Share your opinion and earn yourself a free Motley Fool premium report!

We are looking for Fools to join a 75 minute online independent market research forum on 15th / 16th December.

To find out more and express your interest please click here

A 12% yield? Here’s the dividend forecast for a hot income stock

Jon Smith considers a FTSE 250 income stock that has a clear dividend policy with the aim of paying out more, making it look attractive to him.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

British coins and bank notes scattered on a surface

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Income stocks provide a great way for me to get cash without having to be super active in my investment activity. Naturally, if I can find a way for my money to generate a higher yield, I’m always interested in hearing it.

Of course, stocks with a high yield or a large dividend forecast do need to be treated carefully, as they could be high risk. Yet here’s one that has caught my eye recently.

Strong dividend policy

Energean (LSE:ENOG) is an international hydrocarbon exploration and production company, with a focus on natural gas. It’s a FTSE 250 stock that has fallen by a modest 6% over the past year.

What interests me is the dividend payments. The firm has a current dividend policy of “targeting to pay cumulative dividends of at least $1bn by the end of 2025”. It paid out $107m in 2022 and $214m in 2023. So even without looking at analysts’ dividend forecasts, it’s clear that more dividend payments are coming this year and next in order to try and hit the $1bn mark.

The business feels confident in hitting this goal. In the latest report, it spoke about having predictable cashflows. It also mentioned that it’s “largely insulated from commodity price fluctuation, thanks to
long-term gas contracts”
.

As a result, even though the nature of the sector is quite high risk, Energean should be able to provide me with reliable dividends going forward. Granted, this does need close monitoring. For example, if the company underperforms massively in the coming year, it might have to change its dividend policy.

Adding in the numbers

At the moment, the firm pays quarterly dividends of $0.30 per share. Using the current share price, this equates to a dividend yield of 8.16%. This is high, but isn’t so ridiculously high that I think that it’s unsustainable.

The expectation is for this to be raised to $0.45 per share going forward and into 2025. A run of four of these payments would give a total dividend of $1.80 per share over a year. If I assume the share price stays where it currently is, this would raise the dividend yield to 12.2%.

The assumption that the share price will stay the same might not be accurate. It could be higher or lower than currently, which would change the overall yield. Yet I do have to use some kind of price to get an indication.

Risk but high reward

Energean is a profitable and growing business that has a clear dividend policy. This makes it attractive enough to me to consider buying some stock. I acknowledge the high yield does make it high risk, which is why I think I’m going to start by investing a relatively small amount.

Jon Smith has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Dividend Shares

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Dividend Shares

Here’s a stock lurking in the FTSE 100 with a 9% dividend yield forecast

Jon Smith highlights a FTSE 100 company that he thinks has been in the headlights for share price growth recently…

Read more »

Thoughtful man using his phone while riding on a train and looking through the window
Investing Articles

How much do you need in an ISA to target a £5,555 monthly passive income?

Muhammad Cheema explains how an investor could target £5,555 in monthly passive income over time by making use of a…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

Investors can target £22,491 in passive income from £20,000 in this FTSE dividend gem

This ultra-high-yielding FTSE gem’s dividend is forecast to rise even higher in the coming years, driving high passive income flows…

Read more »

Businessman hand flipping wooden block cube from 2024 to 2025 on coins
Investing Articles

I’m targeting £11,363 a year in retirement from £20,000 in Aviva shares!

£20,000 invested in Aviva shares could make me £11,363 in annual retirement income from this FTSE 100 passive income investment…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT to produce an unbeatable second income ISA portfolio and it said… 

Harvey Jones asked artificial intelligence to come up with a portfolio of dividend-paying stocks to produce a second income for…

Read more »

Two female adult friends walking through the city streets at Christmas. They are talking and smiling as they do some Christmas shopping.
Investing Articles

2 British income shares to consider before the Christmas boom

Our writer scoured historical market data to uncover which income shares typically do well in the run up to Christmas.…

Read more »

DIVIDEND YIELD text written on a notebook with chart
Investing Articles

Forget high yields? Here’s the smart way to build passive income with dividend shares

Stephen Wright outlines how investors looking for passive income can put themselves in the fast lane with dividend shares.

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking up arrow on wooden block cubes
Investing Articles

15,446 Diageo shares gets me a £1,000 monthly second income. Should I?

Diageo has been a second-rate income stock for investors over the last few years. But the new CEO sees potential…

Read more »