My favourite UK stock’s up 56% in a year – can it continue to smash the FTSE?

Harvey Jones bought this overlooked UK stock less than a year ago yet is already sitting on a fabulous return. But has it gone too far, too fast?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Young woman holding up three fingers

Image source: Getty Images

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

My favourite UK stock’s a FTSE 100 fixture with a market-cap of almost £30bn. Yet it never seems to be on many people’s radar. It’s flying high on mine though.

I’m talking about private equity and infrastructure specialist 3i Group (LSE: III). Whenever I checked out the 3i share it was going great guns. So when I shifted some company pensions into a Self-Invested Personal Pension (SIPP) last year, it was one of the first stocks I bought.

3i Group’s now the biggest single direct equity holding in my portfolio, having risen 56% since I added it to my SIPP on 3 August last year. And that’s not a one-off.

Blue-chip outperformer

The investment trust is the fourth best performer on the FTSE 100 over the last year, up 52.85%. Over five years, it’s in third place, up 172.42%, beaten only by Frasers Group (up 280.98%) and Diploma (190.59%).

This is particularly impressive, given that private equity’s going through a tough time, as higher borrowing costs hit fund-raising, dealmaking and exits.

It doesn’t seem to have hurt 3i Group though. Full-year 2023 results showed a total return of £3.84bn, equivalent to 23% of opening shareholders’ funds. That was down from a 36% return of £4.86bn in 2023, but still pretty solid. It’s started 2024 pretty well too.

The group has liquidity of £1.3bn, which includes £336m in cash and £900m in an undrawn revolving credit facility. Net gearing’s a surprisingly modest 4%.

My first concern is that its outperformance has been boosted by one super successful investment, Dutch non-food discounter Action. It’s booming with 2,300 stores across 11 European countries. Last year, it generated a gross investment return of £3.7bn, or 33%. Action now makes up 31.32% of its portfolio.

Power of three

3i Infrastructure plc is the fund’s second biggest holding at 8.53%. However, it’s lagged the rest of the portfolio, hitting the overall return.

The 3i share price has idled lately and I’m not expecting it to suddenly go gangbusters. These are tough times for the mid-cap M&A US and European market it operates in. I’m prepared for a less spectacular return in future, but I still reckon it can continue to outpace the FTSE 100.

There are dividends on offer, as well as growth. 3i’s trailing yield is a lowly 2.01% but that’s largely down to its share price surge. The board’s progressive, hiking the most recent full-year payment by 15% to 61p per share.

My biggest worry is today’s sky-high valuation, with the trust trading at a whopping premium of 37.86% to net asset value. Management has a brilliant track record dating back to 1945, but the risk/reward ratio looks a little skewed. Especially since 3i now makes up almost 10% of my total SIPP.

I won’t buy more at today’s high price but I’m not selling what I’ve got. Instead, I’m going to let it run and run. I still believe in the power of 3i group.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Harvey Jones has positions in 3i Group Plc. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

Unlock your investing potential: 3 actionable insights from Warren Buffett’s success

Warren Buffett’s long-term investing track record is second to none. Here’s a look at three fundamental aspects of his strategy.

Read more »

Rolls-Royce engineer working on an engine
Investing Articles

Here’s how much £11,000 invested in Rolls-Royce shares a year ago would be worth today…

Rolls-Royce shares have made huge returns over the past year, but can this continue? I took a deep dive into…

Read more »

View of the Birmingham skyline including the church of St Martin, the Bullring shopping centre and the outdoor market.
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Greggs shares 2 months ago is now worth…

Greggs shares, once a favourite among retail investors, have been rocked by shifting sentiment. Dr James Fox takes a closer…

Read more »

Road 2025 to 2032 new year direction concept
Investing Articles

Does the Alphabet or Meta share price offer the best value?

The Meta share price has demonstrated a lot of volatility over the past six months, but how does it stack…

Read more »

Close-up image depicting a woman in her 70s taking British bank notes from her colourful leather wallet.
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Tesco shares just a fortnight ago is already worth…

Tesco shares went through a sharp wobble a couple of weeks ago, but here's a look at what's happened to…

Read more »

Young female analyst working at her desk in the office
Investing Articles

9.6% yield! Here’s the dividend forecast for Glencore shares to 2027!

At nearly 10%, Glencore shares have one of the largest dividend yields on the FTSE 100. Here's why they could…

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing Articles

£20,000 Stocks and Shares ISA: how long would it take to reach £1 million?

This writer considers how long it would take an investor to reach a seven-figure sum by maxing out their Stocks…

Read more »

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

UK bonds: a once-in-a-decade passive income opportunity?

Gilts are offering some very attractive yields at the moment. But Stephen Wright thinks passive income investors could still do…

Read more »