These are my top FTSE 100 picks as recession fears fade

With Bank of America forecasting a recession-free 2024, Mark David Hartley reconsiders some of his favourite FTSE 100 hopefuls.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Global markets surged this week as fears of an impending US recession were quashed. With the risk atmosphere now feeling significantly calmer, I’m revisiting some FTSE 100 stocks I’ve been hesitant to buy.

GSK

I’ve been hemming and hawing about buying GSK (LSE: GSK) for so long now it’s become an internal joke with myself. I’ll probably be in the 50-59 age bracket that its Arexvy vaccine was recently approved for before I finally buy!

It’s one of the few FTSE 100 mega-caps that have managed to elude my profile thus far. But its recent Q2 results placed it firmly back in my crosshairs.

A 31 July report revealed sales up 13%, a 5.2% improvement on analysts expectations. Subsequently, core operating profit rose 18% with earnings per share (EPS) up 13%. Future return on equity (ROE) is now forecast to be 39% in three years. 

A promising option — but one pressing concern could derail the progress.

GSK’s Zantac drug remains the target of several thousand US lawsuits alleging a link to cancer. Despite one Illinois jury ruling the drug not responsible in a specific case, remaining trials in other states could drag on for years. Should it be found responsible, compensation payouts could cost the company dearly in the short term.

Still, I think it’ll make a good long-term investment in my portfolio. So I plan to finally buy the stock next week.

Entain

On the other end of the scale is Entain (LSE: ENT), one of the smallest-cap stocks on the index. It hasn’t been on my radar as long as GSK but caught my attention during the recent Euros football tournament. As the parent company of Ladbrokes, it’s no surprise the increased betting activity boosted its revenue.

It also recently posted interim results for the first half of the year, with stronger-than-expected win margins for the Euros. Revenues rose 6% with underlying cash profit (EBITDA) up 5%. The share price rose 9% on the day of the announcement.

The sports betting and gambling company has had a tough few years. Since September 2021, the shares are down over 70%. A swathe of acquisitions made under ex-CEO Jette Nygaard-Andersen didn’t help its fortunes and left the firm with £3.7bn in debt. Inflation-weary consumers with tight wallets probably added to the woes.

Now on the mend, could the company be on track to benefit from a bolstered economy? The looming threat of a recession has certainly had me shy away from excessive spending this year. If we really are in the clear, a few small wagers couldn’t hurt, right?

However, recession or not, Entain still faces challenges. Falling profits mean it recently became unprofitable, with negative earnings per share (EPS). Despite this, it was confident enough to raise Q2 dividends to 9.3p from 8.9p. If that bet doesn’t pay off, it may have to cut them again — a bad look. 

Moreover, the company is still looking for a new permanent CEO – which gives me pause.

Although this low price point is attractive, I’ll wait until management is more stabilised before deciding whether to buy the shares.

Mark Hartley has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended GSK. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Illustration of flames over a black background
Investing Articles

Recently released: December’s higher-risk, high-reward stock recommendation [PREMIUM PICKS]

Fire ideas will tend to be more adventurous and are designed for investors who can stomach a bit more volatility.

Read more »

Abstract 3d arrows with rocket
Growth Shares

Will the SpaceX IPO send this FTSE 100 stock into orbit?

How can British investors get exposure to SpaceX? Here is one FTSE 100 stock that might be perfect for those…

Read more »

Array of piggy banks in saturated colours on high colour contrast background
Investing Articles

Could drip-feeding £500 into the FTSE 250 help you retire comfortably?

Returns from FTSE 250 shares have rocketed to 10.6% over the last year. Is now the time to plough money…

Read more »

Passive and Active: text from letters of the wooden alphabet on a green chalk board
Investing Articles

How much does one need in an ISA for £2,056 monthly passive income?

The passive income potential of the Stocks and Shares ISA is higher than perhaps all other investments. Here's how the…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Investing Articles

The best time to buy stocks is when they’re cheap. Here’s 1 from my list

Buying discounted stocks can be a great way to build wealth and earn passive income. But investors need to be…

Read more »

Bus waiting in front of the London Stock Exchange on a sunny day.
Investing Articles

Martin Lewis just explained the stock market’s golden rule

Unlike cash, the stock market can quietly turn lump sums into serious wealth. So, what’s the secret sauce that makes…

Read more »

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Greggs shares at the start of 2025 is now worth…

This year's been extremely grim for FTSE 250-listed Greggs -- but having slumped more than 40%, could its shares be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Looking for shares to buy as precious metals surge? 3 things to remember!

Gold prices have been on a tear. So has silver. So why isn't this writer hunting for shares to buy…

Read more »