Down over 40%, analysts expect fast growth from these UK shares

Oliver says these UK shares are undervalued, and analysts believe the company will grow its earnings at 12.5% for two years after 2024.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Arrow symbol glowing amid black arrow symbols on black background.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Key Points

  • RS Group has good investment returns, offering value for money and growth, with diverse global operations and e-commerce strengths.
  • Despite a 40% share drop, my discounted earnings model shows a potential 20% undervaluation, forecasting significant future growth.
  • Concerns include a weaker balance sheet and potential AI competition, yet I consider the pros to outweigh the cons for long-term holding in my portfolio.

I’m very selective about the companies I choose to invest in. There are only about 10 companies in my portfolio at any given time, these UK shares included.

What I love about RS Group (LSE:RS1) is that it seems to offer the two critical elements I look for when investing. The first is good value for money. The second is good future growth expectations.

Supplying the world’s engineers

RS Group is a distributor of industrial and electronic products, and most of its revenue doesn’t come from its own-brand products. Instead, it sources and resells components, with its main customers being engineers and machine builders.

What I love about this business is that it’s well-diversified around the world. That means a lot to me because I don’t want all my money tied up in one economy in case something goes wrong in that country.

It has over 2,500 suppliers, and its largest distribution channel is e-commerce. I like that; as a techie myself, I see massive financial benefits to harnessing digital points of sale.

The financials that sold me

First of all, with the shares down over 40%, I already knew this could be an opportunity for me.

But the price isn’t enough. I also need to know if the market has fairly valued it.

And based on a model called discounted earnings, the firm looks to be selling at a 20% discount or more. That’s if I forecast 10% annual growth in its earnings over the next decade. Over the past 10 years, it’s managed 17% a year.

But what’s more, from 2024 onwards, analysts are expecting the business to grow its net income at 12.5% a year. That’s after a -28.6% decline expected this year.

I love the decline, because it’s sending the share price down for me to buy a bigger stake before the growth resumes.

As Warren Buffett said: “When it [a stock] goes down we love it, because we’ll buy more. And if it goes up, it kills us to buy more.”

What about the risks?

One of the elements of the business I would like to be better is its balance sheet. With more liabilities than equity, it should be careful how it spends its earnings, in my opinion.

With quite a bit more debt than cash on its books right now, it can’t pay off all its obligations immediately. And if some crisis occurs that causes it to take on even more leverage, that would be a problem for me as a shareholder.

Also, with the advent of AI, I don’t think it’s unlikely eventually for a competitor to arise similar to Amazon, offering a more efficient, more profitable, automated delivery and selection service.

It’s in my portfolio

As you can see, I’ve fully researched the risks and rewards of this one. I think it’s important to get a balanced perspective because, after all, knowing the downsides as well as the positives is how I protect myself from big losses.

In my opinion, the strengths outweigh the negatives here. So, I plan on holding my stake in RS Group for as long as the company remains strong. I might even add to my position soon.

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Oliver Rodzianko has positions in Amazon and Rs Group Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Amazon and Rs Group Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Woman riding her old fashioned bicycle along the Beach Esplanade at Aberdeen, Scotland.
Investing Articles

Down 35%! These 2 blue-chips are 2025’s big losers. But are they the best shares to buy in 2026?

Harvey Jones reckons he's found two of the best shares to buy for the year ahead, but he also acknowledges…

Read more »

A senior man and his wife holding hands walking up a hill on a footpath looking away from the camera at the view. The fishing village of Polperro is behind them.
Investing Articles

State Pension worries? 3 investment trusts to target a £2.6m retirement fund

Royston Wild isn't worried about possible State Pension changes. Here he identifies three investment trusts to target a multi-million-pound portfolio.

Read more »

Smiling white woman holding iPhone with Airpods in ear
Dividend Shares

4 dirt-cheap dividend stocks to consider for 2026!

Discover four great dividend stocks that could deliver long-term passive income -- and why our writer Royston Wild thinks they’re…

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman jumping for joy in a park with confetti falling around her
Investing Articles

These fabulous 5 UK stocks doubled in 2025 – can they do it again next year?

These five UK stocks have more than doubled investors' money as the FTSE 100 surges. Harvey Jones wonders if they…

Read more »

Businessman with tablet, waiting at the train station platform
Investing Articles

3 incredible ETFs I can’t stop buying for my SIPP!

Discover the three ETFs I've bought for my Self-Invested Personal Pension (SIPP) -- and why I expect them to continue…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Will the Lloyds share price rise another 15% in 2026?

Lloyds' is tipped for another double-digit share price rise next year. But can the FTSE 100 bank pull it off?…

Read more »

Two business people sitting at cafe working on new project using laptop. Young businesswoman taking notes and businessman working on laptop computer.
Investing Articles

I asked ChatGPT to pick the ultimate FTSE 250-based Stocks and Shares ISA portfolio and it said…

Harvey Jones is looking for some FTSE 250 stock picks to put inside his Stocks and Shares ISA, and wondered…

Read more »

Three generation family are playing football together in a field. There are two boys, their father and their grandfather.
Investing Articles

How much do you need in UK shares to target a £2,000 monthly passive income in retirement?

Harvey Jones shows how building a balanced portfolio of UK shares with a focus on high levels of dividend income…

Read more »