One growth stock I’d avoid like the plague right now and one I’d buy in a shot

Every investor dreams of buying a growth stock just before it roars into life, but this one’s too risky for me. However, there’s one I would buy.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Asian man looking concerned while studying paperwork at his desk in an office

Image source: Getty Images

I’ve mostly been buying dirt cheap FTSE 100 shares lately, but now it’s time to inject some excitement into my portfolio with a growth stock or two. While I love seeing my dividends roll up over the years, I’d also like to enjoy some capital growth.

A few weeks ago, there was a flurry of excitement around fast fashion group boohoo (LSE: BOO). After a nightmare couple of years, the AIM-traded stock suddenly jumped 18% in a week, as it emerged that Frasers Group owner Mike Ashley was building a position.

What’s Ashley up to?

Ashley has made a habit of snapping up struggling rivals and adding to them to his conglomerate. He’s doing the same with boohoo’s rival ASOS too. Frasers already owns House of Fraser, Sports Direct and Flannels, and it clearly isn’t finished yet.

Private investors who decided Ashley’s purchase was a trigger signal to buy boohoo will have been disappointed so far. The initial excitement has faded and it’s down 5.61% over the last week. Investors keep losing money on this stock. The share price is down 24.26% over one year and 88.05% over two years.

boohoo still generated revenue of £1.77bn last year, although it fell 11%. It made a profit too, of £895.2m, albeit down 14%. It ended the year with net cash of £5.9m, when markets had forecast £55m net debt.

It’s a leaner, lighter operation, and now there’s a fresh source of demand for its shares. I’m almost talking myself into buying it here, but I need to keep a level head. We don’t know Ashley’s intentions. He’s also buying shares of Currys and electrical goods specialist AO World. Plus he holds shares in high street fashion giant Next. His strategy is all over the shop.

Frasers now owns 10.4% of boohoo. He owns 19.3% of ASOS, but that hasn’t stopped its share price from falling 38% over the last 12 months. I know too many investors who’ve lost too much money on boohoo. I’m steering clear.

I’ll drink to this stock

I don’t have the same qualms about FTSE 100 spirits giant Diageo (LSE: DGE), even though its share price has also done badly, falling 16.87% over the last year.

Diageo has also been tipped to recover, but with the share price down 4.46% in the last month, investors are having to be patient here too. Yet it’s clearly a much less risky proposition than boohoo. It’s a huge £70bn company whose product are sold in more than 180 countries and not just over the internet.

Diageo can be cyclical and recent slippage looks like the perfect time for me to buy. Today’s valuation of 19.2 times earnings is relatively low by its standards, although naturally, I wish it was a bit lower.

A long-term threat is that young people in the West are drinking less alcohol (even if a Friday night on my local high street suggests otherwise). If that trend continues, Diageo could struggle. However, we’re a long way from that point. I still think it’s a great ‘buy-and forget’ stock. By contrast, if I held boohoo, I wouldn’t forget about it. I’d be watching it like a hawk and frankly I don’t need the stress.

Harvey Jones has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

£9,000 in savings? Here’s how to try and turn that into a £193 monthly second income

With a long-term approach and applying basic principles of good investment, our writer reckons someone with under £10k could earn…

Read more »

Investing Articles

A 2026 stock market crash could be a rare passive income opportunity

If a stock market crash comes our way then it might throw up plentiful opportunities for investors to secure a…

Read more »

Tesla car at super charger station
Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Tesla stock 1 year ago is now worth…

Dr James Fox takes a closer look at Tesla stock with the incredibly volatile mega-cap company surging and pulling back…

Read more »

British pound data
Investing Articles

My personal warning for anyone tempted by the plunging Aston Martin share price

Harvey Jones was so captivated by the plunging Aston Martin share price that he ignored an old piece of investment…

Read more »

Stacks of coins
Investing Articles

This penny share just crashed 13% to 19p! Time to buy?

After another fall today, this penny stock has now crashed 70% since April 2021. Is it one that should be…

Read more »

Trader on video call from his home office
Investing Articles

Down 19%! Here’s why Barclays shares look a serious bargain to me right now

Barclays shares have slumped recently, but a big gap between price and fair value has opened, offering nimble long-term investors…

Read more »

CEO Mark Zuckerberg at F8 2019 event
Investing Articles

Why Meta Platforms shares fell 12.5% in March

Historically, investors have done well by buying Meta Platforms shares when the price has fallen. But is the latest legal…

Read more »

Arrow symbol glowing amid black arrow symbols on black background.
Investing Articles

£20,000 invested in BAE Systems shares 4 years ago is now worth…

BAE Systems' shares have soared since 2022, yet rising NATO budgets are just starting to feed through, so the real…

Read more »