2.2bn for the full year.

Because of this, the firm’s been able to reinstate its dividend for FY24, which will be paid in 2025. They will pay this based on a 30% pay-out ratio, which will be maintained at 30-40% each year thereafter. This is great news for shareholders.

Finally, it looks like momentum’s on the company’s side. For the 10 months to 31 October 2024 large engine flying hours grew 18% to reach 102% of 2019 levels. This, which was finally breached after the pandemic, could fuel further growth for Rolls-Royce.

The bear case

Even though Rolls-Royce has a great underlying business, doesn’t necessarily mean it’s a great investment for the year ahead.

Notably, the company’s trading with an expensive forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 29. This is almost double that of the UK stock market.

Therefore, any negative news could send its shares crashing. For example, Donald Trump made it clear in his election campaign that tariffs are going to be a major policy of his once he becomes President. If he decides to impose tariffs on UK firms supplying US ones, this could hurt Rolls-Royce, as it supplies engines to large US aircraft manufacturers like Boeing.

I also think it’s very possible that after two years of tremendous share price appreciation, investors could take some profits off the table. This could create downward pressure on the share price.

Verdict

Overall, I think Rolls-Royce is a great company, but I also believe its shares already have a lot of future growth priced in. That said, while expensive, I don’t think a forward P/E of 29 is ridiculously expensive. Therefore, I can see its shares rising modestly over the next year to between 600p and 620p. This won’t represent a 96% return like last year but it isn’t bad either so it may still be one to consider.

Should you invest £1,000 in Rolls-Royce right now?

When investing expert Mark Rogers has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for nearly a decade has provided thousands of paying members with top stock recommendations from the UK and US markets.

And right now, Mark thinks there are 6 standout stocks that investors should consider buying. Want to see if Rolls-Royce made the list?

See the 6 stocks

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Muhammad Cheema has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Rolls-Royce Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Up 30% in weeks, does the BAE Systems share price still offer value?

The BAE Systems share price has been on a tear over the past couple of months. This writer sees limited…

Read more »

Three signposts pointing in different directions, with 'Buy' 'Sell' and 'Hold' on
Investing Articles

Hunting for shares to buy as the market trembles? Remember this!

After a choppy week in global stock markets, our writer goes back to basics in his hunt for bargain shares…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 simple principles to help build wealth in an ISA

As a new tax year opens up new ISA allowances for many investors, our writer shares a trio of things…

Read more »

Investing Articles

US trade tariffs: what they could mean for UK shares like Ashtead, Compass Group, and Experian

US trade tariffs continue to rock global markets, and the UK is no exception. Our writer considers how a new…

Read more »

Mindful young woman breathing out with closed eyes, calming down in stressful situation, working on computer in modern kitchen.
Dividend Shares

The Trump slump has smashed these FTSE 100 shares!

After a rough week for US and UK shares, investors have been shaken. But now these FTSE 100 stocks have…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Rolls-Royce shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Rolls-Royce shares have been on fire since April 2020. Part of this is the result of pandemic restrictions lifting, but…

Read more »

Young Asian woman with head in hands at her desk
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Tesla stock at its peak in 2024 is now worth…

Over the last few months, Tesla stock has lost nearly half its value. Here, Edward Sheldon explores a few takeaways…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Is the S&P 500 heading for an epic stock market crash?

Our writer shares his thoughts on a very crazy time for the S&P 500 and the wider stock market. How…

Read more »