9.8% yield! Here’s the dividend forecast for Legal & General shares through to 2026

The dividend yield on Legal & General shares almost hits 10% over the next few years. Could it be one of the FTSE 100’s greatest income plays?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Middle aged businesswoman using laptop while working from home

Image source: Getty Images

Legal & General’s (LSE:LGEN) proven to be one of the FTSE 100‘s greatest dividend stocks to buy in recent times.

As the chart shows, it’s steadily grown annual payouts since the 2008/2009 financial crisis. The only exception came in 2020. Back then, the company froze dividends in response to the global pandemic.

Legal & General's dividend history.
Created with TradingView

Its resilience is thanks in part to its diversified business model. Its presence across the life insurance, pension, and asset management sectors helps protect its earnings and supports steady cash flow that are essential for dividends. It’s also thanks to the firm’s strong financial foundations.

Pleasingly, the company’s vowed to raise dividends to 2027, at least. Based on their plans, shareholder payouts will look like this:

YearDividend per shareDividend growthDividend yield
202421.36p5%9.5%
202521.79p2%9.6%
202622.23p2%9.8%

As you can see, dividend yields move to within a whisker of double digits, which is a tantalising prospect. However, before buying any dividend share, I need to think about how realistic these forecasts are.

I also need to consider whether further share price weakness could occur that offsets more large dividends. Here’s my take on the financial services giant.

Balance sheet strength

At first glance, Legal & General doesn’t appear to be the safest dividend share out there. This is based on the simple-to-calculate dividend coverage ratio.

Any reading of 2 and above provides a wide margin of safety. Unfortunately, cover over at this Footsie share ranges at 1 times to 1.2 times through to 2026.

On paper, this leaves almost no room for error if earnings disappoint. However, Legal & General still has a rock-solid balance sheet it can call upon to help it pay large dividends.

As of June, the company’s Solvency II capital ratio was an impressive 223%. It has so much cash that the business has also announced a £200m share buyback programme, and vowed similar repurchases in the coming years.

Encouragingly, weak dividend cover is a long-running feature of Legal & General shares. But this hasn’t proved a hurdle to the company reliably growing dividends for more than a decade, as I described above.

Strong fundamentals

Legal & General's share price
Created with TradingView

As I also mentioned, I’m also looking for stocks that can maintain or ideally grow their share price. You’ll see from the chart above that Legal & General’s share price has fallen sharply of late.

This chiefly reflects investor unhappiness over the company’s plans to grow dividends at a slower rate between 2025 and 2027. Investors are also concerned over potential execution risks as it revamps its asset management division.

But I strongly believe Legal & General’s shares will rebound strongly. This will be driven by soaring demand for its products due to demographic changes across its markets.

In particular, I’m encouraged by the firm’s ambitious goals for the fast-growing pension risk transfer (PRT) market. It plans to write between £50bn and £65bn worth of business in the UK alone by 2028.

Legal & General will have to overcome tough competition to realise its growth potential. But its status as a market leader across multiple product segments shows it knows how to thrive in a tough climate. I think this is one of the Footsie’s attractive dividend shares to consider right now.

Royston Wild has positions in Legal & General Group Plc. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

A handsome mature bald bearded black man in a sunglasses and a fashionable blue or teal costume with a tie is standing in front of a wall made of striped wooden timbers and fastening a suit button
Investing Articles

Is NIO stock the next Tesla?

The NIO share price is up by more than 100% in the past year. Might this Chinese EV firm be…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

Is this the beginning of a stock market recovery?

Dr James Fox explores whether a stock market recovery is truly on the cards after the US struck a deal…

Read more »

Smiling white woman holding iPhone with Airpods in ear
Investing Articles

Up just 1%: what’s going on with Tesco shares now?

Dr James Fox takes a closer look at Tesco shares after the stock rose less than the rest of the…

Read more »

Rear view image depicting a senior man in his 70s sitting on a bench leading down to the iconic Seven Sisters cliffs on the coastline of East Sussex, UK. The man is wearing casual clothing - blue denim jeans, a red checked shirt, navy blue gilet. The man is having a rest from hiking and his hiking pole is leaning up against the bench.
Investing Articles

How much do I need in a Stocks and Shares ISA to reach a £2,027 monthly passive income?

The new financial year is under way and that means new allowances for the Stocks and Shares ISA! How much…

Read more »

UK coloured flags waving above large crowd on a stadium sport match.
Investing Articles

Why is everyone suddenly buying this dirt-cheap growth stock?

This beaten-down UK growth stock has suddenly become the centre of attention as investors target its recovery potential. The Iran…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Investing Articles

Why is everyone buying Rolls-Royce shares?

Rolls-Royce shares jumped 10% today, even giving mining stocks a run for their money as the FTSE 100 index suddenly…

Read more »

Shot of a senior man drinking coffee and looking thoughtfully out of a window
Investing Articles

Up 8%: what’s going on with Lloyds shares today?

Dr James Fox takes a closer look at one of the stock market's biggest gainers on Wednesday 8 April after…

Read more »

piggy bank, searching with binoculars
Investing Articles

Fresnillo share price rebounds as a FTSE 100 top mover after a 30% sell-off — what’s next?

The Fresnillo share price has surged today — Andrew Mackie asks whether this FTSE 100 mover is signalling a turning…

Read more »