Down 50%, this could be the FTSE 100’s best value stock

Edward Sheldon believes this value stock has the potential to gain around 30% in the medium term. And there should be dividends on top.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Businesswoman calculating finances in an office

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

There are many value stocks in the FTSE 100 right now. From banks to miners, a lot of shares are dirt cheap.

There’s one in particular that stands out to me, however. I reckon it’s probably the best value play in the Footsie at the moment.

A high-quality company

The stock I’m talking about is Smith & Nephew (LSE: SN.). It’s a healthcare company that specialises in joint replacement technology.

From an investment perspective, there’s a lot to like about this company.

For a start, it has an excellent long-term track record when it comes to generating wealth for shareholders. Believe it or not, the company has paid a dividend every single year since 1937 (the dividend yield is around 3% currently).

Meanwhile, looking ahead, it has attractive long-term growth prospects. That’s because the world’s ageing population is likely to result in more joint replacement surgeries (the joint replacement market is projected to grow by around 8% per year between now and 2030).

Big share price fall

However, in the last few years, Smith & Nephew’s share price has taken a huge hit. The hit has been so significant (roughly 50%) that the shares were recently near 10-year lows.

There are a few reasons the shares have fallen.

One is that the company has faced a lot of challenges due to Covid (many elective surgeries were postponed).

Another is that there have been concerns that GLP-1 weight-loss drugs will reduce the number of joint replacement surgeries in the future.

Investment opportunity

Now, I think this share price fall has created a huge investment opportunity.

Earlier this month, Smith & Nephew posted a trading update. And the numbers were strong.

For Q3, revenue was up 7.7% year on year to $1,357m.

And for 2023, the company said it was expecting growth to be at the high end of its 6-7% guidance.

Overall, I am encouraged that our actions to transform Smith & Nephew to a consistently higher growth company are starting to deliver,” commented CEO Deepak Nath.

These numbers suggest the coronavirus-related slowdown could be over.

As for the weight-loss drugs concerns, these do add some uncertainty. However, I reckon the fears are overblown.

And a lot of City analysts have the same view.

For example, analysts at JP Morgan – who just upgraded the stock to ‘overweight’ (buy) from ‘neutral’ (hold) – noted that they believe the potential GLP-1 impact has been overplayed.

It’s worth pointing out here that Deepak Nath said last week that weight-loss drugs could actually help previously ineligible overweight patients get approval for joint replacement surgery.

So, I don’t think investors should be too worried about this issue.

Low valuation

After the recent share price fall, Smith & Nephew’s forward-looking price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is about 12.

That’s a low valuation for a high-quality company like this.

To my mind, a P/E ratio of about 15-16 is probably warranted here.

That would imply possible share price gains of around 25-33% in the medium term.

That’s roughly in line with JP Morgan’s price target. Its target for the healthcare stock is 1,248p at present – about 26% higher than the current share price.

Of course, there’s no guarantee that the shares will re-rate to a higher valuation.

However, I reckon there’s a good chance they will rise from here, especially after the company’s recent trading update, which was very positive.

Edward Sheldon has positions in Smith & Nephew Plc. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Smith & Nephew Plc. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Value Shares

Female student sitting at the steps and using laptop
Investing Articles

UK stocks: the contrarian choice for 2026

UK stocks aren’t the consensus choice for investors at the moment. But some smart money managers who are looking to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Prediction: in 2026 mega-cheap Diageo shares could turn £10,000 into…

Diageo shares have been burning wealth lately but Harvey Jones says long-suffering investors in the FTSE 100 stock may get…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

I’m backing these 3 value stocks to the hilt – will they rocket in 2026?

Harvey Jones has bought these three FTSE 100 value stocks on three occasions lately, averaging down every time they fall.…

Read more »

Businessman hand stacking money coins with virtual percentage icons
Investing Articles

How high can the Lloyds share price go in 2026?

The Lloyds Bank share price has made some stellar gains in 2025, and some analysts are already forecasting further rises…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Up 25% in 2025! Are BT shares still a generational bargain with a 4.5% yield and P/E below 10?

BT shares have had another terrific year but still look good value and there's a handsome yield on offer too.…

Read more »

UK financial background: share prices and stock graph overlaid on an image of the Union Jack
Investing Articles

Down 45%, is this the FTSE 250’s greatest recovery share for 2026?

WH Smith's share price has almost halved since 1 January. Does this represent a top dip buying opportunity, or is…

Read more »

Close-up image depicting a woman in her 70s taking British bank notes from her colourful leather wallet.
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Barclays shares last Christmas is now worth…

Barclays shares have been on one hell of a run. Dr James Fox takes a closer look at their performance…

Read more »

Percy Pig Ocado van outside distribution centre
Investing Articles

When it comes to the Ocado share price, is it a case of ‘bye bye’ or ‘buy buy’?

Since the online retailer and technology group listed in July 2010, Ocado’s share price has been a huge disappointment. But…

Read more »