This FTSE 100 spin-off’s down 32% in a month… but I’d back it to recover

Having left its FTSE 100 parent behind, Ashtead Technology’s been growing impressively. But with the stock falling, Stephen Wright sees an opportunity.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Two white male workmen working on site at an oil rig

Image source: Getty Images

Ashtead Technology (LSE:AT.) – not to be confused with FTSE 100 company Ashtead Group – is an undersea equipment rental company. The stock’s fallen around 32% over the last month.

The underlying business is growing, though. As a result, I think this could be a good name for investors to add to their lists of shares to consider buying.

Growth prospects

Ashtead Technology leases undersea equipment to businesses in the energy sector. Oil and gas accounts for around 70% of its sales, with the balance coming from renewables.

The company’s recent performance has been impressive, with revenues increasing by around 50% during the 2023 financial year. But there are some risks investors should be aware of.

Around half of the firm’s oil and gas revenues have come from decommissioning projects. By their nature, these won’t generate repeat sales, meaning growth has to come from elsewhere. 

Ashtead’s prospects look bright, though. Around a third of its 2023 revenue growth came from acquisitions and a fragmented market should mean more opportunities in this area.

Over the longer term, the firm stands to benefit from the shift to renewable energy. Building offshore wind infrastructure should generate strong demand for its equipment. 

The last few years have shown that this could take longer than expected. But if companies stick to oil and gas investments, Ashtead can supply expansion projects here as well.

Valuation

Ashtead Technology’s share price has fallen 32% over the last month. But even at today’s levels, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19 based on the most recent earnings.

That’s not an obvious bargain, but there are a few things worth noting. The first is that taking the company’s reported earnings at face value might not be the best way to value the business.  

Ashtead’s net income is complicated by costs related to its recent acquisition activity. Adjusting for these – as the firm does in its reports – the earnings per share increase from 30p to 38.3p.

On this basis, the implied P/E multiple is below 15, which is a lot more reasonable from a valuation perspective. But this does highlight another risk with the company.

Attempting to grow by acquiring other businesses can be expensive and even the best in the business can make mistakes. Overpaying for a target can be destructive to shareholder value.

Analysts are expecting Ashtead’s earnings per share to reach 50p by 2027. If the company hits those targets, the stock will look very cheap at today’s prices.

A stock to consider buying?

Ashtead Technology doesn’t get a huge amount of coverage, either from the media or analysts. But it’s a really interesting business that’s worth looking at closely.

Since the company’s management elected to buy it from its parent company in 2021, it’s grown impressively. And I think there could be more to come.

That’s why the stock’s on my list of shares to buy when I next have cash to deploy. I’m not saying it can’t fall further from here, but I’m fully expecting it to get back to where it was a month ago – and beyond.

Stephen Wright has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Ashtead Technology Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office
Investing Articles

Waiting for a stock market crash? This FTSE 100 superstar just fell 19% in a day

A stock market crash can be a great time to buy shares. But one of the FTSE 100’s leading lights…

Read more »

Road trip. Father and son travelling together by car
Investing Articles

Rolls-Royce shares down 19%. Why is this major broker still as bullish as ever?

Our writer looks into the long-term investment case for Rolls-Royce shares after a 19% dip, and finds at least one…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Investing Articles

9% yield! But a cut’s coming for 1 of the UK’s most reliable dividend stocks

While other housebuilding stocks have had big dividend cuts in recent years, Taylor Wimpey's been incredibly resilient. But that's set…

Read more »

Bearded man writing on notepad in front of computer
Investing Articles

Stock market crash? 1 Nasdaq share I’m keeping an eye on

With the stock market taking the elevator down recently, out writer has his eye on a company hoping to compete…

Read more »

Young Caucasian girl showing and pointing up with fingers number three against yellow background
Investing Articles

3 risks to the Rolls-Royce share price?

James Beard considers whether enthusiastic investors are overlooking some potentially big threats to Rolls-Royce and its share price.

Read more »

Happy woman commuting on a train and checking her mobile phone while using headphones
Investing Articles

Just look at these tasty FTSE 100 bargains!

Trouble in the Middle East is playing havoc with stock market valuations. But James Beard reckons there are plenty of…

Read more »

Man writing 'now' having crossed out 'later', 'tomorrow' and 'next week'
Investing Articles

£3,000 invested in Greggs shares 2 weeks ago is now worth…

The last few weeks have been another wild ride for Greggs' shares! Let's take a look at how they've been…

Read more »

Portrait of pensive bearded senior looking on screen of laptop sitting at table with coffee cup.
Investing Articles

Down 27% in a month, is this FTSE 250 share too cheap to ignore?

Wizz Air's share price has fallen more than a quarter since the Middle East conflict began. Royston Wild asks: is…

Read more »