These are my top FTSE 100 picks as recession fears fade

With Bank of America forecasting a recession-free 2024, Mark David Hartley reconsiders some of his favourite FTSE 100 hopefuls.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.

Image source: Getty Images

Global markets surged this week as fears of an impending US recession were quashed. With the risk atmosphere now feeling significantly calmer, I’m revisiting some FTSE 100 stocks I’ve been hesitant to buy.

GSK

I’ve been hemming and hawing about buying GSK (LSE: GSK) for so long now it’s become an internal joke with myself. I’ll probably be in the 50-59 age bracket that its Arexvy vaccine was recently approved for before I finally buy!

It’s one of the few FTSE 100 mega-caps that have managed to elude my profile thus far. But its recent Q2 results placed it firmly back in my crosshairs.

A 31 July report revealed sales up 13%, a 5.2% improvement on analysts expectations. Subsequently, core operating profit rose 18% with earnings per share (EPS) up 13%. Future return on equity (ROE) is now forecast to be 39% in three years. 

A promising option — but one pressing concern could derail the progress.

GSK’s Zantac drug remains the target of several thousand US lawsuits alleging a link to cancer. Despite one Illinois jury ruling the drug not responsible in a specific case, remaining trials in other states could drag on for years. Should it be found responsible, compensation payouts could cost the company dearly in the short term.

Still, I think it’ll make a good long-term investment in my portfolio. So I plan to finally buy the stock next week.

Entain

On the other end of the scale is Entain (LSE: ENT), one of the smallest-cap stocks on the index. It hasn’t been on my radar as long as GSK but caught my attention during the recent Euros football tournament. As the parent company of Ladbrokes, it’s no surprise the increased betting activity boosted its revenue.

It also recently posted interim results for the first half of the year, with stronger-than-expected win margins for the Euros. Revenues rose 6% with underlying cash profit (EBITDA) up 5%. The share price rose 9% on the day of the announcement.

The sports betting and gambling company has had a tough few years. Since September 2021, the shares are down over 70%. A swathe of acquisitions made under ex-CEO Jette Nygaard-Andersen didn’t help its fortunes and left the firm with £3.7bn in debt. Inflation-weary consumers with tight wallets probably added to the woes.

Now on the mend, could the company be on track to benefit from a bolstered economy? The looming threat of a recession has certainly had me shy away from excessive spending this year. If we really are in the clear, a few small wagers couldn’t hurt, right?

However, recession or not, Entain still faces challenges. Falling profits mean it recently became unprofitable, with negative earnings per share (EPS). Despite this, it was confident enough to raise Q2 dividends to 9.3p from 8.9p. If that bet doesn’t pay off, it may have to cut them again — a bad look. 

Moreover, the company is still looking for a new permanent CEO – which gives me pause.

Although this low price point is attractive, I’ll wait until management is more stabilised before deciding whether to buy the shares.

Mark Hartley has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended GSK. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Santa Clara offices of NVIDIA
Investing Articles

£5,000 invested in Nvidia stock 6 months ago is now worth…

Nvidia stock's taking a breather at the moment. But it could be getting ready for its next move higher, says…

Read more »

British coins and bank notes scattered on a surface
Investing Articles

I hold Lloyds. Is it madness to buy Barclays shares too?

Harvey Jones is keen to buy Barclays shares but wonders whether he's simply doubling down, given that he already holds…

Read more »

Asian man looking concerned while studying paperwork at his desk in an office
Investing Articles

It’s time we all took a long, cold look at the Lloyds share price

The Lloyds share price has been good to Harvey Jones, making him a huge fan of the FTSE 100 bank.…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Warren Buffett didn’t retire early. But could his investing wisdom help you do so?

Warren Buffett's wisdom from decades of stock market investing is actionable even for a modest investor who simply aims to…

Read more »

Young female hand showing five fingers.
Investing Articles

5 compelling investment ideas for a Stocks and Shares ISA in 2026

Edward Sheldon discusses some ideas to consider for a Stocks and Shares ISA and highlights a UK stock that could…

Read more »

Man writing 'now' having crossed out 'later', 'tomorrow' and 'next week'
Investing Articles

Is this the best time to buy shares in a long time?

Earlier this week, Bill Ackman stated on X that this is the best time to buy shares in a long…

Read more »

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

£1,000 buys 35 shares in an incredibly reliable FTSE 100 dividend stock

Despite falling 72% from their highs, shares in this FTSE 100 company have been an incredibly reliable source of dividend…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

This is what Warren Buffett has to say about passive income — and I’m listening!

While searching for new ways to earn passive income, our writer takes to heart sage advice from the Oracle of…

Read more »