3 factors that could send Scottish Mortgage shares soaring

This Fool outlines three key reasons he thinks Scottish Mortgage shares could keep gaining momentum this year and beyond.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Middle-aged white man wearing glasses, staring into space over the top of his laptop in a coffee shop

Image source: Getty Images

It’s been a decent year for Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LSE: SMT). The stock’s up 9.7% so far, slightly outperforming the FTSE 100. Over the past 12 months, it’s trumped the index’s performance, rising 17.5%.

After a rough spell over the past couple of years, the investment trust seems to be staging a comeback. I recently opened a position in the Baillie Gifford managed fund. I reckon it has a lot more to give.

I’d buy some shares today if I hadn’t just snapped some up. Here, I’ll outline three reasons why I think the trust could keep rising.

Trading at a discount

Despite a strong first seven months to the year, Scottish Mortgage still looks cheap. That’s because it’s trading at a discount. By that, I mean the market price of the trust’s shares is lower than its net asset value (NAV) per share. It’s currently trading at a 9% discount to its NAV.

The discount it’s trading at has halved over the last year or so. That shows the trust continues to head in the right direction.

Share buybacks

One reason it’s been falling is because of the share buybacks Scottish Mortgage announced in March. By purchasing shares, the trust will boost the net asset value per share.

It outlined its plan to purchase £1bn worth of shares over two years. That’s the largest ever programme announced in the investment trust sector. So far, it’s bought back over £300m worth.

Interest rates

Finally, it’s widely acknowledged that we’ll see multiple interest rate cuts this year. That’s great news for the FTSE 100 giant.

Scottish Mortgage focuses on owning growth stocks. These are companies leveraged with debt to fuel growth.

As you’d expect, high interest rates are a major detriment to these businesses as they make servicing debt more difficult. But in tandem with rates falling, growth stocks should begin to become more popular with investors again.

What’s even better is that Scottish Mortgage holds a number of these sorts of companies that look incredibly exciting.

Speaking of exciting, it also owns a number of private companies. These are businesses I couldn’t buy myself as a retail investor as they don’t trade on a public stock exchange. Its holdings include SpaceX and Stripe.

The downsides

However, that does come with issues. Private companies can be difficult to value. That means they can be overvalued. Should they go public, their valuation could decline. That said, there’s nothing stopping its share price and therefore valuation from rising.

Another concern of mine is rate cuts. If we don’t get as many cuts as we expected this year, that could see investors turn their backs on Scottish Mortgage.

Time to consider buying?

But a cheap valuation, a massive share buyback scheme, and rate cuts are just three reasons why I think we could see the trust continue to rise in the months to come.  

At 864.6p, I think investors should consider investigating Scottish Mortgage further. I’m keen to add to my position in the coming weeks.

Charlie Keough has positions in Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust Plc. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Young Black woman using a debit card at an ATM to withdraw money
Investing Articles

Meet the FTSE 100’s newest bank stock

This FTSE 250 stock has skyrocketed nearly 900% over the past 60 months, earning it a place in the prestigious…

Read more »

Investing Articles

See what £10,000 invested in Shell shares 1 month ago is worth now

Harvey Jones looks at how Shell shares have fared over the past month and more importantly, what the long-term outlook…

Read more »

Finger clicking a button marked 'Buy' on a keyboard
Growth Shares

At its lowest level since July, here’s why I think the IAG share price is dead cheap

Jon Smith explains why the IAG share price has fallen over the past week but talks through the reasons why…

Read more »

Picture of an easyJet plane taking off.
Investing Articles

Will the easyJet share price rise 43% or 97% by this time next year?

City analysts believe easyJet's share price might almost double over the next year. Royston Wild considers the outlook for the…

Read more »

Female student sitting at the steps and using laptop
Investing Articles

More great news for Rolls-Royce shares!

Rolls-Royce shares got a boost this week after some intriguing developments in the process of creating Europe's new fighter aircraft.

Read more »

Arrow symbol glowing amid black arrow symbols on black background.
Investing Articles

Persimmon’s share price surges 7% on double boost! Can it keep rising?

Persimmon's share price is surging, up 11% at one point earlier on Tuesday. Could this be the start of a…

Read more »

This way, That way, The other way - pointing in different directions
Investing Articles

What on earth’s happening to the Greggs share price?

Harvey Jones says Greggs’ share price has shown surprising resilience in the recent stock market turmoil, but the FTSE 250…

Read more »

Mature black woman at home texting on her cell phone while sitting on the couch
Investing Articles

Barclays shares are down 18%. Time to consider buying?

Barclays’ shares have plummeted in recent weeks. Edward Sheldon looks at what’s going on and provides his view on the…

Read more »